Pakistan Economy: PSX finds its wings - By Insight Research
May 12 2025
Insight Securities
- Following a volatile week marked by heavy sell-off due to escalating border tensions with India, KSE-100 Index appears wellpositioned for a rebound, supported by a series of positive developments. The most notable among these is the ceasefire agreement between Pakistan and India, facilitated by diplomatic intervention from the U.S. and regional partners. This has significantly eased investor concerns, as reflected in today’s market performance, where trading was briefly halted in early minutes. International mediation between the two archrivals is expected to support regional stability and investor confidence.
- Moreover, successful completion of the IMF’s first review under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF), unlocking a US$1bn tranche, along with approval of US$1.4bn under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) for climate resilience. These developments are expected to lift market sentiment ahead of the much anticipated FY26 budget, where adherence with IMF guidelines will be critical. To highlight, external position and overall macros have improved substantially over the past year, which may support potential credit rating upgrades by global agencies. Additionally, Pakistan’s position as a net commodity importer makes it a key beneficiary of the current downtrend in global commodity prices.