Allied Bank Limited (ABL): CY24 Analyst Briefing Key Takeaways - By Taurus Research

Feb 14 2025


Taurus Securities


  • ABL is currently operating with 1,330 conventional branches, 160 Islamic branches, and 18 Digital branches. The bank plans to open a total of 30 Islamic branches and 4 Sub branches going forward.
  • During CY24, ABL’s balance sheet growth stood at 21%, compared to the industry average of 16%. ABL’s borrowings were up 24% from the Dec’23 level, while deposits grew by 20%, respectively. The management continues to focus on low-cost deposit mobilization. Deposits currently stand at PKR 2.01Tn, with a CASA mix of 86%. ABL’s deposit market share currently stands at ~7%. Moreover, Current Accounts share out of total deposits stands at 38%.
  • Gross advances clocked in at PKR 1.1Tn, with NPLs of PKR 12.9Bn. The NPL ratio stood at ~1.22% reduced by 0.4%YoY , and coverage was ~115.69%. Moreover, the ADR as of Dec’24 was ~52.83%, in line with the industry average of 52.87%
Pakistan Textile: 3QFY25: Stable revenue & margins - By JS Research

May 20 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We review 3QFY25 performance of Textile sector with our sample size of 8 companies. Our sample companies reported a revenue growth of 4% YoY; however, gross margins dipped by 2% YoY (mainly due to softening of product prices). Earnings rose by 13% YoY during the period mainly led by 24% YoY decline in finance cost (-24% YoY), off-setting dip in margins and higher taxation during the quarter.
  • On QoQ basis, our selected companies reported flat top-line growth and gross margins. However, rise in taxes has resulted in 10% QoQ drop in the net earnings.
  • Interestingly, despite a 25% QoQ surge in gas prices for CPPs from Rs3,000/MMBtu in Dec-24 to Rs3,500/MMBtu in Jan-25 and Rs4,291/MMBtu in Mar-25, energy costs and margins for selected companies remained flat QoQ, indicating a greater shift towards cheaper energy sources (FO, coal-based CPP, or grid power purchases)
Economy: IMF projects considerable improvement in external position despite softer growth outlook - By AKD Research

May 19 2025


AKD Securities


  • IMF acknowledges that authorities met all quantitative performance criteria and majority of the indicative criteria and structural benchmarks.
  • The baseline macroeconomic projections reflect a moderately lower outlook for near-term activity, due to the impact of higher US tariffs on Pakistan.
  • The IMF program remained fully financed, with firm commitments for the next 12 months and good prospects for the reminder of the Fund-supported program.
Fertilizers: Reliable dividend yield on offer - By JS Research

May 9 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Keeping our long-term view on stable fertilizer demand and dividend yields intact, we believe Fauji Fertilizer Company (FFC) and Engro Fertilizers (EFERT) to remain on investors radar. Recent correction in stock prices have made dividend yields on FFC and EFERT even more attractive at 13%/ 16% and 14%/ 18% for CY25E and CY26E respectively.
  • Weak demand pattern likely to continue impacting fertilizer sales during Apr-2025, with Urea volumes likely to post 24% YoY decline. Cumulatively, Urea volumes during 4MCY25 are likely to hover around 1,350k tons (-37% YoY). On the contrary, DAP volumes are likely to recover by 12% YoY to clock-in at 104k tons (4MCY25: 254k tons, down 33% YoY).
  • Company-wise, FFC is expected to post Urea off-take of 108k tons, down 52% YoY in Apr-2025, including FFBL’s volume of 16kt. Wherein, EFERT and FATIMA are likely to post a YoY growth in volumes of 6% and 61%, respectively during the month.
Allied Bank Limited (ABL): 1QCY25 EPS arrives at PKR 7.4; PAT down 27%YoY/ up 7%QoQ - By Taurus Research

