Morning News: Pakistan, IMF mull raising tax rates on solar panels, internet – By Vector Research

Oct 17 2025


Vector Securities


  • Following the rejection of proposals to increase tax rates on fertilizer and pesticides, Pakistan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) are considering alternative options — raising taxes on rooftop solar panels, internet services and other sectors — as contingency measures in case of a revenue shortfall. These identified contingency measures are expected to be part of the IMF’s second review report, to be released after the approval of a $1 billion tranche under the $7 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF). The measures would only be triggered under two conditions: if the revenue shortfall for the first half (July-December) of the fiscal year exceeds projections, and if the Finance Ministry is unable to reduce its expenditures. (The News)
  • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has forecast a gradual improvement in Pakistan’s fiscal indicators over the next five years, including a lower fiscal deficit and a reduced debt-to-GDP ratio. However, it has also warned of persistent revenue shortfalls and rising pension and health expenditures. (Dawn)
Waves Home Appliances Ltd. (WAVESAPP): CY24 and 9MCY25 Analyst Briefing takeaways – By AKD Research

Nov 5 2025


AKD Securities


  • To recall, company posted net revenue of PkR3.2bn in CY24 compared to PkR4.2bn in SPLY, down 24%YoY. In 9MCY25, topline clocked in at PkR2.8bn, vs. PkR2.5bn in SPLY, up 11%YoY, primarily driven by demand recovery.
  • Company reported earnings of PkR153mn (EPS: PkR0.57) during CY24, compared to PkR116mn (EPS: PkR0.43) in SPLY, up 32%YoY. During 9MCY25, earnings clocked in at PkR262mn (EPS: PkR0.98), compared to PkR68mn (EPS: PkR0.26) in SPLY, up 3.8xYoY. This increase was primarily driven by other income.
  • Appliance demand is steadily moving toward larger, more premium products, driving value-based topline growth even as overall volumes remain relatively stable.
Waves Corporation Limited (WAVES): CY24 and 9MCY25 Analyst Briefing takeaways – By AKD Research

Nov 5 2025


AKD Securities


  • To recall, company posted net revenue of PkR3.9bn in CY24 compared to PkR5.2bn in SPLY, down 24%YoY. In 9MCY25, topline clocked in at PkR3.5bn, vs. PkR3.1bn in SPLY, up 15%YoY, primarily driven by demand recovery.
  • Company reported earnings of PkR1.1bn (EPS: PkR3.9) during CY24, compared to PkR257mn (EPS: PkR0.91) in SPLY, up 4.2xYoY. During 9MCY25, earnings clocked in at PkR648mn (EPS: PkR2.30), compared to PkR282mn (EPS: PkR1.00) in SPLY, up 2.3xYoY. This increase was primarily driven by other income.
National Foods Limited (NATF): Strong footings at home, unlocking valuations for foreign investment; Buy – By JS Research

Nov 5 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We reinitiate coverage on one of Pakistan’s leading food products company, National Foods Ltd (NATF) with a Buy rating, arriving at a DCF-based Target Price (TP) of Rs485, implying a 28% upside.
  • With over 90% of NATF’s consol. earnings derived from its Pakistan operations, where it enjoys strong brand footing, we expect the company’s Standalone earnings to grow at a 5-yr. CAGR of 28%. while also contributing 76% to our TP.
  • Growing demand for convenience food ingredients in Pakistan with evolving demographics & distribution network, coupled with NATF’s effective brand positioning & pricing power is expected to result in a 5-yr. sales CAGR of 15%.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 expected to trade between key averages – By JS Research

Nov 5 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Bears dominated the session as KSE-100 index closed the session at 161,282 level, down 1,521 points. Volumes stood at 899mn shares versus 949mn shares traded previously. The index is likely to trade between the 50-DMA and the 30-DMA that stands at 159,823 and 163,604 levels, respectively. A break above or below is needed for a directional move. The RSI has moved down, while the Stochastic Oscillator is heading up, signaling no clear trading view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side and wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 160,499 and 162,725 levels, respectively.
Morning News: EV bike makers urge govt to revisit sales tax hike decision – By AHCML Research

Nov 5 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • Local electric vehicle and bike manufacturers, on Tuesday, expressed serious concerns over the recent increase in the sales tax on EV bikes from 1 percent to 18 percent, urging the government to review the decision.
  • The Ministry of Commerce has supported a proposal to establish a dedicated Minerals Division, similar to the Petroleum Division, for specialized oversight and efficient coordination between the federal and provincial governments through the Council of Common Interests (CCI)
Morning News: Gold Price Per Tola Sheds Rs3,500 In Pakistan – By WE Research

