Indus Motor Company Limited (INDU): Jump in sales and margins drive profitability - By JS Reseach

Mar 14 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Indus Motor Company Limited (INDU) held its Analyst Briefing yesterday to discuss its 2QFY25 financial performance and outlook. To recall, INDU posted an EPS of Rs61.9 during 2QFY25, up 2.8x YoY mainly due to higher gross margins (up 6ppts YoY) owing to higher car sales (up 2.4x YoY), stable currency and cost optimizations.
  • The company highlighted that the growth in volumes is expected to continue for the remainder of FY25 given the ongoing decline in interest rates and greater consumer confidence. The company continues to adapt to evolving industry dynamics, in order to remain competitive with its Chinese and Korean counterparts.
  • The management apprised that the company is exporting auto parts, vehicles and man power however, these remain voluntary targets for now, with discussions still ongoing with the government.
Oil & Gas Marketing Companies: Gas Tariff Hike: Positive for Gas Utilities, Negative for Industry - By AHCML Research

Jun 30 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA) has approved a significant gas tariff hike across all consumer categories effective July 1, 2025. The revised structure includes increase in fixed monthly charges, PKR600 for protected households, PKR1,500 for non-protected users, and PKR3,000 for high-usage domestic consumers. The adjustment is part of broader IMF-led reforms to improve cost recovery, reduce subsidies, and contain circular debt in the energy sector.
  • The gas tariff hike is a structurally positive development for SSGC, SNGP, PPL, PSO, and OGDC, it poses near-term risks for industrial players. The policy supports energy sector sustainability and aligns with macroeconomic reform goals but warrants caution in sectors exposed to high gas input costs. Investors may consider overweighting gas utilities and upstream names while remaining selective in industrial exposure.
Economy: Large Scale Manufacturing Industrial activity posts modest growth - By Foundation Research

Jun 18 2025


Foundation Securities


  • LSM output witnessed an increase of 2.3% YoY in Apr’25 due to low base effect. During 10MFY25, output contracted 1.5% YoY given lagged second round effects of tight monetary stance and weak domestic demand. Prominent sectors that fueled the monthly progress were Automobiles (↑60.2%), Other transport Equipment (↑41.6%), Paper & Board (↑12.1%), Tobacco (↑9.1%), Textile (↑7.9%), Pharmaceuticals (↑7.5%), Coke & Petroleum Products (↑5.5%), Computer, electronics & Op prods (↑5.1%), Fertilizers (↑5.1%), Beverages (↑4.3%), Food (↑3.5%), Wood Products (↑3.0%), Electrical Equipment (↑2.6%), Rubber Products (↑2.3%), Non Metallic Mineral Products (↑1.9%) and Leather Products(↑1.8%). On the flipside, negative contributors were Machinery and Equipment (↓50.7%), Other Manufacturing (Football) (↓41.5%), Furniture (↓40.3%), Chemicals Products (↓10.8%), Wearing Apparel (↓8.6%), Iron & Steel Products (↓1.8%), and Fabricated Metal (↓0.1%).
  • Textile sector underwent a surge of 7.9% YoY as spinning/weaving reported enhancement of 8.7/0.4% YoY. Food production rose 3.5% YoY as sugar, bakery, & chocolate production shot up by 184% YoY during the month. Pharma output grew 7.5% YoY on the back of 6.7/10.3% YoY increase in tablets/syrups production.
Ghani Chemical Industries Limited (GCIL): 3QFY25 Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By Taurus Research

May 9 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Ghani Chemical Industries Limited (GCIL) is a leading manufacturer of medical and industrial gases in Pakistan. It operates state-of-the-art facilities across Phool Nagar (Punjab), Port Qasim (Sindh), and Hattar Special Economic Zone (KPK). The Company recently underwent a significant restructuring involving the demerger of its Calcium Carbide project and a share swap with Ghani Chemworld Limited and Ghani Products Limited.
  • GCIL reported net sales of PKR 1.67Bn in 3QFY25, reflecting a 41% increase from PKR 1.18Bn in 3QFY24. Gross profit rose significantly to PKR 1.01Bn from PKR 305Mn, boosting the gross margin to 60.8% from 25.8% year-over-year. Net profit increased by 145% to PKR 514n compared to PKR 210Mn last year, with earnings per share (EPS) improving to PKR 1.03 from PKR 0.42.
  • GCIL commenced operations of its 5th Air Separation Unit (ASU) at Hattar SEZ, with a 275 TPD capacity, making it the largest such facility in Pakistan. This addition positions GCIL as the dominant player in the industrial gases market. Management expects this to substantially increase both top-line and bottom-line going forward.
Indus Motor Company Limited (INDU): 3QFY25 EPS arrived at PKR 84; PAT up 48%YoY - By Taurus Research

