Millat Tractors Limited (MTL): Positives are largely priced in Downgraded to HOLD - By Topline Research
Mar 11 2025
Topline Securities
- We downgrade our previous BUY stance on Millat Tractors (MTL) to HOLD as we believe positive pertaining to clearance of backlog of dividend, current Punjab tractor scheme, and rescind of SRO 563(1)/2022 are priced-in in the share price of the company. Government of Punjab announced subsidized scheme of 9500 tractors for farmers of province of Punjab, a major portion of it is already delivered, in our view.
- EPS expected at Rs48/59 in FY25/26: We expect company to post earnings of Rs48/59 per share in FY25/26. The earnings are likely to grow 23% in FY26 due to low base effect of volumetric sales in 1Q of FY25. We expect company to witness sales growth of 24% with unit sales reaching at 31,500 in FY26F from 25,407 in FY25E.
- We have assumed gross margins of 25.8% and 25.5% in FY25 and FY26 for tractor business, respectively after taking cue from 2QFY25 results.
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