Apr 24 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 1QCY25 EPS: PKR 7.4. 1QCY25 PAT down 27%YoY – above expectations. ABL has also announced interim DPS of PKR 4.00.
  • Net Interest Income (NII): Down 13%YoY/ Up 1%QoQ driven by pressure on margins on the back of lower yields on the asset side following reduction in interest rates, offset by lower interest expenses due to decrease in the cost of funds on account of lower interest rates and the revised MDR regime going into effect from Jan’25.
  • Non-Markup Income (NMI): Up 9%YoY. But fell 13% compared to the previous quarter due to significant decrease in capital gains i.e. 64%. Fee income was down 5%QoQ. However, dividend income and forex income were up 15% and 41%QoQ.
Faysal Bank Limited (FABL): 1QCY25 Result Preview - By AHCML Research

Apr 22 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • Faysal Bank Limited is expected to report an EPS of Rs. 2.8, accompanied by a Rs. 1.5/share payout as the first interim dividend for CY25. We anticipate a 6% YoY increase in Net Interest Income (NII) for 1QCY25 compared to 1QCY24, driven by a lower cost of deposits amid a declining interest rate environment. However, on a QoQ basis, NII is expected to decline by 4% due to the lower policy rate translating into reduced markup income.
  • On the non-funded side, non-interest income is projected to grow by 36% YoY, supported by higher fee-based income and capital gains. Compared to the previous quarter (4QCY24), non-interest income is expected to rise by 6%.
  • Conversely, non-interest expenses are expected to surge by 50% YoY, in line with FABL’s branch expansion strategy and investment in digital infrastructure.
Faysal Bank Limited (FABL): 4QCY24 EPS clocks-in at PKR 2.3; PAT down 55%YoY/48%QoQ - By Taurus Research

Feb 20 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 4QCY24 EPS: PKR 2.3. 4QCY24 PAT down 55%YoY. CY24 EPS: PKR 15.7. CY24 PAT up 18%YoY – below expectations. FABL also announced a final DPS of PKR 2.50, taking the full year payout to PKR 7.00/sh.
  • Net Spread Earned: Down 6%YoY/5%QoQ, driven primarily by lower margins due to falling yields on earning assets as a consequence of reduction in the policy rate by the SBP during the year. ? Other Income: Up 10%YoY/55%QoQ, on the back of 26% growth in fee income on a sequential basis along with surge in dividend income. Income from foreign exchange was also up 2.1xQoQ providing support to the bottom-line.
Allied Bank Limited (ABL): CY24 Analyst Briefing Key Takeaways - By Taurus Research

Feb 14 2025


Taurus Securities


  • ABL is currently operating with 1,330 conventional branches, 160 Islamic branches, and 18 Digital branches. The bank plans to open a total of 30 Islamic branches and 4 Sub branches going forward.
  • During CY24, ABL’s balance sheet growth stood at 21%, compared to the industry average of 16%. ABL’s borrowings were up 24% from the Dec’23 level, while deposits grew by 20%, respectively. The management continues to focus on low-cost deposit mobilization. Deposits currently stand at PKR 2.01Tn, with a CASA mix of 86%. ABL’s deposit market share currently stands at ~7%. Moreover, Current Accounts share out of total deposits stands at 38%.
  • Gross advances clocked in at PKR 1.1Tn, with NPLs of PKR 12.9Bn. The NPL ratio stood at ~1.22% reduced by 0.4%YoY , and coverage was ~115.69%. Moreover, the ADR as of Dec’24 was ~52.83%, in line with the industry average of 52.87%
Economy: Favorable indicators to pave way for singledigit interest rates - By AKD Research

Jan 29 2025


AKD Securities


  • SBP monetary policy committee cautiously approached monetary policy to ensure sustainable economic growth and cut policy rate by 100bps to 12%, against our expectation of 200bps
  • On a positive note, the SBP revised downward its inflation forecast to a range of 5.5% to 7.5%, with the revised current account assumption expected to be in the range of a surplus of 0.5% to a deficit of 0.5% of GDP for FY25.
  • We expect SBP to reduce interest rates by 250bps to 9.5% during the remainder of CY25, with most of the easing in first half.
Cement: Negotiations among cement playersto lead to an amicable resolution; “overweight maintained” – By Topline Research

