Pakistan Market Wrap: View from the Desk – By JS Research

Oct 9 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Amid persistent profit-taking and a lack of fresh positive triggers, the benchmark index ended the day in negative territory after a session of significant volatility. Trading activity intensified, with volume climbing to 1,570mn shares from yesterday's 1,275mn. The KSE-100 declined by 736 points (0.45%) to close at 164,531, with the Banking, Power, and Oil & Gas sectors contributing the most to the losses.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Persistent Profit-Taking Deepens Market Slide Amid Geopolitical Concerns – By HMFS Research

Nov 5 2025


HMFS Research


  • Following a sharp correction in the previous session, the KSE-100 Index extended its decline as persistent profit-taking and escalating geopolitical tensions continued to weigh on investor sentiment. The benchmark index plunged by 2,000 points intraday as investors remained cautious. Sustained selling pressure kept market momentum subdued, particularly across cyclical sectors, as participants awaited clarity on both geopolitical and macroeconomic fronts. The KSE-100 Index ultimately closed at 159,578, down by 1,704 points from the previous session’s close.
  • Trading activity remained moderate, mirroring the restrained tone of the previous day, with 333mn shares traded on the KSE-100 Index and 859mn shares exchanged in the broader market. Looking ahead, market direction is expected to remain sensitive to developments along the borders and evolving geopolitical narratives. However, optimism persists over Pakistan’s “Blue Economy” initiative, which continues to attract long-term investor interest with its projected USD 100bn potential by 2047. While intermittent bouts of profit-taking are likely to continue as part of normal market cycles, investors are advised to adopt a cautious approach, focusing on fundamentally robust stocks capable of withstanding short-term volatility.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Nov 5 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index experienced another volatile trading session today, climbing to an intraday high of 162,052.45 before settling at 159,578.19, down -1,703.58 points (-1.06%). Market sentiment remained cautious, with profit-taking weighing on performance as investors trimmed positions across key sectors, including commercial banks, oil and gas exploration companies, OMCs, power generation and refinery.
  • In sectoral developments, Finance Minister stated on Wednesday that the government is moving toward deregulating the sugar and wheat sectors while addressing members of the Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry, highlighting efforts to promote efficiency and market-driven mechanisms within the commodity space. Top drags to index included FFC, ENGROH, LUCK, MEBL, & SYS, which collectively pulled the benchmark down by -902.58 points. KEL led volumes with 100.03 million shares; overall market turnover was 860.26 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a negative note – By IIS Research

Nov 5 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • The benchmark index closed on a negative note, remaining volatile and shedding points amid lingering skepticism over geopolitical developments. Trading volumes increased to 333mn shares today as compared to 322mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index lost 1,704 points to close at 159,578 level, down by -1.06% DoD. Commercial Banks, Fertilizer, and Cement sectors were the major laggards in today's session, cumulatively shedding 1176 points from the index.
Waves Home Appliances Limited (WAVESAPP): 9MCY25 & CY24 Corporate Briefing Takeaways – By Taurus Research

Nov 5 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Waves Home Appliances Limited (WAVESAPP) is a subsidiary of Waves Corporation Limited (WAVES). The principal activity of the business is manufacturing domestic consumer appliances. WAVESAPP produces deep freezers, coolers, refrigerators, air conditioners, washing machines, microwaves, water dispensers and heaters, geysers, and cooking ranges.
  • The Management noted that they will be relaunching certain discontinued products such as air conditioners in the coming year. They also noted that WAVES is still the market leader in the deep freezers segment.
Waves Corporation Limited (WAVES): 9MCY25 & CY24 Corporate Briefing Takeaways – By Taurus Research

Nov 5 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Waves Corporation Limited (WAVES) is the parent company of Waves Home Appliances Limited (WAVESAPP), Waves Marketplace Limited (WMPL), and Waves Builders & Developers Private Limited (WBDL), of which it has stakes of 50%, 100%, and 100%, respectively. WAVES went through corporate restructuring in FY22 which separated WAVESAPP, i.e. the home appliances business, from WAVES which fully retained the retail and real estate businesses.
  • As part of this restructuring, WAVESAPP issued a total of 256Mn shares of which 199Mn were allotted to WAVES, while the remaining 56Mn were allotted to shareholders of WAVES in the ratio of 20 WAVESAPP shares for every 100 WAVES shares held. Further, PKR 2Bn in cash were payable to WAVES by WAVESAPP with in two years of the restructuring.
Waves Home Appliances Ltd. (WAVESAPP): CY24 and 9MCY25 Analyst Briefing takeaways – By AKD Research

