National Foods Limited (NATF): Strong footings at home, unlocking valuations for foreign investment; Buy – By JS Research

Nov 5 2025

JS Global Capital

• We reinitiate coverage on one of Pakistan’s leading food products company, National Foods Ltd (NATF) with a Buy rating, arriving at a DCF-based Target Price (TP) of Rs485, implying a 28% upside.

• With over 90% of NATF’s consol. earnings derived from its Pakistan operations, where it enjoys strong brand footing, we expect the company’s Standalone earnings to grow at a 5-yr. CAGR of 28%. while also contributing 76% to our TP.

• Growing demand for convenience food ingredients in Pakistan with evolving demographics & distribution network, coupled with NATF’s effective brand positioning & pricing power is expected to result in a 5-yr. sales CAGR of 15%.

Technical Outlook: KSE-100 expected to trade between key averages – By JS Research

Nov 5 2025

JS Global Capital

• Bears dominated the session as KSE-100 index closed the session at 161,282 level, down 1,521 points. Volumes stood at 899mn shares versus 949mn shares traded previously. The index is likely to trade between the 50-DMA and the 30-DMA that stands at 159,823 and 163,604 levels, respectively. A break above or below is needed for a directional move. The RSI has moved down, while the Stochastic Oscillator is heading up, signaling no clear trading view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side and wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 160,499 and 162,725 levels, respectively.

Morning News: EV bike makers urge govt to revisit sales tax hike decision – By AHCML Research

Nov 5 2025

Al Habib Capital Markets

• Local electric vehicle and bike manufacturers, on Tuesday, expressed serious concerns over the recent increase in the sales tax on EV bikes from 1 percent to 18 percent, urging the government to review the decision.

• The Ministry of Commerce has supported a proposal to establish a dedicated Minerals Division, similar to the Petroleum Division, for specialized oversight and efficient coordination between the federal and provincial governments through the Council of Common Interests (CCI)

Morning News: Gold Price Per Tola Sheds Rs3,500 In Pakistan – By WE Research

Nov 5 2025

• Gold prices in Pakistan dropped by rs3,500 per tola, bringing the local rate to rs420,362. Similarly, 10-gram gold fell by rs3,001 to rs360,392. The decline followed a fall in international gold prices, which slipped by $35 per ounce to $3,980 (with a $20 premium). Silver prices also decreased by rs130 per tola to rs5,022.

• Pakistan and Iran have agreed to strengthen agricultural trade, with Iran set to import 350,000 livestock from Pakistan. The move is part of broader bilateral cooperation in food security and trade. This agreement is expected to enhance Pakistan’s livestock exports and provide new opportunities for farmers and exporters.

Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Nov 4 2025

Al Habib Capital Markets

• The KSE-100 Index experienced a volatile trading session today, climbing to an intraday high of 163,384.95 before settling at 161,281.76, down -1,521.39 points (-0.93%). Market sentiment remained cautious, with profit-taking weighing on performance as investors trimmed positions across key sectors, including Commercial Banks, Fertilizer, Oil & Gas Exploration and Cement. On the macro front, the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) Chairman ruled out the introduction of any contingency taxation measures despite a revenue shortfall of Rs 275 billion during the first four months (July–October) of FY26, signaling the government’s intent to maintain fiscal discipline. Top drags to index included ENGROH, MARI, BAHL, MCB, & TRG, which collectively pulled the benchmark down by -543.71 points. WTL led volumes with 78.87 million shares; overall market turnover was 899.41 million shares.

Pakistan Market Wrap: Profit-Taking Pulls Back the Bulls as Geopolitical Pressures Weigh on Sentiment – By HMFS Research

Nov 4 2025

HMFS Research

• After a strong rally in the previous session, the KSE-100 Index witnessed a wave of profit-taking as investors opted to lock in gains, leading the benchmark to plunge 1,644 points during intraday trading. The momentum faltered amid a resurgence of geopolitical tensions, which dampened market sentiment and triggered cautious activity across key sectors. Adding to the pressure, October’s CPI inflation was reported at 6.2%, slightly denting investor confidence as concerns resurfaced over potential implications for monetary stability and consumption trends.

