Fauji Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FFC): 4Q EPS dent by merger adjustments; overall outlook remains intact - By JS Rresearch

Feb 6 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Fauji Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FFC) completed the amalgamation process of Fauji Fertilizer Bin Qasim Lim. (FFBL). FFC reported its earnings of the merged entity amounting to Rs65bn, translating into an EPS (diluted) of Rs45.49. Alongside the result, the Company announced a cash dividend of Rs21/sh., taking the CY24 payout to Rs34.9/sh.
  • The company recently conducted its corporate briefing session, to discuss CY24 results and outlook of the merged entity. Management highlighted that audit adjustments on receivables related to sales tax and subsidies impacted margins in the last quarter. Nevertheless, we expect margins to stabilize in the upcoming quarters, hovering around 34%.
  • Further, the management apprised that the Port Qasim plant (formerly FFBL) turnaround is nearing completion, while one turnaround at base plant is expected this month, another is planned for Oct-2025. Moreover, the management reiterated that the gas supply agreement with MARI remains intact until 2029. We reiterate our liking for FFC, offering CY25E D/Y of 13%.
Pakistan Fertilizer: FFC/ EFERT: 2QCY25 to see recovery in earnings - By JS Research

Jul 9 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We present 2QCY25 earnings estimates for Fauji Fertilizer Company Limited (FFC) and Engro Fertilizers Limited (EFERT), where we expect the earnings to improve led by increase in Urea and DAP volume by 3% YoY and 15% YoY.
  • FFC is expected to post EPS of Rs14.5 with DPS of Rs11.25. Despite weaker sales, FFC is expected to remain in a better position compared to peers led by comparative advantage amid lower gas tariff coupled with higher dividend income during the quarter.
  • EFERT is likely to post recovery in earnings which remained under pressure last year amid Enven plant turnaround. However continued discounts and higher inventory pileups will continue to impact company’s operations. Accordingly, the company is likely to report an EPS of Rs4.6 (3.7x higher YoY), along with a dividend of Rs4.5/share.
Fauji Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FFC): FFC received board approval to submit EOI for PIACL privatization - By AKD Research

Jun 16 2025


AKD Securities


  • Fauji Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FFC) has announced that its Board of Directors, in a meeting held on June 13, 2025, approved the submission of an Expression of Interest (EOI) and prequalification documents to Privatization Commission for the potential acquisition of stakes in Pakistan International Airlines Corporation Ltd. (PIACL) and undertaking a comprehensive due diligence exercise as part of the process.
  • PIACL, the national flag carrier of Pakistan, holds the highest market share in the domestic aviation sector at 19% and operates fleet of 34 aircraft. In a major restructuring effort last year, gov’t carved out net liabilities amounting to PkR654bn and non-core assets into PIA Holding Company Ltd. (Holdco of PIACL), making PIACL a debt-lite entity. Notably, PIACL was EBITDA-positive in CY24, with a reported equity value of PkR3.6bn as of Dec’24.
  • To recall, Privatization Commission had set a minimum bid price of PkR85bn in the previous privatization attempt. While, FFC has cash and ST investments worth PkR147bn on a standalone basis as of Mar’25.
Fauji Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FFC): Defying headwinds with strong peer positioning; Reiterate Buy - By JS Research

May 7 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We reiterate Fauji Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FFC) as our top pick in the fertilizer sector, offering DY of 12% as per CY25 numbers. Despite limited impact on earnings compared to the industry, the stock has seen significant correction, presenting an attractive entry point.
  • Favorable gas pricing enables FFC to offer lower-priced urea helping it retain a 49% Urea market share amid sub-optimal farm economics impacting demand. FFC’s management, in its recent corporate briefing, indicated that the ongoing inventory glut is expected to ease, with CY25E off-take to cross 6mn tons, subsequently taking CY25E-end inventory to 400-500k tons.
  • The company raised DAP prices by Rs320/bag last month due to a rise in international phosphoric acid prices, now standing at US$1,153/ton with local DAP primary margins to US$272/ton, versus an average phos. acid price of US$1,060/ton during 4MCY25. Our estimates indicate that a US$20/ton drop in primary margins in 2HCY25 could reduce CY25E EPS by 2-3%.
Fauji Fertilizer Limited (FFC): 1QCY25 Corporate Briefing Takeaway - By IIS Research

