Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Surges amidst good volumes – By AKD Research

Oct 22 2025


AKD Securities


  • The Index started the session on a strong bullish trajectory and maintained its upward momentum throughout the day. It reached an intra day high of 2,171 points before settling with notable gains of 1,104 points at 167,347. Market activity improved significantly, with trading volumes increasing by 43% compared to the previous session. Over the last 50 trading sessions, the index has recorded 22 positive and 28 negative closings, resulting in a net of 6 negative closings. KSE100 opened with an upside gap on normal volume, suggesting the potential formation of a Runaway Gap, typically indicating trend continuation. Price movement during the session remained limited, as reflected by the narrow difference between opening and closing levels. The daily Parabolic SAR (Stop & Reverse) indicator currently appears below the index, reinforcing the ongoing bullish sentiment.
  • From a technical standpoint, immediate support lies at 167,000, and a breakdown below this level could trigger further weakness towards 166,400 and 165,500. On the upside, resistance is expected around 167,800, followed by 168,500 and 168,900. Traders are advised to trade with a cautious approach and accumulate positions on weakness.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Persistent Profit-Taking Deepens Market Slide Amid Geopolitical Concerns – By HMFS Research

Nov 5 2025


HMFS Research


  • Following a sharp correction in the previous session, the KSE-100 Index extended its decline as persistent profit-taking and escalating geopolitical tensions continued to weigh on investor sentiment. The benchmark index plunged by 2,000 points intraday as investors remained cautious. Sustained selling pressure kept market momentum subdued, particularly across cyclical sectors, as participants awaited clarity on both geopolitical and macroeconomic fronts. The KSE-100 Index ultimately closed at 159,578, down by 1,704 points from the previous session’s close.
  • Trading activity remained moderate, mirroring the restrained tone of the previous day, with 333mn shares traded on the KSE-100 Index and 859mn shares exchanged in the broader market. Looking ahead, market direction is expected to remain sensitive to developments along the borders and evolving geopolitical narratives. However, optimism persists over Pakistan’s “Blue Economy” initiative, which continues to attract long-term investor interest with its projected USD 100bn potential by 2047. While intermittent bouts of profit-taking are likely to continue as part of normal market cycles, investors are advised to adopt a cautious approach, focusing on fundamentally robust stocks capable of withstanding short-term volatility.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Nov 5 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index experienced another volatile trading session today, climbing to an intraday high of 162,052.45 before settling at 159,578.19, down -1,703.58 points (-1.06%). Market sentiment remained cautious, with profit-taking weighing on performance as investors trimmed positions across key sectors, including commercial banks, oil and gas exploration companies, OMCs, power generation and refinery.
  • In sectoral developments, Finance Minister stated on Wednesday that the government is moving toward deregulating the sugar and wheat sectors while addressing members of the Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry, highlighting efforts to promote efficiency and market-driven mechanisms within the commodity space. Top drags to index included FFC, ENGROH, LUCK, MEBL, & SYS, which collectively pulled the benchmark down by -902.58 points. KEL led volumes with 100.03 million shares; overall market turnover was 860.26 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a negative note – By IIS Research

Nov 5 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • The benchmark index closed on a negative note, remaining volatile and shedding points amid lingering skepticism over geopolitical developments. Trading volumes increased to 333mn shares today as compared to 322mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index lost 1,704 points to close at 159,578 level, down by -1.06% DoD. Commercial Banks, Fertilizer, and Cement sectors were the major laggards in today's session, cumulatively shedding 1176 points from the index.
Waves Home Appliances Limited (WAVESAPP): 9MCY25 & CY24 Corporate Briefing Takeaways – By Taurus Research

Nov 5 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Waves Home Appliances Limited (WAVESAPP) is a subsidiary of Waves Corporation Limited (WAVES). The principal activity of the business is manufacturing domestic consumer appliances. WAVESAPP produces deep freezers, coolers, refrigerators, air conditioners, washing machines, microwaves, water dispensers and heaters, geysers, and cooking ranges.
  • The Management noted that they will be relaunching certain discontinued products such as air conditioners in the coming year. They also noted that WAVES is still the market leader in the deep freezers segment.
Waves Corporation Limited (WAVES): 9MCY25 & CY24 Corporate Briefing Takeaways – By Taurus Research

