Sazgar Engineering (SAZEW): 2QFY25 EPS at Rs39.83, up 3.2x YoY while down 43% QoQ – lower than industry expectations - By Topline Research

Feb 24 2025


Topline Securities


  • SAZEW announced its 2QFY25 result where the company recorded earnings of Rs2.4bn (EPS of Rs29.83), up 3.2x YoY, however, down 43% QoQ. The result came lower than industry expectations as we believe company have moved forward majority of its Dec sales to Jan 2025.
  • The large part of deviation was seen in the net revenues, which we expected to be around Rs20bn for Dec quarter, however, actual sales has clocked in at Rs18.4bn. Nonetheless, its up 2.8x YoY. We await the release of half year accounts to ascertain 4-wheeler sales units for month of Dec 2024.
  • Alongside the results, the company announced a dividend of Rs10/share in 2QFY25. This brings 1HFY25 dividend to Rs20/share.
Sazgar Engineering Works (SAZEW): Corporate Briefing Key Takeaways - By Topline Research

May 22 2025


Topline Securities


  • The management of Sazgar Engineering Works (SAZEW) held it's corporate briefing today to discuss the financial results for 3QFY25 and share the company's future outlook.
  • SAZEW plans to complete its four-wheeler manufacturing expansion by March 2026 and introduce new NEV models. The company will also focus on expanding its export markets (mainly three wheelers) and the local dealership network. Sazgar currently has a network of 20 four-wheeler dealers, with expansion underway as new centers in Mardan and Peshawar are set to open soon.
  • The production capacity of the company will increase from 40-50 cars a day to 90-100 cars a day post expansion.
Sazgar Engineering Works Ltd. (SAZEW): 9MFY25 Analyst Briefing Takeaways - By AKD Research

May 22 2025


AKD Securities


  • Sazgar Engineering Works Ltd. (SAZEW) held its analyst briefing to discuss 9MFY25 results and its future outlook. Following are the key highlights:
  • To recall, company posted topline of PkR81.4bn in 9MFY25 vs PkR34.6bn in 9MFY24, an increase of 2.4xYoY. The said increase is primarily attributed to higher volumetric sales of four wheelers, particularly HAVAL.
  • Company posted earnings of PkR12.9bn (EPS: PkR212.7) in 9MFY25, compared to PkR4.4bn (EPS: PkR73.6) in SPLY, an increase of 2.9xYoY.
Sazgar Engineering Works Limited (SAZEW): 3QFY25 EPS is recorded at PKR 103.1/sh, DPS PKR 12.0/sh - By Foundation Research

Apr 21 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Sazgar Engineering Works Limited (SAZEW PA) reported profitability of PKR 6.2Bn (EPS PKR 103.1), up 134/159% YoY/QoQ in 3QFY25. This takes 9MFY25 bottom-line to PKR 12.9Bn (EPS PKR 212.7), up 215% YoY. Results is higher than our expectation of PKR 89.2/sh due to higher than anticipated gross margin.
  • The result is accompanied with an interim cash dividend of PKR 12.0/sh in 3QFY25, pulling 9MFY25 pay-out to PKR 32.0/sh. The dividend is lower than our expectation of 18.0/sh given planned expansions which are to be financed completely with internally generated cash.
  • SAZEW posted sales of PKR 36.7Bn (↑83% YoY) in 3QFY25 which were driven by volumetric sales growth and upwelling gross margins. SAZEW’s 4-wheeler sales volume clocked-in at 3,486 units (↑85/80% YoY/QoQ) in 3QFY25, whereas, 3-wheeler sales were 7,170 units, registering a growth of 41/4% YoY/QoQ.
Sazgar Engineering Works Limited (SAZEW): Result Review: SAZEW 3QFY25 EPS Rs103, DPS Rs12 - By Sherman Research

Apr 21 2025


Sherman Securities


  • Sazgar Engineering Works Limited (SAZEW) announced 3QFY25 results today wherein the company posted record net earnings of Rs6.2bn (EPS Rs103.1), 2.6xQoQ higher than our expectations.
  • The earnings growth was driven primarily by robust gross margins and higher sales of Haval SUVs during the 3QFY25.
  • SAZEW declared cash dividend of Rs12 per share for 2QFY25, taking the cumulative dividend payout for 9MFY25 to Rs32 per share.
Sazgar Engineering (SAZEW): 3QFY25 EPS clocked in at PKR103.06 – Above expectation - By Insight Research

