Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): EPS Down 16% QoQ as PTA-PX Margins Remain Narrow - By IIS Research

Jul 29 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • We expect LOTCHEM to report a PAT of PKR 557 million (EPS: PKR 0.37) for 2QCY25, compared to 0.44 in last quarter. PTA sales volumes are also anticipated to recover to typical levels. However, PTA-PX margins have averaged USD 101/ton this quarter, lower than the USD 118/ton in the past six years and the long term average of USD 110/ton, largely due to global dynamics and subdued international demand.
  • Following the earlier increase in gas prices for captive power plants to PKR 3,500 per MMBtu, effective Feb ’25, a further development has taken place with the approval of a captive levy of PKR 238/MMBtu on captive power usage. While these measures may add some cost pressure, it’s important to highlight that LOTCHEM’s margins and cost structure are largely driven by international PTA-PX spreads. The company also has a backup power arrangement with K-Electric to ensure uninterrupted operations; in the past, it even sold excess electricity to KE. Moreover, LOTCHEM is currently undergoing a change in ownership, as AsiaPak Investments Limited and Montage Oil DMCC have entered into a share purchase agreement to acquire a 75.01% stake in the company.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): EPS Down 16% QoQ as PTA-PX Margins Remain Narrow - By IIS Research

Jul 29 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • We expect LOTCHEM to report a PAT of PKR 557 million (EPS: PKR 0.37) for 2QCY25, compared to 0.44 in last quarter. PTA sales volumes are also anticipated to recover to typical levels. However, PTA-PX margins have averaged USD 101/ton this quarter, lower than the USD 118/ton in the past six years and the long term average of USD 110/ton, largely due to global dynamics and subdued international demand.
  • Following the earlier increase in gas prices for captive power plants to PKR 3,500 per MMBtu, effective Feb ’25, a further development has taken place with the approval of a captive levy of PKR 238/MMBtu on captive power usage. While these measures may add some cost pressure, it’s important to highlight that LOTCHEM’s margins and cost structure are largely driven by international PTA-PX spreads. The company also has a backup power arrangement with K-Electric to ensure uninterrupted operations; in the past, it even sold excess electricity to KE. Moreover, LOTCHEM is currently undergoing a change in ownership, as AsiaPak Investments Limited and Montage Oil DMCC have entered into a share purchase agreement to acquire a 75.01% stake in the company.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 1QCY25 EPS clocked in at PKR0.44 – Below expectation - By Insight Research

Apr 17 2025


Insight Securities


  • LOTCHEM has announced its 1QCY25 result, wherein company has posted PAT of PKR0.7bn (EPS: PKR0.44) vs. PAT of PKR0.9bn (EPS: PKR0.59) in SPLY. The result is below our expectation due to lower than estimated revenue.
  • In 1QCY25, revenue decreased by 33% YoY, due to lower volumetric sales. While on QoQ basis, same is up by 6% possibly due to higher PTA prices and volumetric sales.
  • Gross margins of the company clocked in at 6.2%, up by 100bps/540bps YoY/QoQ, due to improved core delta.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 1QCY25 Preview: Profitability to stay muted - By Insight Research