Nov 5 2025



  • Gold prices in Pakistan dropped by rs3,500 per tola, bringing the local rate to rs420,362. Similarly, 10-gram gold fell by rs3,001 to rs360,392. The decline followed a fall in international gold prices, which slipped by $35 per ounce to $3,980 (with a $20 premium). Silver prices also decreased by rs130 per tola to rs5,022.
  • Pakistan and Iran have agreed to strengthen agricultural trade, with Iran set to import 350,000 livestock from Pakistan. The move is part of broader bilateral cooperation in food security and trade. This agreement is expected to enhance Pakistan’s livestock exports and provide new opportunities for farmers and exporters.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Nov 4 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index experienced a volatile trading session today, climbing to an intraday high of 163,384.95 before settling at 161,281.76, down -1,521.39 points (-0.93%). Market sentiment remained cautious, with profit-taking weighing on performance as investors trimmed positions across key sectors, including Commercial Banks, Fertilizer, Oil & Gas Exploration and Cement. On the macro front, the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) Chairman ruled out the introduction of any contingency taxation measures despite a revenue shortfall of Rs 275 billion during the first four months (July–October) of FY26, signaling the government’s intent to maintain fiscal discipline. Top drags to index included ENGROH, MARI, BAHL, MCB, & TRG, which collectively pulled the benchmark down by -543.71 points. WTL led volumes with 78.87 million shares; overall market turnover was 899.41 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Profit-Taking Pulls Back the Bulls as Geopolitical Pressures Weigh on Sentiment – By HMFS Research

Nov 4 2025


HMFS Research


  • After a strong rally in the previous session, the KSE-100 Index witnessed a wave of profit-taking as investors opted to lock in gains, leading the benchmark to plunge 1,644 points during intraday trading. The momentum faltered amid a resurgence of geopolitical tensions, which dampened market sentiment and triggered cautious activity across key sectors. Adding to the pressure, October’s CPI inflation was reported at 6.2%, slightly denting investor confidence as concerns resurfaced over potential implications for monetary stability and consumption trends.
  • The KSE-100 Index ultimately closed at 161,282, down by 1,521 points from the previous session’s close. Trading activity remained moderate, reflecting a restrained investor stance, with 322mn shares traded on the KSE-100 Index and 898mn shares exchanged in the broader market. The day’s volume leaders included WTL (79mn), TELE (77mn), and KEL (72mn). Looking ahead, market direction is expected to remain contingent on the stability of border conditions and the evolving geopolitical landscape. However, optimism continues to brew around Pakistan’s “Blue Economy” initiative, a transformative long-term plan aimed at unlocking an estimated USD 100bn potential by 2047 through marine and coastal economic development. Should progress materialize on this front, it could serve as a catalyst for sustained market optimism in the coming months. That said, intermittent profit-taking phases remain a natural part of market cycles. Investors are advised to maintain a prudent approach, monitor evolving dynamics, and focus on fundamentally strong stocks offering long-term growth potential.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a negative note – By IIS Research

Nov 4 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • The benchmark index closed on a negative note, as selling pressure persisted, with the index remaining volatile throughout the session. Trading volumes decreased to 322mn shares today as compared to 353mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index lost 1,521 points to close at 161,282 level, down by -0.93% DoD. Commercial Banks, Oil & Gas Exploration Companies, and Cement sectors were the major laggards in today's session, cumulatively shedding 1164 points from the index.
Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100 closes at 161,282 down 1,521 points – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Nov 4 2025


Alpha Capital


  • The equity market started off positively but was unable to keep up the momentum. The KSE-100 Index reached an intraday high of 163,385 and a low of 161,159, before settling at 161,282 — a drop of 1,521 points. Market participation remained muted, with total trade volumes of 318.7 million shares and a traded value of around PKR 25 billion.
  • Key drag-factors in the decline included MARI (-2.3%, -147 points), MCB (-2.3%, -128 points), BAHL (-2.2%, -123 points), LUCK (-1.6%, -122 points) and HBL (-1.7%, -110 points). On the activity side, KEL and BOP led the volume charts, trading 70.6 million and 39 million shares respectively.
Morning News: $636b worth of gold reserves found in Tarbela – By Vector Research

Nov 4 2025


Vector Securities


  • Gold reserves worth $636 billion have been discovered at Tarbela and a briefing on these reserves has been given to the chief of army staff, who responded positively. This revelation was made by Hanif Gohar, Chairman of Air Karachi. He said that the gold reserves found in Tarbela were sufficient to pay off the country's foreign debt and the matter had already been brought to the attention of the Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC) and the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) governor. (ET)
  • Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) Chairman Rashid Mahmood Langrial has ruled out any contingency plan in terms of implementing new taxation measures despite a revenue shortfall of Rs 275 billion during the July-October (2025-26) period. FBR’s shortfall in tax collection stood at Rs 275 billion during the first four months of 2025-26, but noted that no emergency tax measures would be required this year. (BR)
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Note – By Vector Research