Apr 28 2025


Taurus Securities


  • As per the results of 3QFY25, INDU’s sales revenue clocked in at ~PKR 61Bn, up 28%YoY and 40%QoQ, primarily driven by a sharp recovery in passenger car volumes  which surged 40%YoY and 42%QoQ amid easing macroeconomic conditions such as an uptick in demand, lower inflation, and declining interest rates.
  • Administrative and other expenses remained elevated, reflecting an increase of 62%YoY and 4.6xYoY, respectively. Furthermore, other income declined by 32%YoY, mainly due to lower interest rates during the period.
  • Finance cost increased by 1.5xYoY and 94%QoQ, owing to a higher level of borrowings.
Indus Motor Company Limited (INDU): Result Preview 3QFY25 - By AHCML Research

Apr 24 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • Indus Motor Company is anticipated to report a PAT of PKR 5,662 million (EPS: PKR 72.03) for 3QFY25, reflecting 27% YoY increase.
  • Sales revenue for the quarter is expected to reach PKR 61,256 million, reflecting a robust 29% YoY and 41.5% QoQ growth. This performance is primarily driven by a significant increase in volumetric sales, which rose by approximately 40% YoY and 42% QoQ
  • Fortuner Sales volume witnessed a substantial rise of 159% YoY and 110% QoQ, highlighting strong consumer demand and improved supply chain efficiency.
Indus Motor Company Limited (INDU): 3QFY25 EPS to arrive at PKR 73; PAT up 28%YoY - By Taurus Research

Apr 21 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Board Meeting: 25th April 2025
  • INDU’s net sales are projected to clock in at PKR 59.7Bn in 3QFY25, up 26%YoY and 38%QoQ, primarily driven by a sharp recovery in passenger car volumes — which surged 40%YoY and 42%QoQ — amid easing macroeconomic conditions like uptick in demand, lower inflation and lower interest rates.
  • Gross margins are expected at 13.4% in 3QFY25 (14.7% in SPLY), with the slight decline likely due to cost-side pressures.
Ghandhara Industries Limited (GHNI): Financial Snapshot - By Chase Research

Apr 21 2025



  • We are initiating coverage on GHNI with a “BUY” stance and a DCF based Dec-25 target price of PKR 1,033, indicating a potential upside of 35%.
  • Strong mining sector activity to drive demand growth for prime movers and trucks.
  • Sustained implementation of the axle load regime to lend support to expansion of the national fleet.
Bank Alfalah (BAFL): 1Q2025 EPS at Rs4.49, up 65% QoQ (Earnings lower than industry expectations) - By Topline Reseach

Apr 17 2025


Topline Securities


  • Bank Alfalah (BAFL) announced its 1Q2025 result today, where the bank recorded consolidated earnings of Rs7.1bn (EPS of Rs4.49), down 29% YoY while up 53% QoQ.
  • Alongside the results, the bank also announced a first interim cash dividend of Rs2.5/share, which came in higher than expectations.
  • Net Interest Income (NII) for 1Q2025 settled at Rs33.6bn, up 6% YoY and 5% QoQ, driven by (1) higher asset yields and (
Mughal Iron & Steel Industries Limited (MUGHAL): 1HFY25 Analyst Briefing Key Takeaways - By Foundation Research

