The Hub Power Company Limited (HUBC): AGM Key Takeaways – By Foundation Research

Oct 15 2025


Foundation Securities


  • HUBC convened its Annual General Meeting (AGM) today to seek shareholders’ approval for routine business matters and to obtain consent for the proposed investment in Mega Motor Company (Pvt.) Ltd.
  • With the early expiry of the Base Plant’s PPA in Oct’24 (originally set to expire in Mar’27), HUBC is evaluating new business opportunities to strengthen its balance sheet and enhance cash flows. Potential areas include participating in PIA’s privatization, establishing a Single-Mooring oil facility with PSO, and developing an aluminum smelter in partnership with Chinese investors. Final decisions will depend on government policy and overall economic conditions.
Pakistan Markets: TEL and TNTPL achieve project completion; HUBC and FFC to be beneficiaries – By AKD Research

Nov 3 2025


AKD Securities


  • Hub Power Company (HUBC) has announced that lenders of Thar Energy Limited (TEL) and ThalNova Power Thar (TN) have formally declared Project Completion Date (PCD) for both 330MW Thar-based coal IPPs as of Oct 31, 2025. With PCD achieved, both projects are now eligible to commence dividend payouts, HUBC holds 60% in TEL and 38.3% in TN. Notably, TEL achieved COD in Oct'22, while TNTPL reached COD in Feb'23, compared to the targeted COD date of Mar'21 for both plants.
  • Notably, we have already incorporated gross dividend assumptions of ~PkR3.0/5.0 per share for both TEL and TNTPL in FY26/27E.
Hub Power Company Limited (HUBC): 1QFY26 EPS clocked in at PKR9.0 – By Insight Research

Oct 30 2025


Insight Securities


  • HUBC has announced its 1QFY26 results wherein the company has posted consolidated PAT of PKR11.6bn (EPS: PKR9.0) vs. PKR19.1bn (EPS: PKR14.7), down by 39% YoY. The result is inline with our expectations.
  • Revenue of the company decreased by 46% YoY, to clock in at PKR17.4bn in 1QFY26, due to termination of base plant and tariff renegotiation of NEL plant. While on QoQ basis, same is down by 7%.
  • Share of profit from associates increased by 4% YoY to clock in at PKR10.8bn.
The Hub Power Company Limited (HUBC): 1QFY26 Result Review – By Taurus Research

Oct 30 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Net sales declined 46%YoY to PKR 17.4Bn, mainly due to the absence of the base plant’s earnings and lower tariffs for NEL. On a QoQ basis, revenue fell 7%, reflecting lower plant utilization at Laraib.
  • Earnings from associates came around PKR 10.8Bn, up 4%YoY, primarily due to better profit contribution from CPHGC. However, sequentially, contribution from Mega Motors is also likely to have increased.
  • Finance costs declined 54%YoY to PKR 2.5Bn, driven by lower interest rates and debt repayments on loans previously taken for Chinese IPPs, which have eased borrowing pressures. The Company continues deleveraging its balance sheet, containing finance charges.
HUB Power Company Limited (HUBC): 1QCY26 EPS to arrive at PKR8.7 – By Insight Research

Oct 29 2025


Insight Securities


  • We expect HUB power company limited to post EPS of PKR8.7/sh in 1QFY26 vs. EPS of PKR14.7/sh in SPLY and PKR9.2/sh in preceding quarter, down by 41%/5% YoY/QoQ.
  • In1QFY26, power generation clocked in at 40,933 kwh in 1QFY26 vs. 40,546 kwh in 1QFY25, up by 1% YoY. The increase in power generation is attributable to low base effect, shift of captive power consumers to grid amid grid levy and reduction in power tariff.
The Hub Power Company Limited (HUBC): AGM Key Takeaways – By Foundation Research

Oct 15 2025


Foundation Securities


  • HUBC convened its Annual General Meeting (AGM) today to seek shareholders’ approval for routine business matters and to obtain consent for the proposed investment in Mega Motor Company (Pvt.) Ltd.
  • With the early expiry of the Base Plant’s PPA in Oct’24 (originally set to expire in Mar’27), HUBC is evaluating new business opportunities to strengthen its balance sheet and enhance cash flows. Potential areas include participating in PIA’s privatization, establishing a Single-Mooring oil facility with PSO, and developing an aluminum smelter in partnership with Chinese investors. Final decisions will depend on government policy and overall economic conditions.
The Hub Power Company (HUBC): Management Meeting Takeaways – By Topline Research