Nov 5 2025


AKD Securities


  • To recall, company posted net revenue of PkR3.2bn in CY24 compared to PkR4.2bn in SPLY, down 24%YoY. In 9MCY25, topline clocked in at PkR2.8bn, vs. PkR2.5bn in SPLY, up 11%YoY, primarily driven by demand recovery.
  • Company reported earnings of PkR153mn (EPS: PkR0.57) during CY24, compared to PkR116mn (EPS: PkR0.43) in SPLY, up 32%YoY. During 9MCY25, earnings clocked in at PkR262mn (EPS: PkR0.98), compared to PkR68mn (EPS: PkR0.26) in SPLY, up 3.8xYoY. This increase was primarily driven by other income.
  • Appliance demand is steadily moving toward larger, more premium products, driving value-based topline growth even as overall volumes remain relatively stable.
Waves Corporation Limited (WAVES): CY24 and 9MCY25 Analyst Briefing takeaways – By AKD Research

Nov 5 2025


AKD Securities


  • To recall, company posted net revenue of PkR3.9bn in CY24 compared to PkR5.2bn in SPLY, down 24%YoY. In 9MCY25, topline clocked in at PkR3.5bn, vs. PkR3.1bn in SPLY, up 15%YoY, primarily driven by demand recovery.
  • Company reported earnings of PkR1.1bn (EPS: PkR3.9) during CY24, compared to PkR257mn (EPS: PkR0.91) in SPLY, up 4.2xYoY. During 9MCY25, earnings clocked in at PkR648mn (EPS: PkR2.30), compared to PkR282mn (EPS: PkR1.00) in SPLY, up 2.3xYoY. This increase was primarily driven by other income.
National Foods Limited (NATF): Strong footings at home, unlocking valuations for foreign investment; Buy – By JS Research

Nov 5 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We reinitiate coverage on one of Pakistan’s leading food products company, National Foods Ltd (NATF) with a Buy rating, arriving at a DCF-based Target Price (TP) of Rs485, implying a 28% upside.
  • With over 90% of NATF’s consol. earnings derived from its Pakistan operations, where it enjoys strong brand footing, we expect the company’s Standalone earnings to grow at a 5-yr. CAGR of 28%. while also contributing 76% to our TP.
  • Growing demand for convenience food ingredients in Pakistan with evolving demographics & distribution network, coupled with NATF’s effective brand positioning & pricing power is expected to result in a 5-yr. sales CAGR of 15%.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 expected to trade between key averages – By JS Research

Nov 5 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Bears dominated the session as KSE-100 index closed the session at 161,282 level, down 1,521 points. Volumes stood at 899mn shares versus 949mn shares traded previously. The index is likely to trade between the 50-DMA and the 30-DMA that stands at 159,823 and 163,604 levels, respectively. A break above or below is needed for a directional move. The RSI has moved down, while the Stochastic Oscillator is heading up, signaling no clear trading view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side and wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 160,499 and 162,725 levels, respectively.
Morning News: EV bike makers urge govt to revisit sales tax hike decision – By AHCML Research

Nov 5 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • Local electric vehicle and bike manufacturers, on Tuesday, expressed serious concerns over the recent increase in the sales tax on EV bikes from 1 percent to 18 percent, urging the government to review the decision.
  • The Ministry of Commerce has supported a proposal to establish a dedicated Minerals Division, similar to the Petroleum Division, for specialized oversight and efficient coordination between the federal and provincial governments through the Council of Common Interests (CCI)
National Foods Limited (NATF): Strong footings at home, unlocking valuations for foreign investment; Buy – By JS Research

Nov 5 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We reinitiate coverage on one of Pakistan’s leading food products company, National Foods Ltd (NATF) with a Buy rating, arriving at a DCF-based Target Price (TP) of Rs485, implying a 28% upside.
  • With over 90% of NATF’s consol. earnings derived from its Pakistan operations, where it enjoys strong brand footing, we expect the company’s Standalone earnings to grow at a 5-yr. CAGR of 28%. while also contributing 76% to our TP.
  • Growing demand for convenience food ingredients in Pakistan with evolving demographics & distribution network, coupled with NATF’s effective brand positioning & pricing power is expected to result in a 5-yr. sales CAGR of 15%.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 expected to trade between key averages – By JS Research

Nov 5 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Bears dominated the session as KSE-100 index closed the session at 161,282 level, down 1,521 points. Volumes stood at 899mn shares versus 949mn shares traded previously. The index is likely to trade between the 50-DMA and the 30-DMA that stands at 159,823 and 163,604 levels, respectively. A break above or below is needed for a directional move. The RSI has moved down, while the Stochastic Oscillator is heading up, signaling no clear trading view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side and wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 160,499 and 162,725 levels, respectively.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 testing resistance at the 30-DMA – By JS Research

Nov 4 2025


JS Global Capital


  • KSE-100 index showed positive movement to close at the 162,803 level, up 1,171 points. Volumes stood at 949mn shares versus 953mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to face resistance between 163,490 and 163,940 levels where a break above the said range will target 165,828 and 168,414 levels, respectively. However, any downside will find support within 160,830-161,900 range. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator are moving up, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to 'Buy on dips', with risk defined below the 50-DMA at 159,566 level. The support and resistance are at 161,819 and 163,861 levels, respectively.
Pakistan Economy: Geo-politics outweigh fundamentals – By JS Research