Apr 9 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Mughal Iron & Steel Industries Limited (MUGHAL PA) held its analyst briefing to discuss the company’s financial performance during 1HFY25 and outlook.
  • Mughal Iron & Steels Industries Ltd’s(MUGHAL PA) profitability clocked in at PKR 210Mn (EPS PKR 0.63, down 73% YoY) in 2QFY25 against PKR 773Mn (EPS PKR 2.30) in 2QFY24. This takes 1HFY25 profitability to PKR 217Mn (EPS PKR 0.65, down 83% YoY) as compared to profit of PKR 1.3Bn (EPS 3.84) in 1HFY24.
  • Currently, the company is operating at maximum operational capacity; capacity utilization of furnace plant for melting is 80% and 65-67% for re-rolling. Moreover, the production mix for girders and rebars is 40-45% and 50-55%, respectively.
Mughal Iron & Steel Industries Limited (MUGHAL): 1HFY25 Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By Taurus Research

Apr 9 2025


Taurus Securities


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  • With regards to the non-ferrous sales, the management discussed that the Company’s exports of Copper and Aluminum would remain subdued due to ongoing geo-political issues (US – China trade war), recent price competition in the EVs globally and sluggish growth in China’s industrial activity. However, the management expects slight recovery in exports on the back of anticipating some recovery in Chinese Economy during 2nd half of 2025.
  • The management shared some views regarding benefiting from the recent changes globally i.e. imposition of US tariffs. They told that the US administration did not discuss specifically about imposing tariffs on steel products. So, they expect steel market to remain stable and may not consider a backlash on the recent changes in global dynamics
Market Wrap: Highlights of the day - By JS Research

Jul 10 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index surged 1,325 points to reach an intraday high of 133,902, as investor sentiment turned bullish on the back of strong macroeconomic signals. Record-high remittances of $38.3 billion and robust demand in recent government debt auctions drove renewed interest in the banking sector. This marks a key inflection point for the market. With improving fundamentals and fiscal stability, the index appears poised to consolidate above the 130,000 mark. Continued foreign inflows and structural reforms could sustain this momentum in the quarters ahead
Automobile Assembler: Pakistan Car sales in Jun 2025 up 43% YoY to 21,773 units, ~ 3 year high - By Topline Research

Jul 10 2025


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan Car sales in Pakistan (as reported by PAMA) clocked in at 21,773 units in Jun 2025, reflecting a 64% YoY and 47% MoM rise.
  • MoM rise was mainly led by a 39-month high Alto sales due to pre-buying as GST was set to increase effective from Jul 01, 2025 from 12.5% to 18.0%.
  • YoY growth is supported by a more stable macroeconomic environment, introduction of more variants, lower interest rates, easing inflation, and improving consumer sentiment
Oil and Gas Exploration: Improving liquidity in E&P sector to set stage for recovery - By AKD Research

Jul 10 2025


AKD Securities


  • As per released figures from PPIS for Jun’25, oil/gas production for the year amounted to 62.4k bpd and 2,882mcfd, reflecting a decline of 12%/8%YoY.
  • We expect rebound in domestic hydrocarbons as excess RLNG issue is to be resolved through i) renegotiation of RLNG contract in 2026, ii) deferral of cargoes, and iii) increase in demand.
  • Industry participants have struck 21 discoveries during FY25, up 40%/91% compared to 15/11 discoveries during FY24/23, culminating to incremental production of 2.9k bpd of oil and 253mmcfd of gas as per initial flow rates.
Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle July 10, 2025 - By AHCML Research

Jul 10 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index opened on a positive note and surged to an intraday high of 133,902.34 points before closing at a record 133,782.34, gaining 1,205.36 points or 0.91%. Investor sentiment remained buoyant amid strong economic indicators and corporate developments. Record remittances of USD 38.3bn in FY25 (up 26.6% YoY), progress on the Roosevelt Hotel’s USD 1.0bn valuation in the proposed redevelopment plan, World Bank’s likely support for Reko Diq, a 10% rise in US exports, and a USD 1 billion syndicated loan by Dubai Islamic Bank all boosted investors’ confidence. Top contributors to the index included MEBL, MCB, UBL, BAHL, and FFC, which collectively added 570.42 points. BOP led the volumes with 155.38 million shares, while total market turnover reached 941.72 million shares.
Market Wrap: PSX Rebounds Strongly amid Strong Economic Indicators - By HMFS Research

