Pakistan Steel: 4QFY25 Previews – By Taurus Research
Aug 1 2025
Taurus Securities
- We expect TSL Steel Universe LAT to clock-in at PKR 1.2Bn, down 25%QoQ mainly due to lower construction demand and underutilization of PSDP. Albeit, increase in retention prices, decline in finance cost (14%QoQ) on account of lower interest rates and improvement in sales from flat steel players i.e. ISL in Steel universe (surge in Automobile industry sales by 15%QoQ) are likely to improve profitability for the steel players.
- Moreover, AGHA and ASTL to get some relief in the form of tax reversals for the quarter. Further, Universe gross margins to arrive at 7%, up 1pptsQoQ due to better retention prices for Re bar. However, the industry is currently facing margin pressure due to lower construction demand, higher energy cost and low er PSDP utilization. We expect some improvement in the profit ability of our TSL Steel Universe Companies during 1QFY26 on the back of lower finance cost and Government’s stance to re vive construction sector by introducing PKR 10Bn subsidy (Housing and Mark-up subsidies equally divided).