Fertilizer: Urea Sales to Decline 24%YoY, Inventory at 8 Year High - By Sherman Research
May 5 2025
Sherman Securities
- According to provisional data, urea sales during April’25 is expected to clock in at 251k tons, down 24%YoY. The YoY decline in urea sales is mainly due to weak farm economics amid lower support prices and higher input costs.
- Similarly, on MoM basis, urea sales is likely to decline by 18%MoM which is expected to be a combination of both seasonal impact and canal protest in several parts of Sind which is also effecting sales. Just to recall, Sind consumes around 25% of the urea production in the country.
- Urea sales of Fauji Group to clock in at 108k tons versus sales of 223k tons during the same period last year, down 51%YoY. On the flip side, EFERT is likely to witness recovery in urea sales of 7%YoY to 81k tons as compared to 75k tons during the last year.