Nov 5 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Waves Corporation Limited (WAVES) is the parent company of Waves Home Appliances Limited (WAVESAPP), Waves Marketplace Limited (WMPL), and Waves Builders & Developers Private Limited (WBDL), of which it has stakes of 50%, 100%, and 100%, respectively. WAVES went through corporate restructuring in FY22 which separated WAVESAPP, i.e. the home appliances business, from WAVES which fully retained the retail and real estate businesses.
  • As part of this restructuring, WAVESAPP issued a total of 256Mn shares of which 199Mn were allotted to WAVES, while the remaining 56Mn were allotted to shareholders of WAVES in the ratio of 20 WAVESAPP shares for every 100 WAVES shares held. Further, PKR 2Bn in cash were payable to WAVES by WAVESAPP with in two years of the restructuring.
Waves Home Appliances Ltd. (WAVESAPP): CY24 and 9MCY25 Analyst Briefing takeaways – By AKD Research

Nov 5 2025


AKD Securities


  • To recall, company posted net revenue of PkR3.2bn in CY24 compared to PkR4.2bn in SPLY, down 24%YoY. In 9MCY25, topline clocked in at PkR2.8bn, vs. PkR2.5bn in SPLY, up 11%YoY, primarily driven by demand recovery.
  • Company reported earnings of PkR153mn (EPS: PkR0.57) during CY24, compared to PkR116mn (EPS: PkR0.43) in SPLY, up 32%YoY. During 9MCY25, earnings clocked in at PkR262mn (EPS: PkR0.98), compared to PkR68mn (EPS: PkR0.26) in SPLY, up 3.8xYoY. This increase was primarily driven by other income.
  • Appliance demand is steadily moving toward larger, more premium products, driving value-based topline growth even as overall volumes remain relatively stable.
Waves Corporation Limited (WAVES): CY24 and 9MCY25 Analyst Briefing takeaways – By AKD Research

Nov 5 2025


AKD Securities


  • To recall, company posted net revenue of PkR3.9bn in CY24 compared to PkR5.2bn in SPLY, down 24%YoY. In 9MCY25, topline clocked in at PkR3.5bn, vs. PkR3.1bn in SPLY, up 15%YoY, primarily driven by demand recovery.
  • Company reported earnings of PkR1.1bn (EPS: PkR3.9) during CY24, compared to PkR257mn (EPS: PkR0.91) in SPLY, up 4.2xYoY. During 9MCY25, earnings clocked in at PkR648mn (EPS: PkR2.30), compared to PkR282mn (EPS: PkR1.00) in SPLY, up 2.3xYoY. This increase was primarily driven by other income.
National Foods Limited (NATF): Strong footings at home, unlocking valuations for foreign investment; Buy – By JS Research

Nov 5 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We reinitiate coverage on one of Pakistan’s leading food products company, National Foods Ltd (NATF) with a Buy rating, arriving at a DCF-based Target Price (TP) of Rs485, implying a 28% upside.
  • With over 90% of NATF’s consol. earnings derived from its Pakistan operations, where it enjoys strong brand footing, we expect the company’s Standalone earnings to grow at a 5-yr. CAGR of 28%. while also contributing 76% to our TP.
  • Growing demand for convenience food ingredients in Pakistan with evolving demographics & distribution network, coupled with NATF’s effective brand positioning & pricing power is expected to result in a 5-yr. sales CAGR of 15%.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 expected to trade between key averages – By JS Research

Nov 5 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Bears dominated the session as KSE-100 index closed the session at 161,282 level, down 1,521 points. Volumes stood at 899mn shares versus 949mn shares traded previously. The index is likely to trade between the 50-DMA and the 30-DMA that stands at 159,823 and 163,604 levels, respectively. A break above or below is needed for a directional move. The RSI has moved down, while the Stochastic Oscillator is heading up, signaling no clear trading view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side and wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 160,499 and 162,725 levels, respectively.
Morning News: EV bike makers urge govt to revisit sales tax hike decision – By AHCML Research

Nov 5 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • Local electric vehicle and bike manufacturers, on Tuesday, expressed serious concerns over the recent increase in the sales tax on EV bikes from 1 percent to 18 percent, urging the government to review the decision.
  • The Ministry of Commerce has supported a proposal to establish a dedicated Minerals Division, similar to the Petroleum Division, for specialized oversight and efficient coordination between the federal and provincial governments through the Council of Common Interests (CCI)
Waves Home Appliances Ltd. (WAVESAPP): CY24 and 9MCY25 Analyst Briefing takeaways – By AKD Research

