Hub Power Company Ltd (HUBC): 2QFY25 Result Review — Resumes cash-payout post base-plant termination - By AKD Research

Feb 26 2025


AKD Securities


  • Hub Power Company Ltd (HUBC) announced its 2QFY25 results earlier today, where-in the company reported consolidated NPAT of PkR4.2bn (EPS: PkR3.25), down by 72%YoY and significantly lower than expectations due to sharp-increase in other expenses and elevated effective tax rates. Alongside the result, the company announced a half-yearly cash dividend of PkR5.0/sh.
  • Consolidated revenue for the quarter clocked in at PkR15.5bn, down by 48% YoY vs. PkR29.9bn in SPLY. The contraction was primarily driven by the termination of the base plant’s PPA, effective Oct 1st, 2024, leading to a significant compression in the consolidated topline. Resultantly, company’s gross profitability amounted to 41%, compared to 56%/56% in 2QFY24/1QFY25, respectively.
  • Finance cost amounted to PkR4.1bn, down by 41%YoY. The decline was led due to falling interest rates and lower debt level
Hub Power Company Ltd (HUBC):3QFY25 Preview: Earnings dip amid PPA setbacks - By AKD Research

Apr 28 2025


AKD Securities


  • We expect Hub Power Company Ltd (HUBC) to post NPAT of PkR10.7bn (EPS: PkR8.25) for 3QFY25, down 38%YoY.
  • HUBC is anticipated to record its lowest consolidated topline in four years, expected to clock in at PkR14.3bn (down 55%YoY/8%QoQ).
  • Mar’25 marked the first month of BYD’s official entry into the domestic auto market, with the commencement of sales for the Atto-3 and Seal models.
Hub Power Company (HUBC): 2QFY25 EPS at Rs3.25, down 72% YoY and 78% QoQ – lower than expectations - By Topline Research

Feb 26 2025


Topline Securities


  • Hub Power Company (HUBC) announced its 2QFY25 result wherein company reported earnings of Rs4.2bn (EPS of Rs3.25), down 72% YoY and 78% QoQ —falling short of expectations due to lower gross profits and higher other expenses.
  • This brings 1HFY25 profits to Rs 23.3bn (EPS 17.99) a 28% decline from 1HFY24 where a Rs32.4bn (EPS 24.95) earning was recorded.
  • HUBC declared a Rs5/share dividend for 2QFY25, above industry expectations.
Hub Power Company (HUBC): 2QFY25 EPS at Rs3.25, down 72% YoY and 78% QoQ – lower than expectations - By Topline Research

Feb 26 2025


Topline Securities


  • Hub Power Company (HUBC) announced its 2QFY25 result wherein company reported earnings of Rs4.2bn (EPS of Rs3.25), down 72% YoY and 78% QoQ —falling short of expectations due to lower gross profits and higher other expenses.
  • This brings 1HFY25 profits to Rs 23.3bn (EPS 17.99) a 28% decline from 1HFY24 where a Rs32.4bn (EPS 24.95) earning was recorded.
  • HUBC declared a Rs5/share dividend for 2QFY25, above industry expectations.
Hub Power Company Ltd (HUBC): 2QFY25 Result Review — Resumes cash-payout post base-plant termination - By AKD Research

Feb 26 2025


AKD Securities


  • Hub Power Company Ltd (HUBC) announced its 2QFY25 results earlier today, where-in the company reported consolidated NPAT of PkR4.2bn (EPS: PkR3.25), down by 72%YoY and significantly lower than expectations due to sharp-increase in other expenses and elevated effective tax rates. Alongside the result, the company announced a half-yearly cash dividend of PkR5.0/sh.
  • Consolidated revenue for the quarter clocked in at PkR15.5bn, down by 48% YoY vs. PkR29.9bn in SPLY. The contraction was primarily driven by the termination of the base plant’s PPA, effective Oct 1st, 2024, leading to a significant compression in the consolidated topline. Resultantly, company’s gross profitability amounted to 41%, compared to 56%/56% in 2QFY24/1QFY25, respectively.
  • Finance cost amounted to PkR4.1bn, down by 41%YoY. The decline was led due to falling interest rates and lower debt level
The Hub Power Company Limited (HUBC): 2QFY25 Consolidated EPS arrived-in at PKR 3.2 ; PAT down 68%YoY - By Taurus Research

