Economy: SBP Post Monetary Policy Announcement Briefing Takeaways May’25 - By Taurus Research
May 5 2025
Taurus Securities
- CPI declined considerably in Apr’25 mainly due to reduction in electricity and food prices. Further, inflation expectations continue to ease. Core inflation has also shown a moderate decline. High frequency indicators are gradually improving. Further, major crop outlook remains relatively weak. Overall, growth is recovering gradually without stressing the BOP.
- Despite the substantial CA surplus in Mar’25, imports have increased amidst improved domestic economic activity. However, exports also recorded a notable increase, driven by high-value added textile products, supported by strong remittances. On the financing side, net external financial inflows have remained weak so far, mainly due to large debt repayments.
- On the fiscal side, tax collection continues to face a shortfall. However, broader fiscal policy remains supportive.