Nov 3 2025


Vector Securities


  • Evening Note.
Morning News: World Bank asks Pakistan to overhaul skewed trade pacts – By Vector Research

Nov 3 2025


Vector Securities


  • The World Bank has asked Pakistan to improve its skewed preferential trade agreements with 10 bilateral partners, ensure a market-determined and flexible exchange rate and push deeper reforms to lower energy and other input costs to turbocharge over three decades of declining exports for sustainable economic growth. (Dawn)
  • The Economic Affairs Division (EAD) has acknowledged that there is no transparent mechanism in place to ensure that loans obtained from the IMF are actually utilised for budgetary support or for maintaining the balance of payments. (BR)
Morning News: IMF condition: Tax Policy Office activated – By Vector Research

Oct 27 2025


Vector Securities


  • The federal government has implemented another condition of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) by amending the powers of the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR). Under the new arrangement, the FBR will now only be responsible for tax collection, while tax policy formulation will no longer fall under its jurisdiction. According to sources, the government has activated the Tax Policy Office within the Ministry of Finance. Following this change, the FBR will serve solely as a tax collection agency, whereas the newly established office will handle all matters related to tax policy formulation. (ET)
  • Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif is leading a high-level delegation to Riyadh — from Monday (today) till Wednesday (29th Oct) — to participate in the Ninth Edition of the Future Investment Initiative (FII9). “During his stay, the PM will engage with the Saudi leadership to explore avenues for enhanced cooperation in the trade, investment, energy, and human resource sectors. The discussions will also cover regional and global issues of mutual interest and concern,” the statement added. The FII9 will convene global leaders, investors, policymakers, and innovators, the press release said. (BR)
Morning News: Pakistan, IMF mull raising tax rates on solar panels, internet – By Vector Research

Oct 17 2025


Vector Securities


  • Following the rejection of proposals to increase tax rates on fertilizer and pesticides, Pakistan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) are considering alternative options — raising taxes on rooftop solar panels, internet services and other sectors — as contingency measures in case of a revenue shortfall. These identified contingency measures are expected to be part of the IMF’s second review report, to be released after the approval of a $1 billion tranche under the $7 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF). The measures would only be triggered under two conditions: if the revenue shortfall for the first half (July-December) of the fiscal year exceeds projections, and if the Finance Ministry is unable to reduce its expenditures. (The News)
  • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has forecast a gradual improvement in Pakistan’s fiscal indicators over the next five years, including a lower fiscal deficit and a reduced debt-to-GDP ratio. However, it has also warned of persistent revenue shortfalls and rising pension and health expenditures. (Dawn)
Morning News: IMF projects 3.6pc growth vs 4.2pc govt target – By Vector Research

Oct 15 2025


Vector Securities


  • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected Pakistan’s GDP growth rate at 3.6 percent during the 2025-26 fiscal year against the government target of 4.2 percent. The Fund, however, clarified that its projections do not yet reflect the impact of the 2025 monsoon floods, as the impact of the disaster has yet to be assessed. (BR)
  • Without accounting for the yet-to-be-finalised losses from the recent floods, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Tuesday estimated Pakistan’s economic growth rate at 3.6 per cent for the current fiscal year, along with higher inflation and widening current account deficit. The Fund’s growth projection — following its recent two-week review of Pakistan’s economy — is notably higher than the 2.6pc GDP growth and 7.2pc inflation projected by the World Bank earlier this month, which were based on its own estimates of flood-related damages. (Dawn)
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Note – By Vector Research

Oct 14 2025


Vector Securities


  • Evening note.
Morning News: Details of IMF programmes reviewed – By Vector Research

Oct 14 2025


Vector Securities


  • An official of the Debt Management Office said Pakistan’s external debt and liabilities have reached USD 92.2 billion till August 31, 2025. The official said that the medium and long term loans share in the external debt amounts to USD 89.1 billion in the external portfolio. The share of multilateral loans in the external debt is USD 42.58 billion and bilateral debt USD 21.82 billion. (BR)
  • Federal Minister for Finance and Revenue Senator Muhammad Aurangzeb on Monday urged American investors to explore Pakistan’s energy, mineral, agriculture, and IT markets, reaffirming commitment to favourable US-Pakistan tariff arrangements. (The News)