Morning News: Oil extends decline as US-China trade war weighs on global growth outlook - By WE Research
Apr 14 2025
- Oil prices dropped on Monday due to concerns that the intensifying trade war between the United States and China could slow global economic growth and reduce fuel demand. Brent crude futures fell by 0.45% to $64.47 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude decreased by 0.44% to $61.23. Both have lost approximately $10 a barrel since the beginning of April. Goldman Sachs predicts that oil prices will remain lower for the rest of 2025 and 2026, citing weak global demand, particularly in petrochemical feedstocks. The trade war has escalated, with China raising tariffs on U.S. imports and the U.S. imposing new duties on Chinese technology products. Concerns about a declining Chinese economy, highlighted by falling inflation and producer prices, have led to fears of reduced oil demand. U.S. energy firms have responded by cutting oil rigs, marking the largest weekly reduction since June 2023. However, potential pressure on Iran’s oil exports could offer some support to oil prices.
- Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb shared Pakistan's vision for economic growth, focusing on high-potential sectors like IT and minerals, inspired by Singapore’s export-driven model. He emphasized that copper, like nickel for Singapore, could be a significant export driver for Pakistan. The government is addressing barriers to investment and aims to ease the tax burden on salaried individuals while ensuring inflation reduction and improved industrial growth through lower financing costs and power tariffs. Aurangzeb also mentioned the privatisation of 24 national entities and efforts to improve tax policies. He highlighted the government's commitment to consulting the private sector and resolving systemic issues to boost confidence and ensure the benefits of economic policies reach the common man. The Lahore Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) commended the government's progress in lowering inflation and interest rates, while also calling for reforms in tariff structures and long-term economic planning to support sustainable growth.
- Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb has stated that Pakistan has no plans to retaliate against the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. In an interview with the BBC, he acknowledged concerns about the uncertainty created by these tariffs and emphasized the importance of dialogue moving forward in the current global trade environment. He clarified that Pakistan would not respond with countermeasures, despite the potential challenges posed by the U.S.-China trade tensions. While recognizing the U.S. as a long-time strategic partner, Aurangzeb highlighted the importance of maintaining strong relations with China as well. Although former President Donald Trump had initially announced a 29% tariff on Pakistani exports, its implementation has been delayed by 90 days, with a minimum tariff of 10% still affecting all countries