Feb 26 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 2QFY25 EPS: PKR 3.2; DPS: PKR 5; 1HFY25 EPS: PKR 18.0; DPS: PKR 5.0. PAT: Down 27%.
  • 2QFY25 consolidated revenue declined by 52%QoQ, settling at PKR 15.5Bn, likely due to the termination of the Base Plant PPA and lower power generation demand during winter. Consequently, HUBC's other expenses surged by PKR 3.6Bn, a 5x increase. We await further clarity on this matter from the company.
  • The share of profit from associates stood at PKR 9.8Bn, down 7%QoQ, which can be attributed to lower load factors for CPHGC and Thal Nova during the quarter.
Pakistan Power: HUBC & NPL — 2QFY25E Result Previews - By AKD Research

Feb 25 2025


AKD Securities


  • HUBC – 2QFY25E earnings to clock in at PkR9.0/sh: We expect Hub Power Company Ltd (HUBC) to post NPAT of PkR11.8bn (EPS: 9.07/sh) for 2QFY25, down 23%YoY/39%QoQ. The decline is primarily attributed to the termination of PPA for the base plant, effective October 1, 2024, leading to a lower topline of PkR17.2bn (down 43%YoY/46%QoQ). Notably, power offtakes from the company’s RFO and imported coal-based generators remain subdued during the quarter, while indigenous coal IPPs remained active throughout, benefiting from a higher ranking in NTDC’s merit order. On the non-operating front, share of profit from associates is expected to clock in at PkR10.7bn for the period (up 1%YoY). We do not anticipate the company to announce a cash dividend during the period (vs. PkR4.0/sh in SPLY), however, any payout would be a positive development. We reiterate our ‘BUY’ stance on HUBC with a Dec’25 TP of PkR151/sh, alongside a DY of 4% during the same period.
  • NPL expected to announce PkR2.0/sh payout in 2QFY25E: We anticipate Nishat Power Limited (NPL) to report NPAT of PkR982mn (EPS: PkR2.77) for 2QFY25E, up 14%YoY. The increase in earnings is due to higher finance income, supported by elevated cash and short-term investment balances of PkR11bn during the quarter (up 31%YoY). Additionally, the receipt of any outstanding dues from CPPA-G is expected to further strengthen the liquid position, partially offsetting the impact of declining fixed-income yields during the period. Regarding operations, plant utilization remained near 0% during the quarter (vs. 6%/7% in SPLY/1QFY25), primarily due to lower generation from RFO-based sources amid subdued power demand during the winter season. Alongside the results, we expect NPL to announce a half-year cash dividend of PkR2.0/sh, taking cumulative payout to PkR4.0 during the first half (vs. PkR2.50/sh in 1HFY24). Overall, we reiterate our ‘BUY’ stance on NPL with a Dec’25 TP of PkR46/sh, alongside a DY of 20% during the same period.
The Hub Power Company Limited (HUBC): 2QFY25 Consolidated EPS to arrive at PKR 7.7; PAT down 34%YoY - By Taurus Research

Feb 25 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Board Meeting: February 26, 2024. 2QFY25 EPS: PKR 7.7; DPS: PKR 3; 1HFY25 EPS: PKR 22.5; DPS: PKR 3. PAT: Down 10%.
  • Revenue: Net sales are expected to decline by 39%YoY and 43%QoQ to PKR 18.3Bn, driven by the early termination of the Base Plant PPA and lower utilization owing to lower power demand during winter. Gross profit is projected to fall 61%YoY, while PAT is expected to drop 34%YoY to PKR 10Bn.
  • Share of profit from associates: Earnings from associates are anticipated to decline 9%YoY, primarily due to lower contributions from CPHGC
Hub Power Company Ltd. (HUBCO): From heights to hurdles – By Insight Research