Oct 7 2025


Topline Securities


  • We had a management meeting with the senior management of HUBC CEO, Mr. Kamran Kamal and CFO, Mr. Muhammad Saqib on the recent financial results and outlook.
  • Regarding the recent power circular debt resolution, the company stated that they are not aware of any talks made on the waiver of the late payment surcharge. They further mentioned that any discussions on this matter will take place at the government-to-government (G2G) level, as these are CPEC-related plants, and the relevant forum for such discussions is the JCC.
  • Management stated that due to the government’s focus on this area and timely release of the planned subsidies, the Company’s recoveries have improved, particularly for its coal-fired power plants. This is one reason for reduction in the Company’s finance cost along with lower interest rate.
Waves Home Appliances Ltd. (WAVESAPP): CY24 and 9MCY25 Analyst Briefing takeaways – By AKD Research

Nov 5 2025


AKD Securities


  • To recall, company posted net revenue of PkR3.2bn in CY24 compared to PkR4.2bn in SPLY, down 24%YoY. In 9MCY25, topline clocked in at PkR2.8bn, vs. PkR2.5bn in SPLY, up 11%YoY, primarily driven by demand recovery.
  • Company reported earnings of PkR153mn (EPS: PkR0.57) during CY24, compared to PkR116mn (EPS: PkR0.43) in SPLY, up 32%YoY. During 9MCY25, earnings clocked in at PkR262mn (EPS: PkR0.98), compared to PkR68mn (EPS: PkR0.26) in SPLY, up 3.8xYoY. This increase was primarily driven by other income.
  • Appliance demand is steadily moving toward larger, more premium products, driving value-based topline growth even as overall volumes remain relatively stable.
Waves Corporation Limited (WAVES): CY24 and 9MCY25 Analyst Briefing takeaways – By AKD Research

Nov 5 2025


AKD Securities


  • To recall, company posted net revenue of PkR3.9bn in CY24 compared to PkR5.2bn in SPLY, down 24%YoY. In 9MCY25, topline clocked in at PkR3.5bn, vs. PkR3.1bn in SPLY, up 15%YoY, primarily driven by demand recovery.
  • Company reported earnings of PkR1.1bn (EPS: PkR3.9) during CY24, compared to PkR257mn (EPS: PkR0.91) in SPLY, up 4.2xYoY. During 9MCY25, earnings clocked in at PkR648mn (EPS: PkR2.30), compared to PkR282mn (EPS: PkR1.00) in SPLY, up 2.3xYoY. This increase was primarily driven by other income.
National Foods Limited (NATF): Strong footings at home, unlocking valuations for foreign investment; Buy – By JS Research

Nov 5 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We reinitiate coverage on one of Pakistan’s leading food products company, National Foods Ltd (NATF) with a Buy rating, arriving at a DCF-based Target Price (TP) of Rs485, implying a 28% upside.
  • With over 90% of NATF’s consol. earnings derived from its Pakistan operations, where it enjoys strong brand footing, we expect the company’s Standalone earnings to grow at a 5-yr. CAGR of 28%. while also contributing 76% to our TP.
  • Growing demand for convenience food ingredients in Pakistan with evolving demographics & distribution network, coupled with NATF’s effective brand positioning & pricing power is expected to result in a 5-yr. sales CAGR of 15%.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 expected to trade between key averages – By JS Research

Nov 5 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Bears dominated the session as KSE-100 index closed the session at 161,282 level, down 1,521 points. Volumes stood at 899mn shares versus 949mn shares traded previously. The index is likely to trade between the 50-DMA and the 30-DMA that stands at 159,823 and 163,604 levels, respectively. A break above or below is needed for a directional move. The RSI has moved down, while the Stochastic Oscillator is heading up, signaling no clear trading view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side and wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 160,499 and 162,725 levels, respectively.
Morning News: EV bike makers urge govt to revisit sales tax hike decision – By AHCML Research