Apr 21 2025


Insight Securities


  • SAZEW has announced its 3QFY25 result, wherein company has posted PAT of PKR6.2bn (EPS: PKR103.06) vs. PAT of PKR3.0bn (EPS: PKR50.19) in SPLY. The result is above our expectation mainly due to higher than estimated topline and gross margins.
  • During 3QFY25, revenue witnessed an increase of ~83%/100% YoY/QoQ to clock in at PKR36.7bn, primarily due to higher volumetric sales.
  • Gross margins increased by ~360bps/420bps YoY/QoQ to clock in at ~32.6% in 3QFY25, possibly attributable to higher sales volumes.
Sazgar Engineering Works Limited (SAZEW): 3QFY25 EPS to Clock in at Rs90.7 - By Sherman Research

Apr 10 2025


Sherman Securities


  • We present 3QFY25 earnings estimate for Sazgar Engineering Works Limited (SAZEW) wherein company is expected to post net earnings of Rs5.4bn (EPS Rs90.7) as compared to net earnings of Rs3bn (EPS of Rs50.2), up 81%YoY. Furthermore, SAZEW is expected to announce a cash dividend of Rs20/share (up 2.5xYoY) in 3QFY25.
  • The growth in profitability is primarily driven by higher sales of Haval HEV SUVs coupled with higher sustained gross margins expected at 29.5% (supported by tax exemptions on HEV CKD imports).
  • On cumulative basis, net earnings are expected to reach Rs12.2bn (EPS Rs200) compared to net earnings of Rs4.4bn (EPS 73.6) up by 2.7xYoY during 9MFY25
Sazgar Engineering Works Limited (SAZEW): Revving up for the new era - By Foundation Research

Apr 7 2025


Foundation Securities


  • In a rapidly evolving automotive landscape, SAZEW’s entry into Pakistan’s 4-wheeler market capitalizing on the surging demand for SUVs, marked a pivotal moment. At the heart of this transformation stood the company’s resolve at redefining the industry with its sustainable forward-thinking approach - leveraging Greenfield incentives and expanding into the electric and hybrid segments. With the expected resurgence in the Auto sector, our positive view is underpinned by the company’s (1) brand equity of “HAVAL” in the 4-wheeler market, (2) robust gross margins to upkeep bottom-line, (3) efforts to penetrate further into the EV and HEV segment solidifying its green foot prints and (4) growth in iconic “SAZGAR” 3-wheelers along with broad products offerings - diversifying operational risks. In the light of the above, we initiate coverage on SAZEW with an ‘Outperform’ rating and a Dec’25 TP of PKR 1,504/sh, implying a 38% upside.
  • HAVAL's success story: HAVAL made its entry into the Pakistani market at a very opportune time. Where the SUV segment was slowly growing post the launch of KIA Sportage, MG-HS and Hyundai Tucson to name a few, HAVAL made a solid entry with the launch of Pakistan’s first locally assembled HEV. Consequently, the company has sold over 14k units in just 30 months. In 8MFY25, sales have exceeded 7k units and given the momentum, we opine reaching 12k mark in FY25 would not be a challenging feat. Plus, the collaboration with HIT to convert HAVAL H6 into a security vehicle and the recent MOU signed with Armed forces suggest robust volumetric growth going forward.
  • Elevated margins to stabilize but still remain higher than peers: SAZEW benefits greatly from its Greenfield status and AIDEP (2021-26) policy providing CD and ST concessions, which have resulted in stellar ~29% gross margins over the past 4 quarters compared to only ~10% when 3-wheelers was its main operating segment. Upwelling margins are expected to remain intact till FY26 when concessions end, whereby, we see them settling at ~16.5% in the longer term.
Sazgar Engineering Works Limited (SAZEW): Result Review: SAZEW 2QFY25 EPS Rs39.8, DPS Rs10 - By Sherman Research

Feb 24 2025


Sherman Securities


  • Sazgar Engineering Works Limited (SAZEW) announced 2QFY25 results today wherein the company posted profit-after-tax of Rs2.4bn (EPS Rs39.8), down 43%QoQ below our expectations.
  • The decline in SAZEW’s earnings is attributed to lower sales of Haval SUVs mainly due to year-end effect. We believe the company sold close to ~180 units lower than our estimate of ~350 units during month of Dec’24.
  • SAZEW declared cash dividend of Rs10 per share for 2QFY25, bringing the cumulative dividend payout for 1HFY25 to Rs20 per share.
Sazgar Engineering (SAZEW): 2QFY25 EPS at Rs39.83, up 3.2x YoY while down 43% QoQ – lower than industry expectations - By Topline Research