Dec 19 2024


Insight Securities


  • HUBC recently witnessed a rally, rising by 41% from its 52- week low of PKR93/sh. The rally began following a notice regarding a shareholder agreement with Mega Conglomerate Pvt. Ltd. to acquire a 50% stake in Mega Motor Company. This move will reduce HUBC's exposure to BYD, potentially increasing its dividend payout capacity, and secure a stake in a long-term value-generating business. The company’s focus on electric vehicles (EVs) and batteries is well-aligned with the government’s target to convert 30% of new vehicles to EVs, which will be supported by the upcoming New Energy Vehicle (NEV) policy.
  • While this development offer growth prospects, significant risk remains for HUBC. As per newsflows, the government has reached settlements with 17 IPPs established under the 1994 and 2002 policies, transitioning them to a hybrid take-and-pay framework. We believe that HUBC’s Narowal (RFO) and Laraib Energy (Hydel) plants are also part of these discussions, with settlements expected to align with the terms agreed upon with other IPPs.
  • Following these developments and recent run in stock price, we have a ‘HOLD’ stance on HUBC, with a SOTP based target price of PKR138/sh. However, risks persist for HUBC’s CPECrelated plants as well, as the government task force may also consider revising their PPAs, which could pose further challenges.
Market Wrap: Highlights of the day - By JS Research

Jul 11 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index surged 1,325 points to reach an intraday high of 133,902, as investor sentiment turned bullish on the back of strong macroeconomic signals. Record-high remittances of $38.3 billion and robust demand in recent government debt auctions drove renewed interest in the banking sector. This marks a key inflection point for the market. With improving fundamentals and fiscal stability, the index appears poised to consolidate above the 130,000 mark. Continued foreign inflows and structural reforms could sustain this momentum in the quarters ahead.
Market Wrap: Bullish Momentum Persists as PSX Hits Historic Peak - By HMFS Research

Jul 11 2025


HMFS Research


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) continued its record-setting momentum, with the KSE-100 Index hitting a new all-time high of 134,932 level, ultimately closed at 134,300 level posting a robust gain of 517 points during the session. The rally reflects sustained investor confidence, underpinned by a sharp improvement in macro fundamentals. Key catalysts included a marked improvement in Pakistan’s external position—with FX reserves surpassing USD 20bn for the first time in three years—and record-high PSDP utilization of PKR 1.046tn in FY25, representing 96% of the total allocation. This reflects strong fiscal execution and a clear commitment to growth-driven policy support. Investor sentiment was further bolstered by expectations of improved corporate earnings and a stable monetary outlook. Market activity remained strong, with 290mn shares traded on the KSE-100 and 764mn shares traded across the broader market. Top volume leaders included BOP (94mn), ASL (25mn), and KOSM (24mn). While short-term consolidation may follow the recent sharp gains, the medium-term outlook remains positive, supported by macroeconomic stability and earnings visibility. Investors are advised to maintain a selective, fundamentals-driven approach, with a focus on sectors benefiting from domestic demand recovery and policy tailwinds.
United Bank Limited (UBL): 2QCY25 EPS clocks-in at Rs 11.3, DPS Rs8.0 - By Foundation Research

Jul 11 2025


Foundation Securities


  • United Bank Limited (UBL) announced its 2QCY25 results today reporting earnings of PKR 28.2Bn (EPS: PKR 11.3), ↑103/↓21% YoY/QoQ respectively. This pulls 1HCY25 earnings to PKR 25.5/sh, up 117% YoY. The bank also announced an interim dividend of PKR 8.0/sh (1HCY25 pay-out: PKR 13.5/sh). The result is higher than our expectations because of greater than estimated NII however, high effective tax rate of 61.6% in 2Q dragged earnings.
  • Net Interest Income (NII) of the bank underwent a significant jump of 237% YoY to PKR 91.2Bn in 2Q with NIMs accretion supporting top-line growth. Note that NIMs declined to only 2.5% in the SPLY. The surge came from 1) robust investments book delivering strong fixed income returns, 2) sharp decline in deposit costs and 3) lagged impact of asset re-pricing. On a QoQ basis, NII increased by 8%.
  • Non-funded income arrived at PKR 15.2Bn in 2Q, ↓17% YoY mainly on account of streamlined capital gains. The decline was recorded despite a prolific 68% YoY jump in fee income. Forex income recorded an increase of 7% YoY over the same period. Over the past year, the bank has recorded handsome gains in commission on trade, commission on guarantees and card related fees which we believe continue to propel fee income accretion. On a sequential basis, NFI recorded a paltry decline of 3%.
Market Wrap: Highlights of the day - By JS Research