Jul 10 2025


HMFS Research


  • The KSE 100 index resumed its upward trajectory today, reaching an intraday high of 133,902 after a slight correction in the previous session driven by profit-taking. The benchmark index closed at the 133,782 level, recording a gain of 1,205 points. The positive sentiment was primarily driven by a remarkable 26.6% surge in cumulative remittances in FY25, which reached a record high of USD 38.3bn. Consequently, buying was observed across major sectors including banking and cement. Investor confidence also improved ahead of corporate results season, furthermore, a 10% y/y increase in exports to the US, which reached USD 5.8bn in FY25, also aided momentum. Total traded volumes remained strong, with the KSE-100 Index posting 326mn shares and the All-Share Index recording 940mn shares. The most actively traded scrips today were BOP (155mn), KOSM (55mn), and HASCOL (33mn). Going forward, the market’s upward trend is expected to continue. However, since the Trump administration as of now has made no announcements over its tariff position on Pakistan, the bourse could swing in the opposite direction should the US decide to impose or reinstate trade barriers. Such a move could dampen investor sentiment, thereby stalling the market's momentum. Amidst this backdrop, investors are advised to remain cautious amid the recent gains in market indices, focusing on fundamentally strong sectors and companies with stable earnings and long-term potential.
Fertilizer: 2QCY25E earnings to jump on higher off-take - By Taurus Research

Jul 10 2025


Taurus Securities


  • We expect Fertilizer players in our universe to witness robust surge in profitability on the back of significant increase in offtake during 2QCY25 i.e. Urea up 14%QoQ and DAP up 99% QoQ, attributed to rise in demand for fertilizer products at the start of the Kharif Season 2025 amid facilitating farmers with Kissan Cards, mitigating wheat crisis and stable fertilizer prices.
  • On the Company front, EFERT’s market share went up by 32% (up 8pptsYoY) in 2QCY25 due to base effect as the Company had undergone scheduled plant maintenance activities for 2 months during 2QCY24, resulting in rise in Urea off-take (up 9pptsYoY to 34%). Further, disparity in gas pricing mechanism has still put significant pressure on the margins of EFERT, forcing to sell Urea at a discounted price (discount of PKR 100-150 per bag started in Jan’25). Further, FFC has also reduced Urea prices by PKR 40/bag effective from May’25.
  • FFC’s net sales to clock-in at ~PKR 68Bn in 2QCY25, up 7%QoQ on account of increase in overall off-take by 17%QoQ (Urea and DAP off-take were up by 9% and 66%, respectively). Gross margins to hover around 38% in 2QCY25, up 2pptsQoQ. Distribution and admin expense to increase 2%QoQ, in-line with the increase in sales volumes. Finance cost to remain on the lower side (down 16%QoQ) amid deleveraging of FFBL and ongoing monetary easing cycle.
Nishat Mills Limited (NML): BUY Maintained Earnings revised due to lower margins; SOTP value higher - By Topline Research

Jul 10 2025


Topline Securities


  • We have revised down our earnings estimates for Nishat Mills (NML) by average 33% for FY25 and FY26 to Rs18.49 and Rs19.11 on the back of lower-than-expected gross margins posted by company in 9MFY25.
  • We have now assumed gross margins of average 11.1% for FY25-FY27 in our forecast compared to 9MFY25 gross margins of 11.3%. While gross margins in last 10 years i.e. FY15- FY24 have averaged at 12.4%.
  • Despite decline in earnings, we maintain our BUY stance on the company with Jun 2026 target price of Rs225, suggesting total return of 60% including dividend yield of 2%.
Commercial Banks: Banks earnings to increase 7% YoY in 2Q2025 Market Weight Stance Maintained - By Topline Research

Jul 10 2025


Topline Securities


  • Topline Banking Universe is likely to post an earnings growth of 7% YoY in 2Q2025, driven by higher Net Interest Income (NII) and Non-Interest Income
  • Despite the decline in the average policy rate from 21.5% in 2Q2024 to 11.3% in 2Q2025, Net Interest Income (NII) of banks in our universe is expected to increase by 12% YoY to Rs303bn, driven by (1) volumetric growth particularly in current accounts and (2) higher investment yields on old portfolio.
  • Non-interest income of Topline Universe is also expected to post a 14% YoY growth, reaching Rs84bn in 2Q2025, mainly driven by an increase in fee and commission income and higher gain on sale of securities.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 may undergo corrective trend - By JS Research