Jan 3 2025


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan Cement Players are reportedly under disagreements and based on our channel checks, a/few listed player(s) have asked for increase in market share and while some have asked for changes in geographic sales to fetch higher retention prices. Our channel checks suggest that these issues have been ongoing for 2-3 months and finally cement sector players have started negotiations to resolve issues, which we believe will result in some amicable solution.
  • As a result of above issues, cement prices in the month of Dec 2024 in north region have come down by 5% in last 2 months from Rs1490/bag in Oct 2024 to Rs1,415/bag as of Jan 02, 2025 PBS data. Further as per our dealer checks, prices of cement in north have also come down to Rs1370/bag.
  • Consequently, KSE-100 listed cement companies are down by 2.73-6.93% in first half of trading session today.
Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Limited (SNGP): Gas price hike to help E&Ps and PSO to retire previous receivables backlog - By Topline Research

Dec 18 2024


Topline Securities


  • OGRA has announced its decision on the review petition filed by Sui Companies for the revenue requirement for FY25. OGRA has recommended to increase gas prices by 8.8% and 26% for SNGP and SSGC, respectively. As part of the IMF program, adjusting gas tariffs is a structural benchmark, and the revised tariffs are due before February 15, 2025.
  • Average Operating Assets (AOA): Sui companies' profitability is determined through return on average operating assets; therefore, rate of return and quantum of average operating assets holds high importance in analysis. SNGP in its review petition dated Oct 28, 2024 requested for AOA of Rs147bn vs. previously approved AOA of Rs108.2bn on May 20, 2024. However, OGRA has allowed AOA of Rs108.57bn, largely same as approved on May 20, 2024. While, required return on assets is 25.92%.
  • 50% of Finance cost allowed now as compared to 25% in previous determination of FY25: OGRA has now allowed 50% of the finance cost on running finance as pass through vs. earlier approval of 25% in May 20, 2024 review decision against request of 100% pass through.
AirLink Communication Ltd ((AIRLINK): Innovation unplugged - By Foundation Research

May 27 2025


Foundation Securities


  • We initiate coverage on AirLink Communication Ltd. with an ‘Outperform’ rating and a Dec’25 TP of PKR 273.3/sh, implying a 67.8% upside. AIRLINK has established a strong position in the mobile manufacturing market through the local assembly of prominent brands including Xiaomi, Tecno, and Itel. The company has ambitious plans to expand its product portfolio further by venturing into the manufacturing of laptops, TV’s and EV’s.
  • Our positive outlook on AIRLINK is supported by (1) increasing broadband and smartphone penetration in Pakistan, (2) strategic expansion aided by a 10-year tax holiday, (3) rising market share of low budget smartphones, (4) diversification into laptops and TVs, (5) potential in Xiaomi smartphone exports, and (6) expanding horizons with EV’s. Despite growing competition, the company’s forward looking initiatives position it strongly to capitalize on untapped market opportunities.
  • Increasing broadband and smartphone penetration: Pakistan’s smartphone penetration (31%) is significantly lower than in neighboring India (47%) and other developing countries (avg: 54%) with a GDP per capita close to Pakistan’s. Similarly, smartphone penetration in South-East Asia stood at 79% in 2024, highlighting the gap and growth opportunity in Pakistan. Improved internet access and evolving popularity of social apps coupled with digitalization are likely to keep demand for smartphones robust in the near term.
Pakistan Economy: May-25 CPI likely at 2.7%, base effect wears off - By JS Research

