Pakistan Economy: Aug’25 NCPI to arrive at 4.3%YoY/0.7%MoM – By Taurus Research
Aug 26 2025
Taurus Securities
- Headline inflation for the month of Aug’25 is expected to clock-in at 4.3%YoY/0.7%MoM—highest reading since Nov’24, taking the FY26 TD NCPI to 4.2%YoY, on account of: i) surge in food prices mainly; and ii) a relatively lower base from the SPLY. Stickiness in certain core segments is also likely to put pressure on NCPI.
- We anticipate food prices (35% weightage) to increase ~2%MoM, largely driven by supply-side factors owing to the monsoon floods in the country. Wherein, prices have soared for vegetables like Onions and Tomatoes by 22%MoM and 28%MoM, respectively. Additionally, prices for Wheat, Chicken and Eggs have al so risen as observed from the data published by the PBS.