Cement: Debt Relief Ahead - Rate Cut Catalyzes Cement Sector Recovery - By HMFS Research
May 7 2025
HMFS Research
- The cement sector remains a prime beneficiary of monetary easing in Pakistan, given its highly leveraged capital structure and dependence on financing for large-scale projects such as plant expansions and machinery upgrades. With the State Bank of Pakistan slashing the policy rate by 100 basis points to 11%, the sector is set to gain meaningfully through lower debt servicing costs.
- Cement producers have made notable strides toward energy independence by investing in renewable sources, a move that has helped insulate operations from surging fuel and electricity tariffs. Additionally, the uptrend in cement export dispatches bodes well for companies with significant export exposure, signaling robust topline and margin expansion potential in FY25. The recent rate cut further strengthens this positive trajectory, offering dual support through reduced financial expenses and improved operational efficiency.
- Below is the potential EPS impact of this 1% rate cut on the top cement players, ranked by capacity. Among them, FCCL, BWCL, and LUCK, owing to their leverage profiles, are expected to benefit the most from the rate reduction.