Jul 10 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index failed to sustain its intraday high of 133,566 and slid to close at 132,577, down 826 points DoD. Trading volume stood at 906mn shares, compared to 1,207mn shares in the previous session. The index is likely to test support at 132,326 (yesterday’s low), where a break below this level could trigger a corrective trend, with downside targets at 129,878 and 127,205. On the upside, resistance is expected in the 133,560-134,200 range. We recommend investors remain cautious at higher levels and consider accumulating on dips. The support and resistance levels are placed at 132,080 and 133,320, respectively.
Morning News: Remittances from workers at a record high - By IIS Research

Jul 10 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • In a historic economic milestone, Pakistan recorded its highest-ever home remittance inflows, exceeding $38 billion during the last fiscal year FY25. This unprecedented surge is credited to robust policy measures and sustained efforts by the federal government and the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) to channelise remittances through formal avenues.
  • The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) mobilised approximately Rs1.62 trillion through its latest auctions of government securities, of which a substantial proportion, Rs1.413 trillion, was raised from Market Treasury Bills (MTBs) and Rs208.42 billion from 10- year Pakistan Investment Bonds Floating Rate (PFL).
  • Political uncertainties, security issues, and external shocks continue to threaten Pakistan’s moderate economic recovery, says the Asian Development Bank (ADB). “Structural and institutional factors, as well as issues such as cumbersome land acquisition procedures, procurement delays, lack of counterpart funds, and currency and price fluctuations, affect project readiness, implementation, and outcomes,” said the bank in its member fact sheet.
Market Wrap: Highlights of the day March 26, 2025 - By JS Reseach

Mar 26 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Bulls took charge of the trading floor on Thursday as investor sentiment surged following the IMF's StaffLevel agreement for the first review. Additionally, optimism was fueled by a feasibility study conducted by OGDC and PPL on Reko Diq, further intensifying the rally. The KSE-100 index remained in positive territory throughout the session, reaching an intraday high of 118,220 points (+1,587) before closing at 117,772 points (+1,139). Buying activity was primarily concentrated in the oil & gas and banking sectors. Looking ahead, we recommend investors capitalize on gains at higher levels, particularly ahead of the extended Eid holidays.
Indus Motor Company Limited (INDU): Jump in sales and margins drive profitability - By JS Reseach

Mar 14 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Indus Motor Company Limited (INDU) held its Analyst Briefing yesterday to discuss its 2QFY25 financial performance and outlook. To recall, INDU posted an EPS of Rs61.9 during 2QFY25, up 2.8x YoY mainly due to higher gross margins (up 6ppts YoY) owing to higher car sales (up 2.4x YoY), stable currency and cost optimizations.
  • The company highlighted that the growth in volumes is expected to continue for the remainder of FY25 given the ongoing decline in interest rates and greater consumer confidence. The company continues to adapt to evolving industry dynamics, in order to remain competitive with its Chinese and Korean counterparts.
  • The management apprised that the company is exporting auto parts, vehicles and man power however, these remain voluntary targets for now, with discussions still ongoing with the government.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 moving towards the 30-DMA - By JS Reseach

Mar 5 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index showed a recovery, closing at 112,744, up 757 points DoD. Trading volumes stood at 207mn shares, slightly lower than the 209mn in the previous session. The index is expected to test resistance at 112,945 (30-DMA), with a breakout targeting the 50-DMA at 113,588. On the downside, support is seen between 112,000 and 112,450, with a break below potentially targeting 111,513. The RSI has improved, while the MACD is trending downward, indicating no clear trading signal. We recommend investors remain cautious at higher levels and wait for dips. The support and resistance levels are 112,015 and 113,175, respectively.
Market Wrap: Highlights of the day - By JS Reseach

Feb 12 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The PSX experienced a volatile session, reaching an intraday high of 113,437 before profit-taking dragged the market down to 112,621. The benchmark KSE-100 Index ultimately closed 85 points lower at 112,925. Trading volume stood at 700mn shares, with top volume leaders including BOP, BML, PTC, HASCOL, and MLCF. Looking ahead, we recommend a buy-on-dip strategy, particularly in the E&P, Pharmaceutical, and Fertilizer sectors, which appear poised for upside potential.
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