May 6 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • Fauji Fertilizer Limited (FFC) held its corporate briefing today to discuss the financial results of 1QCY25 and future outlook of the company. Key highlights of the briefing are follows:
  • To recall, in 1QCY25 FFC on standalone basis reported earnings of PKR 13.3bn (EPS: PKR 9 .33), up 26%YoY from PkR10.5bn (EPS: PKR 7.39) in SPLY. Along side the result, FFC announced an interim cash dividend of PKR 7.0/sh.
  • The company noted that growth in the agriculture sector slowed sharply to 1.2% in 1QFY25, down from 8.1% during the SPLY. This deceleration was driven by weaker farm activity and lower overall profitability. Farmers faced a significant decline in net income across key crops, particularly wheat and rice. The impact was further compounded by rising input costs and the transition from support prices to a free market system.
Fauji Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FFC): 1QCY25 Analyst Briefing Takeaways - By AKD Research

May 6 2025


AKD Securities


  • Fauji Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FFC) held its corporate briefing session today to discuss 1QCY25 financial results and future outlook. Key takeaways from the call are as follows:
  • Company reported earnings of PkR13.3bn (PkR9.3/sh) in 1QCY25, compared to PkR10.5bn (PkR8.3/sh) in SPLY. The growth in profitability is attributed to i) improved gross margins amid the absence of high-cost imported urea, and ii) higher DAP volumes due to the inclusion of FFBL figures.
  • The fertilizer business contributed PkR8.1bn in profitability, along with PkR2.0bn and PkR3.2bn stemming from dividend and portfolio income, respectively
Fauji Fertilizer Company Limited (FFC): 1QCY25 Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By Taurus Research

May 6 2025


Taurus Securities


  • FFC’s management held a corporate briefing session for 1QCY25 results where they discussed some of the major aspects considering weak farm economics, higher inventory levels and update on “Pressure Enhancement Facility” program. They told that the Agricultural sector is currently facing poor farm income on cash crops where they projected negative cash flows for Wheat crops during CY25, possible impact of shifting support prices (PKR 3,500/bag) to free market prices (currently PKR 2,200/bag). Further they also highlighted that higher input cost i.e. Fuel, seed, utilities and land lease are also putting negative pressure on farm incomes.
  • On the brighter side, the Company has achieved a turnaround in its Goth Machhi (Plant 1) and Port Qasim (Plant 4) during 1QCY25. Although, production declined by 14%YoY to 797KT (40% of the industry) in 1QCY25 along with a drop in overall off-take by 32%YoY to 626KT, resulting in an increase of inventory to 242KT (Urea and DAP inventory went up to 132KT and 110KT, respectively) by end of Mar’25.
  • As per the financial performance, the management shared that the Company had achieved a net profitability of PKR 13.3Bn in 1QCY25, up 27%YoY. This profitability can be brokendown into PKR 8.1Bn from the core business, PKR 3.2Bn from investments and PKR 2Bn from Dividend income
Fauji Fertilizer (FFC): Corporate Briefing Key Takeaways - By Topline Research

May 6 2025


Topline Securities


  • The management of Fauji Fertilizer (FFC) held its corporate briefing today to discuss financial result and future outlook of the company.
  • On the demand front, management commented that urea demand will be expected to be higher than 6mn tons, while industry is expected to rebound in coming quarters given Kharif and Rabi seasons. In 2024 urea sales for the industry was 6.57mn tons.
  • The company does not expect any urea exports this year as inventory
Fauji Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FFC): 4Q EPS dent by merger adjustments; overall outlook remains intact - By JS Rresearch

Feb 6 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Fauji Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FFC) completed the amalgamation process of Fauji Fertilizer Bin Qasim Lim. (FFBL). FFC reported its earnings of the merged entity amounting to Rs65bn, translating into an EPS (diluted) of Rs45.49. Alongside the result, the Company announced a cash dividend of Rs21/sh., taking the CY24 payout to Rs34.9/sh.
  • The company recently conducted its corporate briefing session, to discuss CY24 results and outlook of the merged entity. Management highlighted that audit adjustments on receivables related to sales tax and subsidies impacted margins in the last quarter. Nevertheless, we expect margins to stabilize in the upcoming quarters, hovering around 34%.
  • Further, the management apprised that the Port Qasim plant (formerly FFBL) turnaround is nearing completion, while one turnaround at base plant is expected this month, another is planned for Oct-2025. Moreover, the management reiterated that the gas supply agreement with MARI remains intact until 2029. We reiterate our liking for FFC, offering CY25E D/Y of 13%.
Fauji Fertilizer Limited (FFC): 4QCY24 Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By IIS Research