May 27 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Pakistan's Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to clock in at 2.7% for May-2025. The base effect is now fading, signalling a return to normalized price trends. This is likely to take 11MFY25 average inflation to 4.7%, down from 11MFY24 average of 24.9%.
  • Due to the rapid disinflation during the year, our base case CPI forecast for FY25 averages 4.6%. The rolling 12-month forward CPI estimate stands at around 5.7%.
  • State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) reduced policy rate to 11% in the last MPC meeting, owing to rapidly declining inflation. A further rate cut of 50-100bps cannot be ruled out in the near future. SBP is scheduled next to meet on 16th June 2025 for its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting.
Morning News: IMF in disagreement over key targets, subsidies - By Vector Research

May 27 2025


Vector Securities


  • The Finance Ministry said on Monday that the presentation of the Federal Budget 2025-26 has been delayed from June 2 to June 10 due to disagreements with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) over key budgetary figures, including subsidy allocations.
  • Prime Minister Muhammad Shehbaz Sharif said that the bilateral trade between Pakistan and Iran which stood at $3billion would be taken to $10 billion volume in the next few years, as there was immense potential of growth. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Monday departed to Iran after concluding his two-day official visit to Turkiye.
  • Despite projected remittance inflows of $38 billion in the current fiscal year (FY25), Pakistan’s per expatriate remittance remains significantly lower than that of peer countries. “Although remittances have grown at a compound annual rate of 6.1 per cent from 2013 to 2023, per expatriate remittance remains low in comparison to other countries in the region,” said a report released by the Policy Research and Advisory Council (PRAC) on Monday.
Morning News: Budget features bold measures for ‘strategic direction - By HMFS Research

May 27 2025


HMFS Research


  • Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb on Monday pledged that the upcoming federal budget would introduce “bold measures” to steer the national economy in a strategic direction and make available whatever support is required by the armed forces. Further said that every possible support would be provided to the armed forces, stressing that it was a national need in light of recent cross-border aggression, not just a military requirement. He said the government would ensure simplified tax returns and forms for the salaried class. He said that around 70 to 80 percent of salaried people did not hold equity and fixed-income portfolios. “They receive salaries through bank accounts with tax deducted at source. They should not have to fill in 140-150 data points,” he said, adding that the government aimed to reduce that number to just nine — five for wealth tax and four for income tax. He said the process would now be accelerated, with transactions involving Pakistan International Airlines (PIA), three power distribution companies and some financial institutions expected to reach completion by the end of this year.
  • The Finance Ministry said on Monday that the presentation of the Federal Budget 2025-26 has been delayed from June 2 to June 10 due to disagreements with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) over key budgetary figures, including subsidy allocations. “The budget announcement has been delayed by a week because the Finance Ministry’s figures are still under reconciliation. The IMF has placed a cap on subsidies,” he added. He further noted that the IMF has declined to make any changes to the revised budget figures recently presented to the Fund’s team.
  • The government is seriously considering reducing federal excise duty (FED) on beverages (aerated water) in the coming budget (2025-26) to attract foreign investment in this sector. Foreign investors including Turkish investors have promised more foreign direct investment in beverage sector in case of tax relief in the coming budget (2025-26). Leading global players with Turkish and Korean franchise investors have invested over USD 2 billion in Pakistan since 2018. However, no new investments have been made since 2023 due to the current fiscal environment. The industry contributes over Rs 175 billion in taxes annually (FED, GST, income tax, super tax) - one of the highest taxed sectors.
K-Electric (KEL): Transmission and Distribution Tariff Unveiled All three businesses now will get USD tariff - By Topline Research

May 26 2025


Topline Securities


  • In Seven months after securing dollarized tariff for generation business, the K-Electric (KEL) has also secured dollarized tariff for its transmission and distribution business for 7 years, i.e. from FY24 to FY30.
  • Distribution Business awarded USD ROE of 14%: NEPRA has awarded USD IRR of 14% to KEL for distribution business against requested USD IRR of 16.67%. The USD IRR of 14% translates into PKR ROE of 25.6% for Y1 (i.e. FY24). Which is better than previous tariff PKR return of 16.67%.
  • Transmission Business awarded USD ROE of 12%: NEPRA has awarded USD IRR of 12% to KEL for transmission business against requested USD IRR of 15%. The USD IRR of 12% translates into PKR ROE of 21.4% for Y1 (i.e. FY24). Which is better than previous tariff PKR return of 15%
Market Wrap: Highlights of the day May 26, 2025 - By JS Research