Feb 24 2025


Topline Securities


  • SAZEW announced its 2QFY25 result where the company recorded earnings of Rs2.4bn (EPS of Rs29.83), up 3.2x YoY, however, down 43% QoQ. The result came lower than industry expectations as we believe company have moved forward majority of its Dec sales to Jan 2025.
  • The large part of deviation was seen in the net revenues, which we expected to be around Rs20bn for Dec quarter, however, actual sales has clocked in at Rs18.4bn. Nonetheless, its up 2.8x YoY. We await the release of half year accounts to ascertain 4-wheeler sales units for month of Dec 2024.
  • Alongside the results, the company announced a dividend of Rs10/share in 2QFY25. This brings 1HFY25 dividend to Rs20/share.
Sazgar Engineering Works Limited (SAZEW): Driving the SUV Market in Pakistan – By Sherman Research

Jan 7 2025


Sherman Securities


  • In recent months, Sazgar Engineering Works Limited (SAZEW) has captured significant attention within the auto sector by introducing Haval SUV brand in August 2022 through a JV with Great Wall Motors (GWM) - China’s 8 th largest automobile manufacturer. Beside dominating SUV market, Sazgar already has a well established 3-wheeler rickshaw brand alongside automotive parts segment.
  • With highest gross margin in the industry (due to its cost efficiency and tax exemption on auto parts). We expect Sazgar’s earnings to sustain in near term despite competition from new entrants in hybrid SUV market, thanks to its successful brand ‘HAVAL’.
  • Despite posting exponential return of 462% in last one year, Sazgar trades at a compelling FY25PE of 4.4x, compared to the auto sector's trailing PE of 9x.
Market Wrap: Highlights of the day - By JS Research

Jul 11 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index surged 1,325 points to reach an intraday high of 133,902, as investor sentiment turned bullish on the back of strong macroeconomic signals. Record-high remittances of $38.3 billion and robust demand in recent government debt auctions drove renewed interest in the banking sector. This marks a key inflection point for the market. With improving fundamentals and fiscal stability, the index appears poised to consolidate above the 130,000 mark. Continued foreign inflows and structural reforms could sustain this momentum in the quarters ahead.
Market Wrap: Bullish Momentum Persists as PSX Hits Historic Peak - By HMFS Research

Jul 11 2025


HMFS Research


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) continued its record-setting momentum, with the KSE-100 Index hitting a new all-time high of 134,932 level, ultimately closed at 134,300 level posting a robust gain of 517 points during the session. The rally reflects sustained investor confidence, underpinned by a sharp improvement in macro fundamentals. Key catalysts included a marked improvement in Pakistan’s external position—with FX reserves surpassing USD 20bn for the first time in three years—and record-high PSDP utilization of PKR 1.046tn in FY25, representing 96% of the total allocation. This reflects strong fiscal execution and a clear commitment to growth-driven policy support. Investor sentiment was further bolstered by expectations of improved corporate earnings and a stable monetary outlook. Market activity remained strong, with 290mn shares traded on the KSE-100 and 764mn shares traded across the broader market. Top volume leaders included BOP (94mn), ASL (25mn), and KOSM (24mn). While short-term consolidation may follow the recent sharp gains, the medium-term outlook remains positive, supported by macroeconomic stability and earnings visibility. Investors are advised to maintain a selective, fundamentals-driven approach, with a focus on sectors benefiting from domestic demand recovery and policy tailwinds.
United Bank Limited (UBL): 2QCY25 EPS clocks-in at Rs 11.3, DPS Rs8.0 - By Foundation Research

