Power Generation & Distribution: 4QFY25 Result Previews – By Taurus Research
Aug 6 2025
Taurus Securities
- NPL is expected to post a PAT of PKR 698Mn (EPS: PKR 2.0) in 4QFY25, down 54%YoY but up 7%QoQ. Revenues are estimated at PKR 2.1Bn, declining 61%YoY due to lower plant utilization (8% vs. 26% SPLY), which restricted capacity payments as ROE entitlement remained capped at 35%. However, revenue rose 24% QoQ on seasonal recovery in demand. Other income is expected at PKR 227Mn, supported by interest earnings on sizable cash re serves. A final dividend of PKR 2.0/sh. is expected, taking the full-year payout to PKR 8.0/sh.
- Plant utilization (8% vs. 3%QoQ). Net sales are expected at PKR 2.1Bn, down 22%YoY, despite flat generation, primarily due to lower fuel indexation. On a sequential basis, revenue rose 71%, reflecting better dispatches. However, FY25 profitability is ex pected to remain negative due to a one-off PKR 5.6Bn charge in 2QFY25, stemming from the waiver of interest obligations under the revised settlement agreement. On the back of good cash re serves, we expect the Company to announce a 4QFY25 dividend of PKR 2.00/sh., taking full-year payout to PKR 9.00/sh.