Apr 16 2025


Insight Securities


  • LOTCHEM is expected to post a PAT of PKR806mn (EPS: PKR0.50) in 1QCY25 vs. loss of PKR19mn (LPS: PKR0.01) in preceding quarter amid better core delta. While on YoY basis profitability inch up by ~2%. To note, International PTA prices plunged by ~13% YoY to clock in at ~US$682/ton. Similarly, PX prices witnessed a decrease of ~16% YoY to clock in at US$868/ ton, resulting in an increase of ~9% in PTA-PX spread. Company’s topline is expected to decrease by 25% YoY to clock in at PKR24.3bn in 1QCY25, amid lower volumetric sales. Whereas, same is expected to increase by ~20% QoQ due to higher volumetric sales. Gross margins of the company are estimated to clock in at 6.5% in 1QCY25, witnessing an increase of ~130bps/5.7ppts YoY/QoQ on account of improved core delta. Selling and distribution expense is expected to increase by 39%/20%, YoY/QoQ.
  • EPCL is expected to post a consolidated LAT of PKR264mn (LPS: PKR0.29) in 1QCY25 vs. LAT of PKR900mn (LPS: PKR0.99) in SPLY. Company’s topline is expected to increase by 12% YoY to clock in at PKR18.5bn in 1QCY25, amid higher volumetric sales. While, same is expected to decline by ~13% QoQ primarily due to lower PVC prices. Gross margins are estimated to clock in at 10.2% in 1QCY25 witnessing an increase of ~380bps YoY, attributable to higher volumetric sales. While on QoQ basis, same is expected to decline by ~390bps amid lower core delta and higher gas prices. To note, International PVC prices decline by ~4%/5% YoY/QoQ to clock in at ~US$756/ton. Similarly, PVCEthylene margins witnessed a decline of ~5%/10% YoY/QoQ. Selling and distribution expense is expected to decrease by 32% YoY, whereas same is expected to go down by ~8% QoQ. Financial charges are anticipated to decrease by 22%/27% YoY/ QoQ to clock in at PKR1.3bn, primarily due to decline in debt level and interest rates.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): Earnings Hold Steady as PTA Margins Remain Underwhelming - By IIS Research

Apr 16 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • We expect LOTCHEM to report a PAT of PKR 779 million (EPS: PKR 0.51) for 1QCY25, compared to LPS 0.01 in last quarter. This improvement comes as operations normalize following a one-month plant turnaround last quarter. PTA sales volumes are also anticipated to recover to typical levels. However, PTAPX margins have averaged USD 100/ton this quarter, lower than the USD 122/ton in the past six years and the long term average of USD 110/ton, largely due to global dynamics and subdued international demand.
  • Additionally, this quarter is affected by the recent gas price hike. Where, the gas price for captive power plants has increased to Rs 3,500 per MMBtu, effective February 1, 2025. While this increase poses some pressure, it's worth noting that LOTCHEM’s cost structure and margins are largely driven by international PTA-PX spreads. Notably, in CY24, only around 7% of COGS was from oil, gas, and electricity expenses. Furthermore, the company is in the process of being acquired, as AsiaPak Investments Limited and Montage Oil DMCC entered into a share purchase agreement to acquire a 75.01% stake in LOTCHEM.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 4QCY24 LPS clocked-in at Rs0.01 - By Foundation Research

Feb 13 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM) released its 4QCY24 financial result with loss of Rs0.01/sh compared to profit of Rs0.16/sh in 4QCY23. This cumulates to CY24 earnings of Rs1.75/sh, down 48% YoY.
  • Notably, AsiaPak Investment Company Limited and Montage Oil DMCC have informed PSX of their intention to acquire 75.01% shares of LOTCHEM via a Share Purchase Agreement. This would require them to undertake a Public Offer for 12.49% (189.2 mn) of the outstanding shares.
  • Decline in 4QCY24 profitability is attributable to (1) 53 day plant maintenance shutdown, (2) higher gas prices and (3) appreciation of avg. Rs-US$ despite higher PTA-PX margin.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 4QCY24 LPS clocked in at PKR0.01 – Below expectation - By Insight Research

Feb 13 2025


Insight Securities


  • LOTCHEM has announced its 4QCY24 result, wherein company has posted LAT of PKR19mn (LPS: PKR0.01) vs. PAT of PKR238mn (EPS: PKR0.16) in SPLY. The result is below our expectation due to lower than estimated gross margins and revenue.
  • In 4QCY24, revenue increased by 4% YoY, due to higher volumetric sales. While on QoQ basis, same is down by 17% due to lower PTA prices and volumetric sales.
  • Gross margins of the company clocked in at 0.8%, down by 120bps/340bps YoY/QoQ, possibly due to lower realized core delta.
Lotte Chemicals Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): Earnings Fall Short on Margin Pressure, Maintenance Disruptions - By IIS Research