Jul 11 2025


Foundation Securities


  • United Bank Limited (UBL) announced its 2QCY25 results today reporting earnings of PKR 28.2Bn (EPS: PKR 11.3), ↑103/↓21% YoY/QoQ respectively. This pulls 1HCY25 earnings to PKR 25.5/sh, up 117% YoY. The bank also announced an interim dividend of PKR 8.0/sh (1HCY25 pay-out: PKR 13.5/sh). The result is higher than our expectations because of greater than estimated NII however, high effective tax rate of 61.6% in 2Q dragged earnings.
  • Net Interest Income (NII) of the bank underwent a significant jump of 237% YoY to PKR 91.2Bn in 2Q with NIMs accretion supporting top-line growth. Note that NIMs declined to only 2.5% in the SPLY. The surge came from 1) robust investments book delivering strong fixed income returns, 2) sharp decline in deposit costs and 3) lagged impact of asset re-pricing. On a QoQ basis, NII increased by 8%.
  • Non-funded income arrived at PKR 15.2Bn in 2Q, ↓17% YoY mainly on account of streamlined capital gains. The decline was recorded despite a prolific 68% YoY jump in fee income. Forex income recorded an increase of 7% YoY over the same period. Over the past year, the bank has recorded handsome gains in commission on trade, commission on guarantees and card related fees which we believe continue to propel fee income accretion. On a sequential basis, NFI recorded a paltry decline of 3%.
Market Wrap: Highlights of the day - By JS Research

Jul 10 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index surged 1,325 points to reach an intraday high of 133,902, as investor sentiment turned bullish on the back of strong macroeconomic signals. Record-high remittances of $38.3 billion and robust demand in recent government debt auctions drove renewed interest in the banking sector. This marks a key inflection point for the market. With improving fundamentals and fiscal stability, the index appears poised to consolidate above the 130,000 mark. Continued foreign inflows and structural reforms could sustain this momentum in the quarters ahead
Automobile Assembler: Pakistan Car sales in Jun 2025 up 43% YoY to 21,773 units, ~ 3 year high - By Topline Research

Jul 10 2025


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan Car sales in Pakistan (as reported by PAMA) clocked in at 21,773 units in Jun 2025, reflecting a 64% YoY and 47% MoM rise.
  • MoM rise was mainly led by a 39-month high Alto sales due to pre-buying as GST was set to increase effective from Jul 01, 2025 from 12.5% to 18.0%.
  • YoY growth is supported by a more stable macroeconomic environment, introduction of more variants, lower interest rates, easing inflation, and improving consumer sentiment
Oil and Gas Exploration: Improving liquidity in E&P sector to set stage for recovery - By AKD Research

Jul 10 2025


AKD Securities


  • As per released figures from PPIS for Jun’25, oil/gas production for the year amounted to 62.4k bpd and 2,882mcfd, reflecting a decline of 12%/8%YoY.
  • We expect rebound in domestic hydrocarbons as excess RLNG issue is to be resolved through i) renegotiation of RLNG contract in 2026, ii) deferral of cargoes, and iii) increase in demand.
  • Industry participants have struck 21 discoveries during FY25, up 40%/91% compared to 15/11 discoveries during FY24/23, culminating to incremental production of 2.9k bpd of oil and 253mmcfd of gas as per initial flow rates.
Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle July 10, 2025 - By AHCML Research

Jul 10 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index opened on a positive note and surged to an intraday high of 133,902.34 points before closing at a record 133,782.34, gaining 1,205.36 points or 0.91%. Investor sentiment remained buoyant amid strong economic indicators and corporate developments. Record remittances of USD 38.3bn in FY25 (up 26.6% YoY), progress on the Roosevelt Hotel’s USD 1.0bn valuation in the proposed redevelopment plan, World Bank’s likely support for Reko Diq, a 10% rise in US exports, and a USD 1 billion syndicated loan by Dubai Islamic Bank all boosted investors’ confidence. Top contributors to the index included MEBL, MCB, UBL, BAHL, and FFC, which collectively added 570.42 points. BOP led the volumes with 155.38 million shares, while total market turnover reached 941.72 million shares.
Market Wrap: PSX Rebounds Strongly amid Strong Economic Indicators - By HMFS Research

Jul 10 2025


HMFS Research


  • The KSE 100 index resumed its upward trajectory today, reaching an intraday high of 133,902 after a slight correction in the previous session driven by profit-taking. The benchmark index closed at the 133,782 level, recording a gain of 1,205 points. The positive sentiment was primarily driven by a remarkable 26.6% surge in cumulative remittances in FY25, which reached a record high of USD 38.3bn. Consequently, buying was observed across major sectors including banking and cement. Investor confidence also improved ahead of corporate results season, furthermore, a 10% y/y increase in exports to the US, which reached USD 5.8bn in FY25, also aided momentum. Total traded volumes remained strong, with the KSE-100 Index posting 326mn shares and the All-Share Index recording 940mn shares. The most actively traded scrips today were BOP (155mn), KOSM (55mn), and HASCOL (33mn). Going forward, the market’s upward trend is expected to continue. However, since the Trump administration as of now has made no announcements over its tariff position on Pakistan, the bourse could swing in the opposite direction should the US decide to impose or reinstate trade barriers. Such a move could dampen investor sentiment, thereby stalling the market's momentum. Amidst this backdrop, investors are advised to remain cautious amid the recent gains in market indices, focusing on fundamentally strong sectors and companies with stable earnings and long-term potential.
Fertilizer: 2QCY25E earnings to jump on higher off-take - By Taurus Research