Nov 3 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index corrected 7% from its recent peak, closing 2.3% lower MoM – its first decline after five months of MoM gains. Profit-taking by insurance companies, mutual funds, and foreign investors led to net selling of US$104mn amid geopolitical unrest. Notably, border tensions with Afghanistan weighed on sentiment, though markets recovered slightly following a ceasefire. Despite strong corporate results and IMF Staff level agreement, external political concerns overshadowed the positive developments. Top gainers included AKBL (+16%), ABL (+8%), ILP (+7%), and FFC (+6%), while trading volumes rose 7% MoM in Oct-2025.
  • Oil prices (WTI) fell to a 5month low in October, closing at US$61/bbl, being the 3rd consecutive monthly decline. The drop was driven by supply-side concerns as OPEC members increased output and US production reached record levels. Meanwhile, the PKR/US$ appreciated by 0.1% MoM, closing at 280.91 – a 6 month high on the back of strong inflows. We believe the continuation of such trend could help in easing pressure on import bill and inflation.
Pakistan Cements: 1QFY26 in pictures – By JS Research

Oct 31 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We review 1QFY26 performance of the Cement sector in this report with our sample size of 8 companies.
  • Our sample posted a 56% YoY surge in standalone earnings during the quarter, driven by a 17% YoY rise in dispatches, better export prices, and a 56% YoY decline in financial charges amid lower interest rates and deleveraging efforts owing to improved cashflows for cement players.
  • On a QoQ basis, standalone profitability rose 27%, primarily driven by a 7% QoQ increase in dispatches and higher dividend income, e.g. LUCK receiving ~Rs6bn from LEPCL.
Interloop Limited (ILP): Management foresees earnings rebound to continue in FY26-27 – By JS Research

Oct 30 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Interloop Ltd (ILP) management conducted its CBS yesterday where the management discussed the financial performance of 1QFY26/FY25 and the outlook for the company.
  • To recall, the company posted EPS of Rs2.00 for 1QFY26 compared to mere break-even levels of Rs0.16 recorded during 1QFY25, mainly led by decline in losses reported by Apparels plant, improvement in hosiery margins and drop in financial charges.
Engineering: 1QFY26 result previews – By JS Research

Oct 29 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We preview earnings estimates for Mughal Iron and Steel Ltd. (MUGHAL) and Amreli Steels Ltd. (ASTL).
  • We expect MUGHAL to post earnings of Rs455mn, translating in to an EPS of Rs1.4 in 1QFY26 compared to earnings of Rs7mn mainly led by the significant reduction in finance cost amid lower interest rates and borrowing. We do not expect the company to announce any cash dividend.
  • ASTL’s earnings are likely to remain in the negative zone, with an LPS of Rs2.4 during the 1QFY26 compared to a loss of Rs3.3 per share during the same period last year, owing to weak capacity utilization amid working capital constraints.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 expected to test support at the 50-DMA – By JS Research

Oct 29 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Bears continued to dominate the session as KSE-100 index declined by 2,063 points to close at 160,101 level. Volumes stood at 1,019mn shares versus 1,007mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test support at the 50-DMA that is currently at 158,736 where a fall below that will target the recent low at 157,678 level. Meanwhile, any upside will be restricted at the 30-DMA standing at 163,163 level. The RSI and the MACD have continued to decline, supporting a negative view. We recommend investors to stay cautious at current level. The support and resistance are at 158,810 and 162,386 levels, respectively.
Engro Fertilizers Limited (EFERT): Unfavourable dynamics weigh on earnings – By JS Research

Oct 21 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Engro Fertilizers Ltd. (EFERT) has underperformed the KSE-100 index by 38% CYTD, mainly led by the unfavorable business dynamics that has adversely impacted the company throughout the year. To recall, the company posted earnings of Rs14bn, down 21% YoY led by the slowdown in sales volume, ongoing discounts, and higher financial charges.
  • The company’s Urea inventory remained elevated, currently hovering around 550k tons owing to subdued local demand. This led to discount offerings in the range of Rs250-325/bag in the outgoing quarter which are still in place. The management in its recently held corporate briefing session apprised that industry’s inventory levels are likely to remain at 1mn tons by year end.
Lucky Cement Ltd (LUCK): 1QFY26 result previews – By JS Research

Oct 16 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We present 1QFY26 earnings expectations for Maple Leaf Cement Factory Ltd (MLCF) and Lucky Cement Ltd (LUCK).
  • MLCF is expected to post standalone EPS of Rs2.36 in 1QFY26, reflecting a 2.4x YoY increase, driven by a 17% rise in domestic dispatches, a 5.5ppt improvement in gross margins, and a substantial reduction in finance costs. On a consolidated basis, EPS is projected at Rs2.67, up 2.1x YoY.
  • LUCK, on the other hand, is expected to post 17% YoY growth in standalone profitability in 1QFY26, with EPS estimated at Rs5.25/share, supported by a 10% increase in dispatches and a 2.4ppt YoY improvement in gross margins amid lower coal prices and continued cost efficiencies. On a consolidated basis, EPS is projected at Rs14.65, reflecting a 20% YoY increase.