Jul 10 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index surged 1,325 points to reach an intraday high of 133,902, as investor sentiment turned bullish on the back of strong macroeconomic signals. Record-high remittances of $38.3 billion and robust demand in recent government debt auctions drove renewed interest in the banking sector. This marks a key inflection point for the market. With improving fundamentals and fiscal stability, the index appears poised to consolidate above the 130,000 mark. Continued foreign inflows and structural reforms could sustain this momentum in the quarters ahead
Automobile Assembler: Pakistan Car sales in Jun 2025 up 43% YoY to 21,773 units, ~ 3 year high - By Topline Research

Jul 10 2025


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan Car sales in Pakistan (as reported by PAMA) clocked in at 21,773 units in Jun 2025, reflecting a 64% YoY and 47% MoM rise.
  • MoM rise was mainly led by a 39-month high Alto sales due to pre-buying as GST was set to increase effective from Jul 01, 2025 from 12.5% to 18.0%.
  • YoY growth is supported by a more stable macroeconomic environment, introduction of more variants, lower interest rates, easing inflation, and improving consumer sentiment
Oil and Gas Exploration: Improving liquidity in E&P sector to set stage for recovery - By AKD Research

Jul 10 2025


AKD Securities


  • As per released figures from PPIS for Jun’25, oil/gas production for the year amounted to 62.4k bpd and 2,882mcfd, reflecting a decline of 12%/8%YoY.
  • We expect rebound in domestic hydrocarbons as excess RLNG issue is to be resolved through i) renegotiation of RLNG contract in 2026, ii) deferral of cargoes, and iii) increase in demand.
  • Industry participants have struck 21 discoveries during FY25, up 40%/91% compared to 15/11 discoveries during FY24/23, culminating to incremental production of 2.9k bpd of oil and 253mmcfd of gas as per initial flow rates.
Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle July 10, 2025 - By AHCML Research

Jul 10 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index opened on a positive note and surged to an intraday high of 133,902.34 points before closing at a record 133,782.34, gaining 1,205.36 points or 0.91%. Investor sentiment remained buoyant amid strong economic indicators and corporate developments. Record remittances of USD 38.3bn in FY25 (up 26.6% YoY), progress on the Roosevelt Hotel’s USD 1.0bn valuation in the proposed redevelopment plan, World Bank’s likely support for Reko Diq, a 10% rise in US exports, and a USD 1 billion syndicated loan by Dubai Islamic Bank all boosted investors’ confidence. Top contributors to the index included MEBL, MCB, UBL, BAHL, and FFC, which collectively added 570.42 points. BOP led the volumes with 155.38 million shares, while total market turnover reached 941.72 million shares.
Market Wrap: PSX Rebounds Strongly amid Strong Economic Indicators - By HMFS Research