Nov 5 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • Local electric vehicle and bike manufacturers, on Tuesday, expressed serious concerns over the recent increase in the sales tax on EV bikes from 1 percent to 18 percent, urging the government to review the decision.
  • The Ministry of Commerce has supported a proposal to establish a dedicated Minerals Division, similar to the Petroleum Division, for specialized oversight and efficient coordination between the federal and provincial governments through the Council of Common Interests (CCI)
Morning News: Gold Price Per Tola Sheds Rs3,500 In Pakistan – By WE Research

Nov 5 2025



  • Gold prices in Pakistan dropped by rs3,500 per tola, bringing the local rate to rs420,362. Similarly, 10-gram gold fell by rs3,001 to rs360,392. The decline followed a fall in international gold prices, which slipped by $35 per ounce to $3,980 (with a $20 premium). Silver prices also decreased by rs130 per tola to rs5,022.
  • Pakistan and Iran have agreed to strengthen agricultural trade, with Iran set to import 350,000 livestock from Pakistan. The move is part of broader bilateral cooperation in food security and trade. This agreement is expected to enhance Pakistan’s livestock exports and provide new opportunities for farmers and exporters.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Nov 4 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index experienced a volatile trading session today, climbing to an intraday high of 163,384.95 before settling at 161,281.76, down -1,521.39 points (-0.93%). Market sentiment remained cautious, with profit-taking weighing on performance as investors trimmed positions across key sectors, including Commercial Banks, Fertilizer, Oil & Gas Exploration and Cement. On the macro front, the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) Chairman ruled out the introduction of any contingency taxation measures despite a revenue shortfall of Rs 275 billion during the first four months (July–October) of FY26, signaling the government’s intent to maintain fiscal discipline. Top drags to index included ENGROH, MARI, BAHL, MCB, & TRG, which collectively pulled the benchmark down by -543.71 points. WTL led volumes with 78.87 million shares; overall market turnover was 899.41 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Profit-Taking Pulls Back the Bulls as Geopolitical Pressures Weigh on Sentiment – By HMFS Research

Nov 4 2025


HMFS Research


  • After a strong rally in the previous session, the KSE-100 Index witnessed a wave of profit-taking as investors opted to lock in gains, leading the benchmark to plunge 1,644 points during intraday trading. The momentum faltered amid a resurgence of geopolitical tensions, which dampened market sentiment and triggered cautious activity across key sectors. Adding to the pressure, October’s CPI inflation was reported at 6.2%, slightly denting investor confidence as concerns resurfaced over potential implications for monetary stability and consumption trends.
  • The KSE-100 Index ultimately closed at 161,282, down by 1,521 points from the previous session’s close. Trading activity remained moderate, reflecting a restrained investor stance, with 322mn shares traded on the KSE-100 Index and 898mn shares exchanged in the broader market. The day’s volume leaders included WTL (79mn), TELE (77mn), and KEL (72mn). Looking ahead, market direction is expected to remain contingent on the stability of border conditions and the evolving geopolitical landscape. However, optimism continues to brew around Pakistan’s “Blue Economy” initiative, a transformative long-term plan aimed at unlocking an estimated USD 100bn potential by 2047 through marine and coastal economic development. Should progress materialize on this front, it could serve as a catalyst for sustained market optimism in the coming months. That said, intermittent profit-taking phases remain a natural part of market cycles. Investors are advised to maintain a prudent approach, monitor evolving dynamics, and focus on fundamentally strong stocks offering long-term growth potential.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a negative note – By IIS Research

Nov 4 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • The benchmark index closed on a negative note, as selling pressure persisted, with the index remaining volatile throughout the session. Trading volumes decreased to 322mn shares today as compared to 353mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index lost 1,521 points to close at 161,282 level, down by -0.93% DoD. Commercial Banks, Oil & Gas Exploration Companies, and Cement sectors were the major laggards in today's session, cumulatively shedding 1164 points from the index.
Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100 closes at 161,282 down 1,521 points – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Nov 4 2025


Alpha Capital


  • The equity market started off positively but was unable to keep up the momentum. The KSE-100 Index reached an intraday high of 163,385 and a low of 161,159, before settling at 161,282 — a drop of 1,521 points. Market participation remained muted, with total trade volumes of 318.7 million shares and a traded value of around PKR 25 billion.
  • Key drag-factors in the decline included MARI (-2.3%, -147 points), MCB (-2.3%, -128 points), BAHL (-2.2%, -123 points), LUCK (-1.6%, -122 points) and HBL (-1.7%, -110 points). On the activity side, KEL and BOP led the volume charts, trading 70.6 million and 39 million shares respectively.
MARI Energies Limited (MARI): 1QFY26 EPS fell to PKR 13.0/sh down 19% YoY – By Foundation Research