May 26 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index fell 0.8% to an intraday low of 118,150, as investor sentiment weakened due to the government's delay in presenting the federal budget and ongoing uncertainty surrounding IMF fiscal targets. The postponement of Budget 2025–26 and unresolved negotiations with the IMF are driving the risk-off behavior. Market direction remains contingent on clarity from upcoming IMF discussions and the budget announcement; volatility is likely to persist until fiscal policy details are finalized.
Pakistan Economy: OPEC’s aggressive output hike puts Pakistan in a sweet spot - By Insight Research

May 26 2025


Insight Securities


  • OPEC+ is expected to announce another output hike of 411 k bbl/day starting July, according to multiple news reports . During the group’s upcoming meeting on June 1st, members are likely to approve a production increase that is three times larger than the previously planned hike of 137 k bbl/day . If materialized, this move could add pressure to already struggling international crude oil prices, which have been weighed down by a weak global economic outlook.
  • Sources close to the group indicate that larger -than -expected output hike may be part of a broader strategy to bring as much as 2 . 2mn bbl/day back into the market by Nov’25 . The decision is widely seen as an effort, particularly by Saudi Arabia to regain lost market share and push high cost producers out of the market . Notably, Saudi Arabia’s market share has been on a declining trend since 2022 , following OPEC+ production cuts that reduced the cartel’s overall share in global oil supply . KSA’s market share declined even faster than the group’s average . The current strategy also appears to target non -compliant OPEC+ members, with Saudi Arabia leveraging its cost advantage to reclaim share from both shale producers and cartel members who are not adhering to quotas . Additionally, experts suggest a geopolitical angle to the move, particularly in the context of U . S . -Saudi relations . The Trump administration is reportedly keen on lower oil prices to curb inflation and restore market confidence especially due to tariff-induced uncertainty . On the other hand, Saudi Arabia is seeking deeper defense cooperation and has recently announced plans to invest US $600bn in US .
  • We believe that Saudi Arabia aims to capture market share from high -cost producers while maintaining some degree of control on prices through monthly OPEC+ meetings, as highlighted in group’s recent press releases . A sharp price decline would not be in KSA’s interest, especially considering its ambitious development plan .
Pakistan Economy: National Consumer Price Index (NCPI) - By AHCML Research

May 26 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • Inflation in May’25 is expected to clock in at 3.0% YoY, up from 0.3% in Apr’25 and down from 11.8% in May’24, as base effects continue to fade. On a monthly basis, CPI is likely to decline by 0.6% MoM, posting the second consecutive drop, mainly due to a 2.3% fall in food prices amid improved supply of perishables. However, poultry shortages are expected to push egg and chicken prices up by 32.8% and 20.7% MoM, respectively.
  • The transport index is expected to decline by 0.7% MoM due to lower fuel prices, while the clothing and footwear index is projected to rise by 1.2% MoM.
  • On a YoY basis, food inflation is anticipated to ease to 0.9%, but non-food inflation is likely to remain elevated, led by healthcare (+12.5%), education (+10.4%), clothing (+9.9%), and restaurants (+8.4%).
K-Electric (KEL): NEPRA approves Multi-Year T&D Tariff for K-Electric - By Taurus Research

May 26 2025


Taurus Securities


  • NEPRA has approved Multi-Year Tariff for Transmission & Distribution (T&D) network segments of K-Electric for FY24- FY30. Salient features of the multi-year tariff approved by NEPRA are as follows:
  • Control Period: 7 Years, from FY24- FY30.
  • Allowed Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 70:30.
Pak Aluminium Beverage Cans Ltd (PABC): Exports outlook gets weaker; Reiterate Sell - By JS Research