Jul 10 2025


HMFS Research


  • The KSE 100 index resumed its upward trajectory today, reaching an intraday high of 133,902 after a slight correction in the previous session driven by profit-taking. The benchmark index closed at the 133,782 level, recording a gain of 1,205 points. The positive sentiment was primarily driven by a remarkable 26.6% surge in cumulative remittances in FY25, which reached a record high of USD 38.3bn. Consequently, buying was observed across major sectors including banking and cement. Investor confidence also improved ahead of corporate results season, furthermore, a 10% y/y increase in exports to the US, which reached USD 5.8bn in FY25, also aided momentum. Total traded volumes remained strong, with the KSE-100 Index posting 326mn shares and the All-Share Index recording 940mn shares. The most actively traded scrips today were BOP (155mn), KOSM (55mn), and HASCOL (33mn). Going forward, the market’s upward trend is expected to continue. However, since the Trump administration as of now has made no announcements over its tariff position on Pakistan, the bourse could swing in the opposite direction should the US decide to impose or reinstate trade barriers. Such a move could dampen investor sentiment, thereby stalling the market's momentum. Amidst this backdrop, investors are advised to remain cautious amid the recent gains in market indices, focusing on fundamentally strong sectors and companies with stable earnings and long-term potential.
Fertilizer: 2QCY25E earnings to jump on higher off-take - By Taurus Research

Jul 10 2025


Taurus Securities


  • We expect Fertilizer players in our universe to witness robust surge in profitability on the back of significant increase in offtake during 2QCY25 i.e. Urea up 14%QoQ and DAP up 99% QoQ, attributed to rise in demand for fertilizer products at the start of the Kharif Season 2025 amid facilitating farmers with Kissan Cards, mitigating wheat crisis and stable fertilizer prices.
  • On the Company front, EFERT’s market share went up by 32% (up 8pptsYoY) in 2QCY25 due to base effect as the Company had undergone scheduled plant maintenance activities for 2 months during 2QCY24, resulting in rise in Urea off-take (up 9pptsYoY to 34%). Further, disparity in gas pricing mechanism has still put significant pressure on the margins of EFERT, forcing to sell Urea at a discounted price (discount of PKR 100-150 per bag started in Jan’25). Further, FFC has also reduced Urea prices by PKR 40/bag effective from May’25.
  • FFC’s net sales to clock-in at ~PKR 68Bn in 2QCY25, up 7%QoQ on account of increase in overall off-take by 17%QoQ (Urea and DAP off-take were up by 9% and 66%, respectively). Gross margins to hover around 38% in 2QCY25, up 2pptsQoQ. Distribution and admin expense to increase 2%QoQ, in-line with the increase in sales volumes. Finance cost to remain on the lower side (down 16%QoQ) amid deleveraging of FFBL and ongoing monetary easing cycle.
Nishat Mills Limited (NML): BUY Maintained Earnings revised due to lower margins; SOTP value higher - By Topline Research

Jul 10 2025


Topline Securities


  • We have revised down our earnings estimates for Nishat Mills (NML) by average 33% for FY25 and FY26 to Rs18.49 and Rs19.11 on the back of lower-than-expected gross margins posted by company in 9MFY25.
  • We have now assumed gross margins of average 11.1% for FY25-FY27 in our forecast compared to 9MFY25 gross margins of 11.3%. While gross margins in last 10 years i.e. FY15- FY24 have averaged at 12.4%.
  • Despite decline in earnings, we maintain our BUY stance on the company with Jun 2026 target price of Rs225, suggesting total return of 60% including dividend yield of 2%.
Hub Power Company Ltd (HUBC): 2QFY25 Result Review — Resumes cash-payout post base-plant termination - By AKD Research

Feb 26 2025


AKD Securities


  • Hub Power Company Ltd (HUBC) announced its 2QFY25 results earlier today, where-in the company reported consolidated NPAT of PkR4.2bn (EPS: PkR3.25), down by 72%YoY and significantly lower than expectations due to sharp-increase in other expenses and elevated effective tax rates. Alongside the result, the company announced a half-yearly cash dividend of PkR5.0/sh.
  • Consolidated revenue for the quarter clocked in at PkR15.5bn, down by 48% YoY vs. PkR29.9bn in SPLY. The contraction was primarily driven by the termination of the base plant’s PPA, effective Oct 1st, 2024, leading to a significant compression in the consolidated topline. Resultantly, company’s gross profitability amounted to 41%, compared to 56%/56% in 2QFY24/1QFY25, respectively.
  • Finance cost amounted to PkR4.1bn, down by 41%YoY. The decline was led due to falling interest rates and lower debt level
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