Textile: Rate Cut Ushers Tailwinds for Textile Sector – EPS Gains on the Horizon - By HMFS Research
May 6 2025
HMFS Research
- The recent 100bps policy rate cut by the State Bank of Pakistan on 5th May 2025, bringing the benchmark rate down to 11%, is poised to provide a meaningful boost to the profitability of textile companies under our coverage. Given the sector’s reliance on debt to finance working capital, capital expenditures, and modernization initiatives, the reduced cost of borrowing is expected to translate into improved earnings across the board.
- Textile companies typically operate with high working capital requirements, often funded through short-term borrowing. This dependency on credit has rendered them vulnerable to the high-interest rate environment of recent years. However, with the easing monetary stance, finance costs are projected to decline, thereby easing pressure on bottom lines and enabling reinvestment into operational efficiencies.
- Nishat Mills Limited (NML), while historically reliant on debt—with approximately 72% of its capital structure funded through borrowings—has demonstrated financial prudence in recent periods. In the latest financial disclosures (Mar’25), both long-term debt levels and finance costs have recorded a y/y decline of 8.6% and 25% respectively, reflecting the company’s efforts toward deleveraging, optimizing capital structure and an impact of the previous year’s policy rate cuts. With a substantial portion of borrowings historically allocated to short-term working capital needs, the latest rate cut further supports this trajectory by reducing the cost of residual debt. This positions NML to enhance EPS by PKR ~1.46 through lower finance charges, while also creating headroom to selectively re-leverage for future growth initiatives under a more favourable monetary environment.