Fatima Fertilizer Company Limited (FATIMA): 4QCY24 EPS clocked in at PKR6.49 – Below expectation - By Insight Rresearch

Mar 14 2025


Insight Securities


  • FATIMA has announced its 4QCY24 result, wherein company has posted consolidated PAT of PKR13.6bn (EPS: PKR6.49) vs. PAT of PKR10.0bn (EPS: PKR4.77) in SPLY. The result is below our expectation mainly due to lower than expected margins.
  • Revenue for the quarter clocked in at PKR85.9bn vs. PKR73.9bn in SPLY, mainly attributable to higher offtakes coupled with increase in product prices.
  • Gross margins increased by ~120bps YoY, to clock in at ~32% possibly attributable to increase in product prices. While on QoQ margins declined by 220bps despite increase in offtakes.
Fatima Fertilizer Company Limited (FATIMA): Earnings Dip 39% QoQ on Lower Offtake - By IIS Research

Apr 25 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • FATIMA announced its 1QCY25 results today. On a consolidated basis, EPS came in at PKR 3.99 (our expectations of PKR 4.21). with Sales declining by 21% YoY and 40% QoQ to PKR 51.96 billion, primarily due to lower Offtakes. Despite this, gross margins remained better at 40% (vs. 42% YoY and 32% QoQ) indicating cost efficiencies as production levels remained largely consistent.
  • Inventory levels remain high, with FATIMA holding 233KT of urea, which accounts for 28% of the total industry stock, as well as 258KT of CAN, a product it produces exclusively within the industry. The overall industry continues to struggle with offtake, primarily due to reduced farm incomes following the shift from a crop support price regime to a free market system, while input costs have remained unchanged.
  • Finance costs rose sharply by 131% YoY, due to higher borrowings. The effective tax rate for the quarter stood at 39%, compared to 49% in the SPLY and 37% in the previous quarter.
Fatima Fertilizer Company Limited (FATIMA): 1QCY25 EPS clocked in at PKR4.0 – Above expectation - By Insight Research

Apr 25 2025


Insight Securities


  • FATIMA has announced its 1QCY25 result, wherein company has posted consolidated PAT of PKR8.4bn (EPS: PKR3.99) vs. PAT of PKR13.6bn (EPS: PKR6.49) in preceding quarter. The result is above our expectation mainly due to higher than expected gross margins.
  • Revenue for the quarter clocked in at PKR52.0bn vs. PKR66.0bn in SPLY, down by 21%/40% YoY/QoQ, mainly attributable to lower offtakes.
  • Gross margins decreased by ~200bps YoY, to clock in at ~40%, attributable to lower offtakes. While on QoQ basis, margins increased by ~8ppts.
Fatima Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FATIMA) : 4QCY24 Result Review Record earnings on higher sales and improved margins - By AKD Research

Mar 14 2025


AKD Securities


  • Fatima Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FATIMA) announced its 4QCY24 financial results, reporting consolidated earnings of PkR13.6bn (EPS: PkR6.5), compared to PkR10.0bn (EPS: PkR4.8) in SPLY, an increase of 36%YoY. The said growth is primarily attributed to higher sales and improved gross margins. The earnings came in line with our expectations. Alongside the result, company announced a final cash dividend of PkR4.25/sh, taking the full-year dividend to PkR7.0/sh.
  • Revenue stood at PkR85.9bn, a 16%YoY increase from PkR74.0bn in SPLY. The said growth is driven by increase in retention prices across the product line, with quarterly avg. prices rising 26%/23%/9%YoY for Urea, CAN, and NP, respectively. Additionally, sales volumes for Urea, CAN, and NP increased by 1%/1%/48%YoY, respectively.
  • Gross margins improved to 31.5% from 30.3% in SPLY, mainly due to the increase in retention prices and the availability of comparatively low-cost gas for the company’s Sadiqabad plant.
Fatima Fertilizer Company Limited (FATIMA): 4QCY24 EPS clocked in at PKR6.49 – Below expectation - By Insight Rresearch