May 26 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We tweak down our CY25E/CY26E EPS estimates for Pak Aluminium Beverage Cans Ltd (PABC) by 9% and TP by 4%. The revision is mainly led by the expected fall in volumes led by border issues with Afghanistan coupled with the upcoming capacity expansions in Central Asia, which may adversely impact PABC’s export prospects to the region. We reiterate our Underperform rating for the stock with a TP of Rs110.
  • Furthermore, any reduction in regulatory duty in the upcoming budget (from 22%-26% currently to 15% or less) given to the local industry, may create pressure on sales volumes from dumping of cheaper products in the country.
  • We consider resumption of dividend payout and announcement of any Capex or investment plan as key triggers for the stock going forward. To highlight, PABC stands at net cash position of Rs10.7bn (Mar-2025).
K-Electric (KEL): NEPRA approves Multi-Year T&D Tariff for K-Electric - By Taurus Research

May 26 2025


Taurus Securities


  • NEPRA has approved Multi-Year Tariff for Transmission & Distribution (T&D) network segments of K-Electric for FY24- FY30. Salient features of the multi-year tariff approved by NEPRA are as follows:
  • Control Period: 7 Years, from FY24- FY30.
  • Allowed Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 70:30.
Image Pakistan Limited (IMAGE): 3QFY25 Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By Taurus Research

May 23 2025


Taurus Securities


  • IMAGE is a premium fashion retailer specializing in Schiffli embroidery and digital lawn. It operates 14 stores across Pakistan and a growing online platform serving both local and international markets. With subsidiaries in the UK and USA, IMAGE targets the affordable luxury segment, blending traditional craftsmanship with modern design for its customers.
  • In 3QFY25, IMAGE reported sales of PKR 1,205 million, relatively unchanged from 3QFY24 sales of PKR 1,204 million. Gross profit margin slightly improved to 45% in 3QFY25 compared to 42% in the same period last year (SPLY). However, net profit after tax (PAT) decreased by 12% to PKR 209Mn in 3QFY25 from PKR 238Mn in the SPLY due to an increase in distribution and selling expenses. EPS stood at PKR 0.91 in 3QFY25 (3QFY24 EPS: PKR 1.81).
  • During 3QFY25, IMAGE expanded its physical presence with three new stores: Multan, Gujrat, and a new outlet at Dolmen Mall Lahore, taking total outlets to 14 nationwide. An additional three outlets (DHA Phase VI Karachi, Giga Mall Rawalpindi, and F-6 Islamabad) are scheduled for launch by the end of CY25, which will bring the total to 17 brick-and-mortar stores. This accelerated rollout indicates management’s confidence in sustained foot traffic recovery and untapped urban demand.
Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans Limited (PABC): CY24 & 1QCY25 Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By Taurus Research

May 23 2025


Taurus Securities


  • PABC is the leading manufacturer of beverage cans in Pakistan. The Company is also Pakistan’s first and only manufacturer and exporter of aluminium cans.
  • During CY24, sales revenue increased 17%YoY clocking in at PKR 23Bn. The contribution of the exports to total revenue was around 63% during the year. Export sales increased 53%YoY to PKR 14.4Bn. Gross margin recorded a marginal decrease. Net profit for the year was recorded at PKR 6Bn compared to PKR 5Bn during the SPLY. The net profit margin recorded a marginal increase. As a result, EPS increased to PKR 16.9/sh from PKR 13.9/sh during the SPLY.
  • The Company reported a production of 936Mn cans in CY24, at a capacity utilization of 89%. The production capacity is 1.2Bn cans p.a.
Lalpir Power Limited (LPL): CY24 Corporate Briefing Key Takeaways - By Taurus Research