Oct 30 2025


Foundation Securities


  • MARI Energies Limited (MARI) profitability clocked-in at PKR 15.6Bn, EPS of PKR 13.0/sh, (down 19/17% YoY/QoQ) in 1QFY26 as compared to profit of PKR 19.2Bn, EPS of PKR 16.0/sh in 1QFY25. The company skipped an interim dividend. The results are in line with our estimates.
  • Net sales of PKR 45.4Bn were recorded in 1QFY26, flat YoY/up 2% QoQ. The company booked a total royalty charge of PKR 11.3Bn, up 2.0x/8% YoY/QoQ. Surge in royalty charges is on the back of incremental well head expense. Opex remained under control and increased by a mere 4% YoY.
Lotte Chemicals Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 3QCY25 EPS clocked-in at Rs0.06, down 81% YoY – By Foundation Research

Oct 29 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM) released its 3QCY25 financial result with EPS of Rs0.06/sh, down/up 81/18% YoY/QoQ, compared to profit of Rs0.33/sh in 3QCY24. This cumulates to 9MCY25 earnings of Rs0.55/sh, down 69% YoY.
  • Decline in 3QCY25 profitability is attributable to (1) 23 day plant maintenance shutdown due to technical reasons and (2) lower PTA-PX margin.
  • Gross margins declined 1.4ppts YoY to only 2.8% during 3Q attributable to lower PTA-PX margin.
Fauji Fertilizer Company (FFC): 9MCY25 Analyst Briefing Key Takeaways – By Foundation Research

Oct 29 2025


Foundation Securities


  • To recall, Fauji Fertilizer Company Limited (FFC PA) profitability clocked-in at PKR 19.2Bn (EPS: PKR 13.5, down 22/24% YoY/QoQ) in 3QCY25 against profit of PKR 24.5Bn (EPS: PKR 17.2/sh) in 3QCY24. PAT clocked in at PKR 57.6Bn (EPS PKR 40.5, up 14% YoY) in 9MCY25 against profit of PKR 50.6Bn in 9MCY24 (EPS: PKR 35.5). The result was accompanied by an interim cash payout of PKR 9.5/sh in 3QCY25, taking 9M payout to PKR 28.5/sh.
  • Out of FFC’s robust PKR 34.4Bn other income in 9M, PKR 20.9Bn comes from dividend income, which is a record.
  • On the matter regarding Shariah-compliant status of the company, FFC is working aggressively towards the goal having shifted significantly to Islamic investments and looking to achieve compliant status in the near future.
Attock Petroleum Limited (APL PA): 1QFY26 EPS clocked-in at Rs 30.63, up 60% YoY – By Foundation Research

Oct 28 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Attock Petroleum Limited (APL PA) profitability during 1QFY26 clocked-in at Rs3.8bn (EPS Rs30.63), up 60/41% YoY/QoQ, compared to Rs2.4bn (EPS Rs19.17) in 1QFY25.
  • Profitability jumped 60% YoY during 1QFY26 on the back of (1) higher MS/HSD volumes and (2) inventory gains. Sequentially, profitability increased by 41%.
  • Company's MS/HSD volumes increased 3/6% YoY in 1Q amid pick up in economic activity.
Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL): 3QCY25 profitability is reported at PKR 11.7/sh, DPS PKR 7.0 – By Foundation Research

Oct 24 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL) announced its 3QCY25 results today reporting earnings of PKR 21.1Bn (EPS: PKR11.7), ↓18/13% YoY/QoQ respectively. The result is slightly below our expectations due to higher than estimated operating expenses. Along with the result, the bank announced an interim cash dividend of PKR 7.0/sh taking 9M pay-out to PKR 21.0/sh.
  • Topline of the bank shrank 19% YoY in the outgoing quarter, however, on a sequential basis the decrease was limited to 2%. The decline has primarily been triggered by the upwards revision in savings rates on certain deposits that has resulted in increased deposit costs. However, the management’s move to trim saving deposits and replace them with current accounts alongside healthy balance sheet growth has limited top line attrition. As for 9M, the reduction was noted at 12% YoY.
Bank Alfalah Limited (BAFL): 3QCY25 EPS clocks-in at PKR 3.9, DPS PKR 2.5 – By Foundation Research