Mar 14 2025


Insight Securities


  • FATIMA has announced its 4QCY24 result, wherein company has posted consolidated PAT of PKR13.6bn (EPS: PKR6.49) vs. PAT of PKR10.0bn (EPS: PKR4.77) in SPLY. The result is below our expectation mainly due to lower than expected margins.
  • Revenue for the quarter clocked in at PKR85.9bn vs. PKR73.9bn in SPLY, mainly attributable to higher offtakes coupled with increase in product prices.
  • Gross margins increased by ~120bps YoY, to clock in at ~32% possibly attributable to increase in product prices. While on QoQ margins declined by 220bps despite increase in offtakes.
Fatima Fertilizers Company Limited (FATIMA): Improved profitability led by better margins – By JS Research

Dec 26 2024


JS Global Capital


  • Fatima Fertilizers Company Limited (FATIMA) has rallied 143% during CYTD, outperforming KSE-100 index by ~63% mainly due to improved profitability prospects. To recall, the company reported net earnings of Rs23bn (+79%YoY), translating into an EPS of Rs10.78 for 9MCY24.
  • The management in the recent analyst briefing session shared that fertilizer inventory buildups due to weaker demand in Kharif season, is likely to be cleared in the upcoming months, while the company intends to continue operating plants at optimal level. No major plant turnaround is planned for the upcoming year.
  • On the gas price unification issue, the management highlighted that any such development remains unlikely in near future owing to several constraints including sovereign guarantees on Fertilizer Policy 2001, and other legal constraints.

Fatima Fertilizer Company Limited (FATIMA): 9MCY24 Analyst briefing takeaways – By Insight Research

Dec 24 2024


Insight Securities


  • Fatima Fertilizer Company Limited has conducted its 9MCY24 analyst briefing to discuss financial results and future outlook. We have summarized following key takeaways from the briefing
  • FATIMA has posted PAT of PKR22.8bn (EPS: PKR10.84) in 9MCY24 vs. PKR13.0bn (EPS: PKR6.19) in SPLY, up by 75% YoY, amid higher fertilizer prices.
  • Fatima aggregate fertilizer offtakes clocked in at 1,683KT in 9MCY24, whereas productions stands at 2,140KT in 9MCY23. To note, FATIMA has recorded aggregate market share of 25.6% in 9MCY24 vs. 28.3% in SPLY.

Market Wrap: Highlights of the day - By JS Research

Jul 10 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index surged 1,325 points to reach an intraday high of 133,902, as investor sentiment turned bullish on the back of strong macroeconomic signals. Record-high remittances of $38.3 billion and robust demand in recent government debt auctions drove renewed interest in the banking sector. This marks a key inflection point for the market. With improving fundamentals and fiscal stability, the index appears poised to consolidate above the 130,000 mark. Continued foreign inflows and structural reforms could sustain this momentum in the quarters ahead
Automobile Assembler: Pakistan Car sales in Jun 2025 up 43% YoY to 21,773 units, ~ 3 year high - By Topline Research

Jul 10 2025


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan Car sales in Pakistan (as reported by PAMA) clocked in at 21,773 units in Jun 2025, reflecting a 64% YoY and 47% MoM rise.
  • MoM rise was mainly led by a 39-month high Alto sales due to pre-buying as GST was set to increase effective from Jul 01, 2025 from 12.5% to 18.0%.
  • YoY growth is supported by a more stable macroeconomic environment, introduction of more variants, lower interest rates, easing inflation, and improving consumer sentiment
Oil and Gas Exploration: Improving liquidity in E&P sector to set stage for recovery - By AKD Research

Jul 10 2025


AKD Securities


  • As per released figures from PPIS for Jun’25, oil/gas production for the year amounted to 62.4k bpd and 2,882mcfd, reflecting a decline of 12%/8%YoY.
  • We expect rebound in domestic hydrocarbons as excess RLNG issue is to be resolved through i) renegotiation of RLNG contract in 2026, ii) deferral of cargoes, and iii) increase in demand.
  • Industry participants have struck 21 discoveries during FY25, up 40%/91% compared to 15/11 discoveries during FY24/23, culminating to incremental production of 2.9k bpd of oil and 253mmcfd of gas as per initial flow rates.
Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle July 10, 2025 - By AHCML Research