Jul 10 2025


Taurus Securities


  • We expect Fertilizer players in our universe to witness robust surge in profitability on the back of significant increase in offtake during 2QCY25 i.e. Urea up 14%QoQ and DAP up 99% QoQ, attributed to rise in demand for fertilizer products at the start of the Kharif Season 2025 amid facilitating farmers with Kissan Cards, mitigating wheat crisis and stable fertilizer prices.
  • On the Company front, EFERT’s market share went up by 32% (up 8pptsYoY) in 2QCY25 due to base effect as the Company had undergone scheduled plant maintenance activities for 2 months during 2QCY24, resulting in rise in Urea off-take (up 9pptsYoY to 34%). Further, disparity in gas pricing mechanism has still put significant pressure on the margins of EFERT, forcing to sell Urea at a discounted price (discount of PKR 100-150 per bag started in Jan’25). Further, FFC has also reduced Urea prices by PKR 40/bag effective from May’25.
  • FFC’s net sales to clock-in at ~PKR 68Bn in 2QCY25, up 7%QoQ on account of increase in overall off-take by 17%QoQ (Urea and DAP off-take were up by 9% and 66%, respectively). Gross margins to hover around 38% in 2QCY25, up 2pptsQoQ. Distribution and admin expense to increase 2%QoQ, in-line with the increase in sales volumes. Finance cost to remain on the lower side (down 16%QoQ) amid deleveraging of FFBL and ongoing monetary easing cycle.
Nishat Mills Limited (NML): BUY Maintained Earnings revised due to lower margins; SOTP value higher - By Topline Research

Jul 10 2025


Topline Securities


  • We have revised down our earnings estimates for Nishat Mills (NML) by average 33% for FY25 and FY26 to Rs18.49 and Rs19.11 on the back of lower-than-expected gross margins posted by company in 9MFY25.
  • We have now assumed gross margins of average 11.1% for FY25-FY27 in our forecast compared to 9MFY25 gross margins of 11.3%. While gross margins in last 10 years i.e. FY15- FY24 have averaged at 12.4%.
  • Despite decline in earnings, we maintain our BUY stance on the company with Jun 2026 target price of Rs225, suggesting total return of 60% including dividend yield of 2%.
Engro Holdings (ENGROH): 4Q2024 EPS at Rs5.42, up 10x YoY - Earnings lower than industry expectations - By Topline Research

Mar 3 2025


Topline Securities


  • Engro Holdings (ENGROH) announced its 4Q2024 results today, reporting a profit attributable to equity owners of Rs6.5bn (EPS of Rs5.42), down 10x YoY.
  • This took 2024 earnings to Rs12.8bn (EPS of Rs10.70) down 14% YoY.
  • To note, these are results of Dawood Hercules (DAWH), while the results of Engro Holding (post transaction) will be shared from Mar quarter onwards as effective date of the transaction structure was Jan 01, 2025.
Sazgar Engineering (SAZEW): 2QFY25 EPS at Rs39.83, up 3.2x YoY while down 43% QoQ – lower than industry expectations - By Topline Research

Feb 24 2025


Topline Securities


  • SAZEW announced its 2QFY25 result where the company recorded earnings of Rs2.4bn (EPS of Rs29.83), up 3.2x YoY, however, down 43% QoQ. The result came lower than industry expectations as we believe company have moved forward majority of its Dec sales to Jan 2025.
  • The large part of deviation was seen in the net revenues, which we expected to be around Rs20bn for Dec quarter, however, actual sales has clocked in at Rs18.4bn. Nonetheless, its up 2.8x YoY. We await the release of half year accounts to ascertain 4-wheeler sales units for month of Dec 2024.
  • Alongside the results, the company announced a dividend of Rs10/share in 2QFY25. This brings 1HFY25 dividend to Rs20/share.
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