Feb 13 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • Lotte Chemicals Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM) has announced its CY24 financial result today, where the company has posted PAT of PKR 2,647 mn with an EPS of PKR 1.75. This fell short of our expectation of PKR 2.13/sh, reflecting a 48% YoY decline, primarily due to PTA-PX margins averaging USD 100/ton in CY24 compared to USD 110/ton in CY23 coupled with minimal profitability in 4QCY24, as sales decreased by 17% QoQ due to a plant shutdown for maintenance, initially planned for one month but later extended by seven days.
  • The company did not announce a dividend alongside the results, contrary to our expectation of 1/sh. The total CY24 dividend stood at PKR 0.50 per share, translating to a payout ratio of 29%, lower than the seven year average annual payout ratio of 68%.
  • On a quarterly basis, gross margins were reported at 0.8%, compared to 4.2% in the previous quarter and 2.0% in 3QCY23. Financial charges for the quarter amounted to PKR 115 million, reflecting a 35% YoY and 38% QoQ decrease. Other income declined by 70% YoY and 24% QoQ, mainly due to a lower interest rate environment.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): Earnings Steady, Dividend expected at PKR 1/Share - By IIS Research

Feb 6 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • We expect LOTCHEM to report a PAT of PKR 559 million (EPS: PKR 0.37) for 4QCY24, while for CY24, the PAT is projected at PKR 3,221 million (EPS: PKR 2.13). Additionally, we anticipate a dividend of PKR 1 per share this quarter, bringing the total dividend for the year to PKR 1.5 per share.
  • PTA sales volumes for 4QCY24 are expected to be on the lower side as the company suspended plant operations for maintenance for one month, later extending it by seven more days. However, gross margins are anticipated to improve this quarter to 7%, supported by stable margins. On a yearly basis, gross margins for CY24 are expected to be around 6%, down from 13% in CY23, primarily due to PTA-PX margins averaging USD 100/ton in CY24 compared to USD 110/ton in CY23.
  • Moreover, gas prices have once again increased. As per the latest notification, the gas price for captive power plants has been raised to Rs 3,500 per MMBtu, effective February 1, 2025. While this poses a concern for the company, its major costs and margins remain largely influenced by international PTA-PX margins.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): Corporate Briefing Notes – By Chase Research

Dec 5 2024



  • Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM) reported a net profit of PKR 2.66 billion (EPS: PKR 1.76) in 9MCY24. This represents a 45% decline from a net profit of PKR 4.84 billion (EPS: PKR 3.20) in the same period last year (SPLY).
  • Revenue for 9MCY24 increased by 43% year-on-year to PKR 88.98 billion, compared to PKR 62.14 billion in 9MCY23. The trading of Acetic Acid contributed gross profit of PKR 358 million during 9MCY24. The price of Acetic Acid ranged between $450 and $500 per ton during the period.
  • LOTCHEM is the sole producer of purified terephthalic acid (PTA) in Pakistan, with an annual production capacity of 500 KT. Approximately 40% of the company’s sales are made to Novatex Limited.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 3QCY24 Corporate Briefing Takeaways – By Taurus Research

Dec 5 2024


Taurus Securities


  • Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited is a leading petrochemical company that specializes in the production and marketing of Purified Terephthalic Acid (PTA), a key raw material used in the manufacturing of polyester fibers, and plastics, contributing significantly to the textile and packaging industries in Pakistan.
  • LOTCHEM’s revenue in 3QCY24 was PKR 25Bn as compared to PKR 24Bn in the same period last year (4.3% YoY increase).
  • However, the Company’s gross profit margin significantly declined to 4.25% in 3QCY24 from 14.48% in 3QCY23. The reason for this sharp decline was because of the broader challenges faced by Pakistan, including high interest rates and escalating energy costs. These challenges caused Lotte's customers to reduce their operational rates, resulting in lower demand for PTA.
Pakistan Economy: Aug’25 CPI likely to clock in at 4.1% - By Insight Research