Jul 10 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index opened on a positive note and surged to an intraday high of 133,902.34 points before closing at a record 133,782.34, gaining 1,205.36 points or 0.91%. Investor sentiment remained buoyant amid strong economic indicators and corporate developments. Record remittances of USD 38.3bn in FY25 (up 26.6% YoY), progress on the Roosevelt Hotel’s USD 1.0bn valuation in the proposed redevelopment plan, World Bank’s likely support for Reko Diq, a 10% rise in US exports, and a USD 1 billion syndicated loan by Dubai Islamic Bank all boosted investors’ confidence. Top contributors to the index included MEBL, MCB, UBL, BAHL, and FFC, which collectively added 570.42 points. BOP led the volumes with 155.38 million shares, while total market turnover reached 941.72 million shares.
Market Wrap: PSX Rebounds Strongly amid Strong Economic Indicators - By HMFS Research

Jul 10 2025


HMFS Research


  • The KSE 100 index resumed its upward trajectory today, reaching an intraday high of 133,902 after a slight correction in the previous session driven by profit-taking. The benchmark index closed at the 133,782 level, recording a gain of 1,205 points. The positive sentiment was primarily driven by a remarkable 26.6% surge in cumulative remittances in FY25, which reached a record high of USD 38.3bn. Consequently, buying was observed across major sectors including banking and cement. Investor confidence also improved ahead of corporate results season, furthermore, a 10% y/y increase in exports to the US, which reached USD 5.8bn in FY25, also aided momentum. Total traded volumes remained strong, with the KSE-100 Index posting 326mn shares and the All-Share Index recording 940mn shares. The most actively traded scrips today were BOP (155mn), KOSM (55mn), and HASCOL (33mn). Going forward, the market’s upward trend is expected to continue. However, since the Trump administration as of now has made no announcements over its tariff position on Pakistan, the bourse could swing in the opposite direction should the US decide to impose or reinstate trade barriers. Such a move could dampen investor sentiment, thereby stalling the market's momentum. Amidst this backdrop, investors are advised to remain cautious amid the recent gains in market indices, focusing on fundamentally strong sectors and companies with stable earnings and long-term potential.
Fertilizer: 2QCY25E earnings to jump on higher off-take - By Taurus Research

Jul 10 2025


Taurus Securities


  • We expect Fertilizer players in our universe to witness robust surge in profitability on the back of significant increase in offtake during 2QCY25 i.e. Urea up 14%QoQ and DAP up 99% QoQ, attributed to rise in demand for fertilizer products at the start of the Kharif Season 2025 amid facilitating farmers with Kissan Cards, mitigating wheat crisis and stable fertilizer prices.
  • On the Company front, EFERT’s market share went up by 32% (up 8pptsYoY) in 2QCY25 due to base effect as the Company had undergone scheduled plant maintenance activities for 2 months during 2QCY24, resulting in rise in Urea off-take (up 9pptsYoY to 34%). Further, disparity in gas pricing mechanism has still put significant pressure on the margins of EFERT, forcing to sell Urea at a discounted price (discount of PKR 100-150 per bag started in Jan’25). Further, FFC has also reduced Urea prices by PKR 40/bag effective from May’25.
  • FFC’s net sales to clock-in at ~PKR 68Bn in 2QCY25, up 7%QoQ on account of increase in overall off-take by 17%QoQ (Urea and DAP off-take were up by 9% and 66%, respectively). Gross margins to hover around 38% in 2QCY25, up 2pptsQoQ. Distribution and admin expense to increase 2%QoQ, in-line with the increase in sales volumes. Finance cost to remain on the lower side (down 16%QoQ) amid deleveraging of FFBL and ongoing monetary easing cycle.
Nishat Mills Limited (NML): BUY Maintained Earnings revised due to lower margins; SOTP value higher - By Topline Research