Feb 4 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • Fauji Fertilizer Limited held its corporate briefing today to discuss the financial results of CY24 and future outlook of the company. Key highlights of the briefing are follows:
  • To recall, FFC posted its CY24 results for the first time after the amalgamation with FFBL. On unconsolidated basis, EPS stood at PKR 45.49, while on consolidated basis, EPS came in at PKR 60.10. The company announced a DPS of PKR 21/sh for the quarter, in addition to the PKR 15.5 already paid (revised to PKR 13.86/sh based on the new number of shares), bringing the total CY24 payout to PKR 34.86/sh.
  • The company demonstrated its financial performance in CY24 post merger, with equity and reserves rising to PKR 132 billion (vs. PKR 62 billion SPLY), long term investments reaching PKR 77 billion (vs. PKR 49 billion SPLY), short term investments increasing to PKR 216 billion (vs. PKR 96 billion SPLY), and property, plant & equipment expanding to PKR 58 billion (vs. PKR 40 billion SPLY). However, as a result of the merger, audit adjustments related to receivables and other items in 4QCY24 impacted profitability, leading to lower earnings than anticipated.
Fauji Fertilizer Company Limited (FFC): CY24 Analyst briefing takeaways - By Insight Research

Feb 4 2025


Insight Securities


  • Fauji Fertilizer Company Limited has conducted its CY24 analyst briefing to discuss financial results and future outlook. We have summarized following key takeaways from the briefing.
  • FFC has posted PAT of PKR64.7bn (EPS: PKR45.5) in CY24 vs. PKR29.7bn (EPS: PKR23.32) in SPLY, amid higher offtakes coupled with increase in product prices. Additionally, the CY24 income statement includes two quarters of FFBL's financials. Along with the result, company has also announced dividend of PKR36.5/sh in CY24 vs. PKR15.5/sh in SPLY.
  • On lower gross margins management mentioned that’s its mainly attributable to audit adjustment amid amalgamation of of FFBL into FFC. However, we await detailed account for further clarity on this front.
Market Wrap: Highlights of the day - By JS Research

Jul 11 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index surged 1,325 points to reach an intraday high of 133,902, as investor sentiment turned bullish on the back of strong macroeconomic signals. Record-high remittances of $38.3 billion and robust demand in recent government debt auctions drove renewed interest in the banking sector. This marks a key inflection point for the market. With improving fundamentals and fiscal stability, the index appears poised to consolidate above the 130,000 mark. Continued foreign inflows and structural reforms could sustain this momentum in the quarters ahead.
Market Wrap: Bullish Momentum Persists as PSX Hits Historic Peak - By HMFS Research

Jul 11 2025


HMFS Research


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) continued its record-setting momentum, with the KSE-100 Index hitting a new all-time high of 134,932 level, ultimately closed at 134,300 level posting a robust gain of 517 points during the session. The rally reflects sustained investor confidence, underpinned by a sharp improvement in macro fundamentals. Key catalysts included a marked improvement in Pakistan’s external position—with FX reserves surpassing USD 20bn for the first time in three years—and record-high PSDP utilization of PKR 1.046tn in FY25, representing 96% of the total allocation. This reflects strong fiscal execution and a clear commitment to growth-driven policy support. Investor sentiment was further bolstered by expectations of improved corporate earnings and a stable monetary outlook. Market activity remained strong, with 290mn shares traded on the KSE-100 and 764mn shares traded across the broader market. Top volume leaders included BOP (94mn), ASL (25mn), and KOSM (24mn). While short-term consolidation may follow the recent sharp gains, the medium-term outlook remains positive, supported by macroeconomic stability and earnings visibility. Investors are advised to maintain a selective, fundamentals-driven approach, with a focus on sectors benefiting from domestic demand recovery and policy tailwinds.
United Bank Limited (UBL): 2QCY25 EPS clocks-in at Rs 11.3, DPS Rs8.0 - By Foundation Research