Aug 29 2025


Insight Securities


  • Headline inflation is estimated at ~4.1% for Aug’25, compared to ~9.6% in SPLY and ~4.1% in preceding month. On MoM basis, inflation is expected to inch up by ~0.4%, amid increase in prices of food items the impact of which has been negated by lower electricity charges and decline in LPG price.
  • Within the SPI basket, items that recorded significant increase in prices during the period are as follows, Tomato (38.8↑%), Onions (21.5↑%), Eggs (9.9%↑), Fresh vegetables (4.0%↑) & Wheat (4.0%↑). On the flip side, prices of the following items eased off during the month, Fresh fruits (9.9%↓), LPG (9.8%↓), Potato (5.1%↓), Pulse moong (4.6%↓) & Sugar (4.1%↓).
  • We anticipate that the SBP will keep the policy rate unchanged in upcoming MPC, as the full impact of cumulative 1,100bps reduction in policy rate is still unfolding. The real sector remains in recovery mode following the strain of elevated inflation and sharp currency depreciation, both of which eroded purchasing power of masses. Furthermore, central bank’s tone in the last MPC suggested a pause for now, which will provide clarity to the market and encourage credit offtake in the coming months, given that no immediate cut in borrowing costs is expected. Hence, it appears prudent to maintain the policy rate at its current level and wait for the steep decline in interest rates to translate into real economic activity.
Bank Islami Pakistan Limited (BIPL): 2QCY25 Corporate Briefing – By Taurus Research

Aug 29 2025


Taurus Securities


  • BIPL is currently operating with 544 branches across Pakistan. Number of accounts as of Jun’25 are ~1.7Mn.
  • During CY25, the Bank launched AIK Digital App, which is one of its kind Islamic digital app, offering complete digital banking experience. The Bank is also planning to relocate its head-office, for which it has acquired a 32-storey building. Moreover, the Bank has also upgraded its core banking system to R-14 to enhance operational efficiencies and services.
Engro Holdings Limited (ENGROH): 1HCY25 Analyst Briefing Takeaways – By Foundation Research

Aug 29 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Engro Holdings Limited (ENGROH PA) held its Analyst Briefing to discuss the company’s financial/operational performance during 1HCY25 and prospects. The following are key takeaways of the session.
  • To recall, ENGROH’s PAT underwent a jump of 11.3x YoY in 2Q to PKR 69.3Bn due to thermal asset adjustments and re-measurements. However, excluding thermal asset adjustments, normalized PAT stood at only ~PKR 1.3Bn, reflecting the true underlying business performance. During 1HCY25, PAT reached PKR 73.3Bn versus PKR 13.8Bn in SPLY, recording a 5.3x YoY increase.
Morning News: ADB pledges $410m for Reko Diq project – By IIS Research

Aug 29 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • Out of the total $6 billion funding committed by all international lenders for Reko Diq, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has committed to provide financing of $410 million.
  • Federal Minister for Petroleum Ali Pervaiz Malik on Thursday welcomed the interest of the Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC) in Pakistan’s landmark Reqo Diq mining project, terming it a pivotal moment for strengthening bilateral cooperation in the mining and energy sectors.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 targeting the 30-DMA; stay cautious – By JS Research

Aug 29 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index witnessed range bound activity to close at 147,344, down 151 points DoD. Volumes stood at 935mn shares compared to 857mn shares traded in the previous session. The index is expected to test support between 146,700 and 147,210 levels as a fall below, will extend the decline towards 146,057, followed by the 30-DMA at 143,859 level. However, any upside will face resistance in the range of 148,040-148,370 levels. The RSI and the MACD are moving down, supporting a corrective view. We recommend investors to stay cautious at current levels. The support and resistance are at 147,021 and 147,854 levels, respectively.
Morning News: SBP forex reserves rise by USD 18mn to USD 14.27bn – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Aug 29 2025


Alpha Capital


  • Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves held by the central bank rose for a third straight week and stood at USD 14.27bn as of August 22, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) said on Thursday.
  • Following the ongoing sugar crisis, Pakistan may now face a potential wheat flour crisis, as national wheat stocks stand at 33.47mn tons, slightly below the country’s annual consumption requirement of 33.58mn tons.
Morning News: RLNG arrears recovery: PD-private sector ‘alliance’ takes on Ogra – By HMFS Research