Jul 10 2025


Topline Securities


  • We have revised down our earnings estimates for Nishat Mills (NML) by average 33% for FY25 and FY26 to Rs18.49 and Rs19.11 on the back of lower-than-expected gross margins posted by company in 9MFY25.
  • We have now assumed gross margins of average 11.1% for FY25-FY27 in our forecast compared to 9MFY25 gross margins of 11.3%. While gross margins in last 10 years i.e. FY15- FY24 have averaged at 12.4%.
  • Despite decline in earnings, we maintain our BUY stance on the company with Jun 2026 target price of Rs225, suggesting total return of 60% including dividend yield of 2%.
Commercial Banks: Banks earnings to increase 7% YoY in 2Q2025 Market Weight Stance Maintained - By Topline Research

Jul 10 2025


Topline Securities


  • Topline Banking Universe is likely to post an earnings growth of 7% YoY in 2Q2025, driven by higher Net Interest Income (NII) and Non-Interest Income
  • Despite the decline in the average policy rate from 21.5% in 2Q2024 to 11.3% in 2Q2025, Net Interest Income (NII) of banks in our universe is expected to increase by 12% YoY to Rs303bn, driven by (1) volumetric growth particularly in current accounts and (2) higher investment yields on old portfolio.
  • Non-interest income of Topline Universe is also expected to post a 14% YoY growth, reaching Rs84bn in 2Q2025, mainly driven by an increase in fee and commission income and higher gain on sale of securities.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 may undergo corrective trend - By JS Research

Jul 10 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index failed to sustain its intraday high of 133,566 and slid to close at 132,577, down 826 points DoD. Trading volume stood at 906mn shares, compared to 1,207mn shares in the previous session. The index is likely to test support at 132,326 (yesterday’s low), where a break below this level could trigger a corrective trend, with downside targets at 129,878 and 127,205. On the upside, resistance is expected in the 133,560-134,200 range. We recommend investors remain cautious at higher levels and consider accumulating on dips. The support and resistance levels are placed at 132,080 and 133,320, respectively.
Morning News: Remittances from workers at a record high - By IIS Research

Jul 10 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • In a historic economic milestone, Pakistan recorded its highest-ever home remittance inflows, exceeding $38 billion during the last fiscal year FY25. This unprecedented surge is credited to robust policy measures and sustained efforts by the federal government and the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) to channelise remittances through formal avenues.
  • The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) mobilised approximately Rs1.62 trillion through its latest auctions of government securities, of which a substantial proportion, Rs1.413 trillion, was raised from Market Treasury Bills (MTBs) and Rs208.42 billion from 10- year Pakistan Investment Bonds Floating Rate (PFL).
  • Political uncertainties, security issues, and external shocks continue to threaten Pakistan’s moderate economic recovery, says the Asian Development Bank (ADB). “Structural and institutional factors, as well as issues such as cumbersome land acquisition procedures, procurement delays, lack of counterpart funds, and currency and price fluctuations, affect project readiness, implementation, and outcomes,” said the bank in its member fact sheet.
Fatima Fertilizer Company Limited (FATIMA): 4QCY24 EPS clocked in at PKR6.49 – Below expectation - By Insight Rresearch

Mar 14 2025


Insight Securities


  • FATIMA has announced its 4QCY24 result, wherein company has posted consolidated PAT of PKR13.6bn (EPS: PKR6.49) vs. PAT of PKR10.0bn (EPS: PKR4.77) in SPLY. The result is below our expectation mainly due to lower than expected margins.
  • Revenue for the quarter clocked in at PKR85.9bn vs. PKR73.9bn in SPLY, mainly attributable to higher offtakes coupled with increase in product prices.
  • Gross margins increased by ~120bps YoY, to clock in at ~32% possibly attributable to increase in product prices. While on QoQ margins declined by 220bps despite increase in offtakes.
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