May 23 2025


Taurus Securities


  • LPL’s Power Purchase Agreement, originally due to expire in Nov’28, was terminated effective Oct 1, 2024, under a Negotiated Settlement Agreement. Receivables up to Sep 30, 2024—including CPP, EPP, and PTI—were cleared by Dec 31, 2024. Delayed payment interest was waived, resulting in significant reversals in the financials. The Company retains ownership of its 350MW oil-fired complex, and no further compensation was provided by the Government. CPPA-G will reimburse the Company for any adverse tax rulings if applicable.
  • Revenue declined 27%YoY to PKR 14.2Bn (CY23: PKR 19.5Bn), reflecting reduced dispatches ahead of PPA expiry. Gross profit fell to PKR 3.55Bn (CY23: PKR 5.6Bn), while PAT sharply dropped to PKR 465Mn from PKR 4.9Bn. This steep decline was primarily driven by non-recurring reversals—including furnace oil inventory written down to net realizable value due to low selling prices and the reversal of interest income due to waived charges under the settlement. EPS declined significantly to PKR 1.22 (CY23: PKR 12.1).
  • LPL reported surplus funds of PKR 9.8Bn as of Dec 31, 2024, ensuring liquidity strength post-PPA. However, Management clarified that it does not plan to distribute excess reserves via dividends in the near term. Instead, the focus is on pursuing high-potential ventures that can deliver superior long-term shareholder value.
Power Cement Limited (POWER): Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By Taurus Research

May 21 2025


Taurus Securities


  • The management of POWER highlighted that the Company turned into profit after five years amid massive developments i.e. successful plant turnaround, significant payment of a finance cost, improving operational efficiency through better fuel mix and capturing huge market share in high grade cement.
  • On the production and sales front, the management told that net sales dropped 16%YoY in 9MFY25 due to drastic decline in production and sales of Clinker on the back of significant decline in international Clinker prices. However, they expect some recovery in Clinker export prices until Dec’25 i.e. in between USD 35-37 per ton. This will improve profitability of the Company. Further, Operating profit surged 24%YoY in 9MFY25 on account of drop in finance cost (35%YoY) due to lower interest rates along with reduction in operational costs i.e. fuel saving of around 10% by using Agricultural Waste as alternative fuel. Moreover, the management is expecting to pay off significant portion of dividends to preference shareholders (Currently 74.5Mn as outstanding) once it has settled large amount of debt during FY26.
  • According to the management, the Company is using 100% imported coal (mainly from US) with a total cost of around PKR 35-37K per ton. Whereas, total export price per ton of Clicker (70% of total exports) and Cement is currently at USD 35-37 and USD 40-47, respectively. They shared that the recent Plant turnaround made it operating at 100% capacity (capable of utilizing high Sulphur coal to make high grade cement). The current retention price is ~PKR 775-800 per bag.
Pakistan Economy: IMF releases its Country Report on Pakistan - By Taurus Research

May 20 2025


Taurus Securities


  • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released its latest Country Report (or staff report) on Pakistan, following conclusion of the first review under the 37-month USD 7Bn Extended Fund Facility (EFF), leading to the immediate disbursement of ~USD 1Bn (SDR 760Mn). In addition, Pakistan also secured approval for a Resilience & Sustainability Facility (RSF) amounting to USD 1.4Bn for the purposes of tackling climate change.
  • Overall, policy efforts have continued to bear fruit. Wherein, financial and external conditions have continued to improve, with a current account surplus in 10MFY25 and FX reserves exceeding the IMF’s projections. NCPI has also declined to historical lows, albeit core inflation remains elevated. Economic recovery is continuing. Hence, Pakistan’s capacity to repay has improved too.
  • According to the Staff Report, Pakistan’s GDP growth is expected to arrive at 2.6% for FY25 (revised down from earlier forecast of 3.2%). Similarly, GDP growth for FY26 has also been revised down from 4% to 3.6%. However, the IMF’s forecast for headline inflation has been revised down substantially from the earlier estimates; to 5.1% and 7.7% for FY25 and FY26, respectively— expected to arrive within the SBP’s target range of 5%-7%.
Textile: Apr’25 Textile exports down 1%YoY/15%QoQ - By Taurus Research

