Pakistan Auto: SBP poised to re-evaluate Auto-Financing cap? – By JS Research
Dec 9 2024
JS Global Capital
- Auto financing numbers have started showing consecutive MoM growth over the past two months after depicting a monthly declining trend for 26 consecutive months from its peak in Jun-2022. This recovery is attributed to a 7% reduction in policy rates and banks' aggressive push to expand private sector lending to meet ADR ratio by December 31, 2024.
- Auto financing has historically been one of the main sources of auto sales accounting for roughly 30% share in total auto sales when interest rates were in single digits and it is believed that this share is now in lower double digits.
- Car prices have increased significantly since the introduction of the Rs3mn cap on auto financing in Sep-2021, initially applied to vehicles above 1000cc and later expanded to include all vehicles in May-2022. With macroeconomic conditions improving – shifting from a CAD of US$5,305mn in 4MFY22, when the cap was introduced, to a CAS of US$218mn in 4MFY25 – the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) may consider revisiting this cap.