Oct 23 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Bank Alfalah Limited (BAFL) announced its 3QCY25 results today reporting earnings of PKR 6.2Bn (EPS: PKR 3.9), ↓53/25% YoY/QoQ respectively. The result is lower than our expectations because of higher admin expenses primarily marketing. The bank also announced an interim dividend of PKR 2.5/sh. This takes 9MCY25 earnings to PKR 13.6/sh (↓36.3% YoY) and pay-out to PKR 7.5/sh.
  • Net Interest Income (NII) recorded a mild increase of 1% YoY in 3Q. As for 9MCY25, the increase was noted at 6.7%. Despite the sharp decline in interest rates over the past year, NII has delivered growth on the back of a more than 50% YoY decline in deposit costs, strong yield on advances and reduced borrowing costs.
  • Admin expenses for 3Q increased by a significant 49% YoY. As for 9M, admin expenses have recorded a 47% YoY jump. Primary reasons for the hefty YoY increase were greater compensation expenses (up 29% YoY) and marketing expenses (up 338% YoY). ETR for the quarter was recorded at 53.9% (9MCY25: 54.7%) in line with the rate applicable for banks post the continuation of 10% Super tax.
Pakistan Economy: Marginal growth recorded in Aug’25 – By Foundation Research

Oct 23 2025


Foundation Securities


  • LSM output posted a modest recovery of 0.5% YoY (down 2.7% MoM) during Aug’25 supported by the rise in automobile production (up 130.7% YoY) given low base effect. Cumulatively, output enhanced by 4.4% YoY in 2MFY26 given robust demand amid improving macroeconomic environment.
  • The automobile sector performed well during Aug’25, up 130.7% YoY, with significant increase in the production of cars/jeeps by 184.1/75.8% YoY followed by L.C.V’s/trucks/buses by 97.1/137.5/5.8% YoY. Whereas, Motorcycle output rose 41.3% YoY. We expect auto volumes to remain upbeat going forward owing to attractive auto financing schemes, increasing product roll-outs, and revival of domestic demand amid receding interest rates. However, higher taxes and lower tariffs implemented in Budget FY26 would be a drag on growth.
The Hub Power Company Limited (HUBC): AGM Key Takeaways – By Foundation Research

Oct 15 2025


Foundation Securities


  • HUBC convened its Annual General Meeting (AGM) today to seek shareholders’ approval for routine business matters and to obtain consent for the proposed investment in Mega Motor Company (Pvt.) Ltd.
  • With the early expiry of the Base Plant’s PPA in Oct’24 (originally set to expire in Mar’27), HUBC is evaluating new business opportunities to strengthen its balance sheet and enhance cash flows. Potential areas include participating in PIA’s privatization, establishing a Single-Mooring oil facility with PSO, and developing an aluminum smelter in partnership with Chinese investors. Final decisions will depend on government policy and overall economic conditions.
Pakistan Automobiles: YoY recovery continues despite sequential slowdown amid floods – By Foundation Research

Oct 13 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Automobile sales increased 67% YoY (22% MoM) to 17.2K units on the back of strong showing in 800cc segment in Sep’25. In 1QFY26, sales went up 53% YoY to 42.3K units. Segment-wise analysis reveals that sales of 800cc/1300cc/1000cc/jeeps spiked 50/64/80/61% YoY in Sep’25. Player-wise breakdown exhibited that INDU/SAZEW/HCAR sales rose 33/73/82% YoY in Sep’25.
  • INDU maintains strong YoY momentum despite sequential dip: During Sep’25 INDU sales reached 3,152 units, up 33% YoY (↓ 7% MoM) in Sep’25. The YoY surge is driven by a jump in Corolla+Cross+Yaris to 2,655 units, up 41/4% YoY/MoM, which is primarily owed to Yaris sales, in our opinion. Additionally, Fortuner+Hilux sales climbed 3% YoY (↓ 41% MoM) to 497 which, in our view, the unappealing demand was mainly due to flood related disruptions and reduced urban demand. On a quarterly basis, INDU sales increased by a hefty 61% YoY to 9.9K units against 6.2K units in 1QFY25.
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