Jul 11 2025


Foundation Securities


  • United Bank Limited (UBL) announced its 2QCY25 results today reporting earnings of PKR 28.2Bn (EPS: PKR 11.3), ↑103/↓21% YoY/QoQ respectively. This pulls 1HCY25 earnings to PKR 25.5/sh, up 117% YoY. The bank also announced an interim dividend of PKR 8.0/sh (1HCY25 pay-out: PKR 13.5/sh). The result is higher than our expectations because of greater than estimated NII however, high effective tax rate of 61.6% in 2Q dragged earnings.
  • Net Interest Income (NII) of the bank underwent a significant jump of 237% YoY to PKR 91.2Bn in 2Q with NIMs accretion supporting top-line growth. Note that NIMs declined to only 2.5% in the SPLY. The surge came from 1) robust investments book delivering strong fixed income returns, 2) sharp decline in deposit costs and 3) lagged impact of asset re-pricing. On a QoQ basis, NII increased by 8%.
  • Non-funded income arrived at PKR 15.2Bn in 2Q, ↓17% YoY mainly on account of streamlined capital gains. The decline was recorded despite a prolific 68% YoY jump in fee income. Forex income recorded an increase of 7% YoY over the same period. Over the past year, the bank has recorded handsome gains in commission on trade, commission on guarantees and card related fees which we believe continue to propel fee income accretion. On a sequential basis, NFI recorded a paltry decline of 3%.
Market Wrap: Highlights of the day - By JS Research

Jul 10 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index surged 1,325 points to reach an intraday high of 133,902, as investor sentiment turned bullish on the back of strong macroeconomic signals. Record-high remittances of $38.3 billion and robust demand in recent government debt auctions drove renewed interest in the banking sector. This marks a key inflection point for the market. With improving fundamentals and fiscal stability, the index appears poised to consolidate above the 130,000 mark. Continued foreign inflows and structural reforms could sustain this momentum in the quarters ahead
Automobile Assembler: Pakistan Car sales in Jun 2025 up 43% YoY to 21,773 units, ~ 3 year high - By Topline Research

Jul 10 2025


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan Car sales in Pakistan (as reported by PAMA) clocked in at 21,773 units in Jun 2025, reflecting a 64% YoY and 47% MoM rise.
  • MoM rise was mainly led by a 39-month high Alto sales due to pre-buying as GST was set to increase effective from Jul 01, 2025 from 12.5% to 18.0%.
  • YoY growth is supported by a more stable macroeconomic environment, introduction of more variants, lower interest rates, easing inflation, and improving consumer sentiment
Oil and Gas Exploration: Improving liquidity in E&P sector to set stage for recovery - By AKD Research

Jul 10 2025


AKD Securities


  • As per released figures from PPIS for Jun’25, oil/gas production for the year amounted to 62.4k bpd and 2,882mcfd, reflecting a decline of 12%/8%YoY.
  • We expect rebound in domestic hydrocarbons as excess RLNG issue is to be resolved through i) renegotiation of RLNG contract in 2026, ii) deferral of cargoes, and iii) increase in demand.
  • Industry participants have struck 21 discoveries during FY25, up 40%/91% compared to 15/11 discoveries during FY24/23, culminating to incremental production of 2.9k bpd of oil and 253mmcfd of gas as per initial flow rates.
Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle July 10, 2025 - By AHCML Research

Jul 10 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index opened on a positive note and surged to an intraday high of 133,902.34 points before closing at a record 133,782.34, gaining 1,205.36 points or 0.91%. Investor sentiment remained buoyant amid strong economic indicators and corporate developments. Record remittances of USD 38.3bn in FY25 (up 26.6% YoY), progress on the Roosevelt Hotel’s USD 1.0bn valuation in the proposed redevelopment plan, World Bank’s likely support for Reko Diq, a 10% rise in US exports, and a USD 1 billion syndicated loan by Dubai Islamic Bank all boosted investors’ confidence. Top contributors to the index included MEBL, MCB, UBL, BAHL, and FFC, which collectively added 570.42 points. BOP led the volumes with 155.38 million shares, while total market turnover reached 941.72 million shares.
Market Wrap: PSX Rebounds Strongly amid Strong Economic Indicators - By HMFS Research

Jul 10 2025


HMFS Research


  • The KSE 100 index resumed its upward trajectory today, reaching an intraday high of 133,902 after a slight correction in the previous session driven by profit-taking. The benchmark index closed at the 133,782 level, recording a gain of 1,205 points. The positive sentiment was primarily driven by a remarkable 26.6% surge in cumulative remittances in FY25, which reached a record high of USD 38.3bn. Consequently, buying was observed across major sectors including banking and cement. Investor confidence also improved ahead of corporate results season, furthermore, a 10% y/y increase in exports to the US, which reached USD 5.8bn in FY25, also aided momentum. Total traded volumes remained strong, with the KSE-100 Index posting 326mn shares and the All-Share Index recording 940mn shares. The most actively traded scrips today were BOP (155mn), KOSM (55mn), and HASCOL (33mn). Going forward, the market’s upward trend is expected to continue. However, since the Trump administration as of now has made no announcements over its tariff position on Pakistan, the bourse could swing in the opposite direction should the US decide to impose or reinstate trade barriers. Such a move could dampen investor sentiment, thereby stalling the market's momentum. Amidst this backdrop, investors are advised to remain cautious amid the recent gains in market indices, focusing on fundamentally strong sectors and companies with stable earnings and long-term potential.
Fertilizer: 2QCY25E earnings to jump on higher off-take - By Taurus Research