May 19 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Textile exports arrived at USD 1.22Bn in Apr’25 as compared to USD 1.23Bn in the SPLY, a decline of ~1%YoY. Whereas, on a monthly basis it has significantly decreased by 15%MoM. The decrease was mainly due to the decline in exports of cotton yarn, cotton cloth, bed wear, tents & canvas, arts & silk and other textiles, down 31%YoY, 6%YoY, 3%YoY, 15%YoY, 3%YoY, and 10% YoY, respectively. However, 10MFY25 textile exports increased 8%YoY to USD 14.8Bn as compared to USD 13.6Bn in the SPLY.
  • In Apr’25, Basic textile exports totaled USD 166Mn, a significant decline of ~13%YoY, mainly attributed to the decline in exports of cotton yarn. Whereas, value added exports showed an increase of 2%YoY with a 4%YoY decline in other textiles.
Textile: Apr’25 Textile exports down 1%YoY/15%QoQ - By Taurus Research

May 19 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Textile exports arrived at USD 1.22Bn in Apr’25 as compared to USD 1.23Bn in the SPLY, a decline of ~1%YoY. Whereas, on a monthly basis it has significantly decreased by 15%MoM. The decrease was mainly due to the decline in exports of cotton yarn, cotton cloth, bed wear, tents & canvas, arts & silk and other textiles, down 31%YoY, 6%YoY, 3%YoY, 15%YoY, 3%YoY, and 10% YoY, respectively. However, 10MFY25 textile exports increased 8%YoY to USD 14.8Bn as compared to USD 13.6Bn in the SPLY.
  • In Apr’25, Basic textile exports totaled USD 166Mn, a significant decline of ~13%YoY, mainly attributed to the decline in exports of cotton yarn. Whereas, value added exports showed an increase of 2%YoY with a 4%YoY decline in other textiles.
TPL Properties Limited (TPLP): Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By Taurus Research

May 19 2025


Taurus Securities


  • The management conducted an analyst briefing on Friday 16, 2025 to provide an update on the March 29, 2025 fire incident at the Mangrove Project and shared updates on its progress.
  • On March 29, 2025, a minor fire occurred at the construction site of the Mangrove project due to an underground gas pocket encountered during deep borehole drilling for water.
  • In response, on April 8, 2025, the Government formed a technical team comprising of representatives from PPL, OGDCL and PRL to oversee the assessment and containment efforts.
Rafhan Maize Products Company Limited (RMPL): CY24 Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By Taurus Research

May 16 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Rafhan Maize Products Company Limited (RMPL) is an affiliate of Ingredion Incorporated, USA. Ingredion is one of the world’s leading corn refiners and carries a 71% stake in RMPL. RMPL considers itself to be an ingredients solution provider and serves more than 50 industries domestically and internationally. RMPL operates three manufacturing facilities in Punjab and Sindh.
  • RMPL primarily produces Starch (40%), Glucose (40%), and Dextrose (20%). RMPL operates in the following product categories and their respective segments: Food (confectionery, bakery, dairy, beverages, snacks, savory); Pharmaceuticals (Pharma-grade starches and glucose syrups for a wide range of applications); Industrial (textile, paper and corrugation, chemical and allied, and home and personal care); and Animal Nutrition (poultry, livestock, and aquaculture).
  • The Management noted that RMPL carries over 90% market share in its primary segments.
Current:
Open:
Volume:
Change: ()
High:
Low:
52 Week High:
Vol Avg(12 m):
Free Float:
52 Week Low:
Market Cap:
Total Share:

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI:

MACD Signals

MACD DAILY:
MACD WEEKLY:

Simple Moving Avg (SMA)

SMA(10):
SMA(30):
SMA(60):
SMA(200):

Performance

One Month:
Three Months:
Six Months:
Twelve Months:

Support & Resistance

Support 1:
Resistance 1:
Support 2:
Resistance 2:

High & Lows

Period
High
Low