$PABC Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans Limited (PABC): Seasonal dip in 3Q earnings; Reiterate Sell – By JS Research
$PABC
Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans Limited
Rs. 105.00
-0.55%
- We expect PABC to report 13% YoY jump in EPS for 3QCY25 to Rs5.33, taking 9MCY25E EPS to Rs16.10 (+30% YoY). Increase in earnings is primarily led by recovery in domestic sales as well as exports ahead of upcoming regional expansions.
- We reiterate our Sell rating for PABC, premised on strong run-up in the stock price, expected decline in earnings from CY27E onwards owing to the normalization of taxes and weaker exports outlook from upcoming expansions in Central Asia. Our revised TP of Rs130, implies 14% downside in the stock price from current levels.
- With ~50% of PABC’s revenues contributed by exports to Afghanistan, the company’s sales and earnings remain exposed to the risk of cross-border tensions between the two countries.