• The KSE-100 Index ultimately closed at 161,282, down by 1,521 points from the previous session’s close. Trading activity remained moderate, reflecting a restrained investor stance, with 322mn shares traded on the KSE-100 Index and 898mn shares exchanged in the broader market. The day’s volume leaders included WTL (79mn), TELE (77mn), and KEL (72mn). Looking ahead, market direction is expected to remain contingent on the stability of border conditions and the evolving geopolitical landscape. However, optimism continues to brew around Pakistan’s “Blue Economy” initiative, a transformative long-term plan aimed at unlocking an estimated USD 100bn potential by 2047 through marine and coastal economic development. Should progress materialize on this front, it could serve as a catalyst for sustained market optimism in the coming months. That said, intermittent profit-taking phases remain a natural part of market cycles. Investors are advised to maintain a prudent approach, monitor evolving dynamics, and focus on fundamentally strong stocks offering long-term growth potential.

Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a negative note – By IIS Research

Nov 4 2025

Ismail Iqbal Securities

• The benchmark index closed on a negative note, as selling pressure persisted, with the index remaining volatile throughout the session. Trading volumes decreased to 322mn shares today as compared to 353mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index lost 1,521 points to close at 161,282 level, down by -0.93% DoD. Commercial Banks, Oil & Gas Exploration Companies, and Cement sectors were the major laggards in today's session, cumulatively shedding 1164 points from the index.

Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100 closes at 161,282 down 1,521 points – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Nov 4 2025

Alpha Capital

• The equity market started off positively but was unable to keep up the momentum. The KSE-100 Index reached an intraday high of 163,385 and a low of 161,159, before settling at 161,282 — a drop of 1,521 points. Market participation remained muted, with total trade volumes of 318.7 million shares and a traded value of around PKR 25 billion.

• Key drag-factors in the decline included MARI (-2.3%, -147 points), MCB (-2.3%, -128 points), BAHL (-2.2%, -123 points), LUCK (-1.6%, -122 points) and HBL (-1.7%, -110 points). On the activity side, KEL and BOP led the volume charts, trading 70.6 million and 39 million shares respectively.

Pakistan Automobiles: INDU to keep the throne in the auto arena – By AKD Research

Nov 4 2025

AKD Securities

• INDU’s continues to benefit from strong volumetric growth, diversified product portfolio, extensive dealership network, higher localization, strong brand equity, high presence in rural areas, and superior cash-conversion cycle. Moreover, higher localization would shield against currency devaluation and provide edge over new entrants. We reiterate our ‘Buy’ stance on INDU, with Jun’26 target price of PkR3,681/sh with forward dividend yield of 9.3%, led by sustained earnings, higher-than-anticipated volumetric and margins.

• Accelerating beyond industry growth: We anticipate sustained volumetric growth primarily supported by i) rising income of farmers (with 50% of sales coming from rural areas), ii) strong brand equity, iii) the company’s extensive dealership network, being the largest in the country with 57 3S dealerships, and iv) strong parent book to be leveraged in case of absence of customer advances. Underpinned by the company’s recent performance, where INDU recorded a 61%YoY rise in volumes during FY25, significantly outperforming the industry’s 43%YoY growth in Passenger cars and LCVs, even amid the entry of multiple new competitors into the market. Against this backdrop, we project volumes to grow at an annual rate of 14% through FY28, reaching 49k units. Subsequently, we expect the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 15.3%, up to FY28. Where, we forecast overall market to expand to 222k units by FY28, driven by i) moderation in prices, ii) increasing model availability, iii) improving per capita income, and iv) lowest per-capita vehicle penetration in the region.

Interloop Limited (ILP): Reinitiating with a BUY — Back in the Fast Lane – By IIS Research

Nov 4 2025

Ismail Iqbal Securities

• We reinitiate coverage on Interloop Limited (ILP) with a ‘BUY’ recommendation. ILP is one of Pakistan’s largest textile exporters and a global leader in socks, supplying renowned brands such as Nike, Adidas, Puma, and H&M. Our positive stance reflects ILP’s strong export driven earnings trajectory, expected recovery in apparel and denim margins, and robust expansion pipeline across the Denim and Yarn segments following the completion of Hosiery Plant 6.

• Our DCF based target price for ILP is PKR 108/share by June 2026, representing an upside of 38% from the last closing price of PKR 80.6/share. The stock also offers a dividend yield of 4%. Overall, ILP offers a compelling risk reward profile, supported by strong fundamentals, diversified export relationships, and strategic growth initiatives. With a 38% upside to our target price and ongoing expansion in high margin segments, ILP is well positioned to sustain its leadership in global textile exports while delivering attractive shareholder returns.