Jul 10 2025


Taurus Securities


  • We expect Fertilizer players in our universe to witness robust surge in profitability on the back of significant increase in offtake during 2QCY25 i.e. Urea up 14%QoQ and DAP up 99% QoQ, attributed to rise in demand for fertilizer products at the start of the Kharif Season 2025 amid facilitating farmers with Kissan Cards, mitigating wheat crisis and stable fertilizer prices.
  • On the Company front, EFERT’s market share went up by 32% (up 8pptsYoY) in 2QCY25 due to base effect as the Company had undergone scheduled plant maintenance activities for 2 months during 2QCY24, resulting in rise in Urea off-take (up 9pptsYoY to 34%). Further, disparity in gas pricing mechanism has still put significant pressure on the margins of EFERT, forcing to sell Urea at a discounted price (discount of PKR 100-150 per bag started in Jan’25). Further, FFC has also reduced Urea prices by PKR 40/bag effective from May’25.
  • FFC’s net sales to clock-in at ~PKR 68Bn in 2QCY25, up 7%QoQ on account of increase in overall off-take by 17%QoQ (Urea and DAP off-take were up by 9% and 66%, respectively). Gross margins to hover around 38% in 2QCY25, up 2pptsQoQ. Distribution and admin expense to increase 2%QoQ, in-line with the increase in sales volumes. Finance cost to remain on the lower side (down 16%QoQ) amid deleveraging of FFBL and ongoing monetary easing cycle.
Nishat Mills Limited (NML): BUY Maintained Earnings revised due to lower margins; SOTP value higher - By Topline Research

Jul 10 2025


Topline Securities


  • We have revised down our earnings estimates for Nishat Mills (NML) by average 33% for FY25 and FY26 to Rs18.49 and Rs19.11 on the back of lower-than-expected gross margins posted by company in 9MFY25.
  • We have now assumed gross margins of average 11.1% for FY25-FY27 in our forecast compared to 9MFY25 gross margins of 11.3%. While gross margins in last 10 years i.e. FY15- FY24 have averaged at 12.4%.
  • Despite decline in earnings, we maintain our BUY stance on the company with Jun 2026 target price of Rs225, suggesting total return of 60% including dividend yield of 2%.
Pakistan Bank: Banks core income to decline in 4QCY24E - By JS Rresearch

Feb 12 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We preview 4QCY24 results for Pakistan banks which are expected to broadly report YoY decline in core income due to NIMs contraction. Moreover, higher taxation is expected to outweigh gains from elevated non-core income and asset base growth.
  • Despite the decline in core income and continued reduction in asset yields, which will impact future quarterly profits, we expect the dividend strategies for 4QCY24 to remain intact.
  • Within our Banking Universe, we expect HBL to report EPS of Rs7.5 (+74% YoY), UBL Rs11.9 (+108% YoY), MEBL Rs12.3 (+82% YoY), AKBL Rs3.4 (+72% YoY), HMB Rs4.4 (+89% YoY) and FABL Rs2.4 (+46% YoY) for 4QCY24.
Fauji Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FFC): 4Q EPS dent by merger adjustments; overall outlook remains intact - By JS Rresearch

Feb 6 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Fauji Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FFC) completed the amalgamation process of Fauji Fertilizer Bin Qasim Lim. (FFBL). FFC reported its earnings of the merged entity amounting to Rs65bn, translating into an EPS (diluted) of Rs45.49. Alongside the result, the Company announced a cash dividend of Rs21/sh., taking the CY24 payout to Rs34.9/sh.
  • The company recently conducted its corporate briefing session, to discuss CY24 results and outlook of the merged entity. Management highlighted that audit adjustments on receivables related to sales tax and subsidies impacted margins in the last quarter. Nevertheless, we expect margins to stabilize in the upcoming quarters, hovering around 34%.
  • Further, the management apprised that the Port Qasim plant (formerly FFBL) turnaround is nearing completion, while one turnaround at base plant is expected this month, another is planned for Oct-2025. Moreover, the management reiterated that the gas supply agreement with MARI remains intact until 2029. We reiterate our liking for FFC, offering CY25E D/Y of 13%.
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