Aug 29 2025


HMFS Research


  • The Power Division and the private sector on Thursday appeared to have formed an undeclared alliance against the Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (Ogra) over the recovery of RLNG arrears from 2015 to 2024 — a move that, if enforced, would impact both industry and power plants, with the ultimate burden shifting to electricity consumers. The joint position was evident during a public hearing at the National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA) regarding uniform Fuel Charges Adjustment (FCA) for July 2025 across the country, including K-Electric’s service area.
  • Pakistan’s economic stability faces renewed challenges as the Finance Division warns that flood-related damages could intensify fiscal pressures and disrupt food supplies across affected areas as well as pose a risk in achieving agriculture sector’s targeted growth. The monthly economic update and outlook August 2025 noted that adverse climatic events (heavy rainfall and floods) pose a risk in achieving agriculture sector’s targeted growth.
D.G. Khan Cement Company Limited (DGKC): Result Review — Earnings rise on surging margins – By AKD Research

Aug 28 2025


AKD Securities


  • D.G. Khan Cement Company Ltd. (DGKC) announced its 4QFY25 financial results, reporting earnings of PkR3.2bn (EPS: PkR7.2), compared to a loss of PkR1.7bn (LPS: PkR3.9) in SPLY. The result is above our expectations, mainly due to im proved margins and lower ETR during the quarter. Additionally, company an nounced a final cash payout of PkR2.0/sh.
  • Revenue declined by 1%YoY to PkR16.8bn, compared to PkR17.0bn in SPLY, driven by 1.2%YoY decline in total offtakes to 1.28mn tons.
  • Gross margins improved to 31.8% from 7.9% in SPLY, supported by decline in coal prices and grid tariffs.
Pakistan Floods: Historical Impact – By CHASE Research

Aug 28 2025



  • Pakistan is currently at the cusp of widespread floods due to its eastern rivers overflowing as a result of monsoon rains and release of water from Indian dams. As such, we believe it is important to assess the impact of past floods to determine whether equity markets will be impacted.
  • In this report, we look over the KSE100 index performance and impact on different sectors during flooding years to determine whether these floods will impact broader market sentiment and growth in fertilizer and cement demand.
Archroma Pakistan Limited (ARPL): 9MSY25 Corporate Briefing Takeaways – By Taurus Research

Aug 28 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Archroma Pakistan Limited is primarily engaged in the manufacture, import, and sale of dyes and other specialty chemical solutions. It is a subsidiary of the Switzerland-based company, Archroma Textiles GmbH. ARPL has two business divisions: textile effects and packaging technologies with a combined portfolio of between 300-400 products. APRL’s products are used in the pre-treatment, dyeing, printing, and finishing of textiles, and coloration and coatings of packaging materials. The Company’s products help enhance both the optical as well as the functional properties of its clients’ end products.
  • The textile effects division has four markets with several segments within each. These are: apparel (denim, casual wear, performance apparel, and formal war), home textiles (home and institutional, automotive), specialized textiles (technical textiles, protection textiles), and home care (personal care, plastics, and leather). This division serves customers from a wide range of industries such as textile, healthcare, cosmetics (anti-perspirant agents), construction (protective clothing), and producers of household care products such as detergents, dishwashing liquids, and other cleaning products.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): EPS Down 16% QoQ as PTA-PX Margins Remain Narrow - By IIS Research

Jul 29 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • We expect LOTCHEM to report a PAT of PKR 557 million (EPS: PKR 0.37) for 2QCY25, compared to 0.44 in last quarter. PTA sales volumes are also anticipated to recover to typical levels. However, PTA-PX margins have averaged USD 101/ton this quarter, lower than the USD 118/ton in the past six years and the long term average of USD 110/ton, largely due to global dynamics and subdued international demand.
  • Following the earlier increase in gas prices for captive power plants to PKR 3,500 per MMBtu, effective Feb ’25, a further development has taken place with the approval of a captive levy of PKR 238/MMBtu on captive power usage. While these measures may add some cost pressure, it’s important to highlight that LOTCHEM’s margins and cost structure are largely driven by international PTA-PX spreads. The company also has a backup power arrangement with K-Electric to ensure uninterrupted operations; in the past, it even sold excess electricity to KE. Moreover, LOTCHEM is currently undergoing a change in ownership, as AsiaPak Investments Limited and Montage Oil DMCC have entered into a share purchase agreement to acquire a 75.01% stake in the company.
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