Nov 5 2025


AKD Securities


  • To recall, company posted net revenue of PkR3.2bn in CY24 compared to PkR4.2bn in SPLY, down 24%YoY. In 9MCY25, topline clocked in at PkR2.8bn, vs. PkR2.5bn in SPLY, up 11%YoY, primarily driven by demand recovery.
  • Company reported earnings of PkR153mn (EPS: PkR0.57) during CY24, compared to PkR116mn (EPS: PkR0.43) in SPLY, up 32%YoY. During 9MCY25, earnings clocked in at PkR262mn (EPS: PkR0.98), compared to PkR68mn (EPS: PkR0.26) in SPLY, up 3.8xYoY. This increase was primarily driven by other income.
  • Appliance demand is steadily moving toward larger, more premium products, driving value-based topline growth even as overall volumes remain relatively stable.
Waves Corporation Limited (WAVES): CY24 and 9MCY25 Analyst Briefing takeaways – By AKD Research

Nov 5 2025


AKD Securities


  • To recall, company posted net revenue of PkR3.9bn in CY24 compared to PkR5.2bn in SPLY, down 24%YoY. In 9MCY25, topline clocked in at PkR3.5bn, vs. PkR3.1bn in SPLY, up 15%YoY, primarily driven by demand recovery.
  • Company reported earnings of PkR1.1bn (EPS: PkR3.9) during CY24, compared to PkR257mn (EPS: PkR0.91) in SPLY, up 4.2xYoY. During 9MCY25, earnings clocked in at PkR648mn (EPS: PkR2.30), compared to PkR282mn (EPS: PkR1.00) in SPLY, up 2.3xYoY. This increase was primarily driven by other income.
Pakistan Automobiles: INDU to keep the throne in the auto arena – By AKD Research

Nov 4 2025


AKD Securities


  • INDU’s continues to benefit from strong volumetric growth, diversified product portfolio, extensive dealership network, higher localization, strong brand equity, high presence in rural areas, and superior cash-conversion cycle. Moreover, higher localization would shield against currency devaluation and provide edge over new entrants. We reiterate our ‘Buy’ stance on INDU, with Jun’26 target price of PkR3,681/sh with forward dividend yield of 9.3%, led by sustained earnings, higher-than-anticipated volumetric and margins.
  • Accelerating beyond industry growth: We anticipate sustained volumetric growth primarily supported by i) rising income of farmers (with 50% of sales coming from rural areas), ii) strong brand equity, iii) the company’s extensive dealership network, being the largest in the country with 57 3S dealerships, and iv) strong parent book to be leveraged in case of absence of customer advances. Underpinned by the company’s recent performance, where INDU recorded a 61%YoY rise in volumes during FY25, significantly outperforming the industry’s 43%YoY growth in Passenger cars and LCVs, even amid the entry of multiple new competitors into the market. Against this backdrop, we project volumes to grow at an annual rate of 14% through FY28, reaching 49k units. Subsequently, we expect the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 15.3%, up to FY28. Where, we forecast overall market to expand to 222k units by FY28, driven by i) moderation in prices, ii) increasing model availability, iii) improving per capita income, and iv) lowest per-capita vehicle penetration in the region.
Pakistan Markets: TEL and TNTPL achieve project completion; HUBC and FFC to be beneficiaries – By AKD Research

Nov 3 2025


AKD Securities


  • Hub Power Company (HUBC) has announced that lenders of Thar Energy Limited (TEL) and ThalNova Power Thar (TN) have formally declared Project Completion Date (PCD) for both 330MW Thar-based coal IPPs as of Oct 31, 2025. With PCD achieved, both projects are now eligible to commence dividend payouts, HUBC holds 60% in TEL and 38.3% in TN. Notably, TEL achieved COD in Oct'22, while TNTPL reached COD in Feb'23, compared to the targeted COD date of Mar'21 for both plants.
  • Notably, we have already incorporated gross dividend assumptions of ~PkR3.0/5.0 per share for both TEL and TNTPL in FY26/27E.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Rebounds amidst good volumes – By AKD Research

Nov 3 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index opened on a positive note and maintained strong bullish momentum throughout the session. It hit an intraday high of 5,461 points before ending with a substantial gain of 4,899 points at 161,632. Market activity improved modestly, with trading volumes rising by 8% compared to the previous session. A large bullish candle formed on the chart, indicating strong upward sentiment as the index closed significantly above its opening level reinforcing the strength of underlying support. Over the last 10 trading sessions, the index has recorded 3 positive and 7 negative closings, resulting in a net of 4 negative sessions.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 161,100 and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 160,700 and 159,700. Conversely, resistance is expected around 161,800, followed by 162,500 and 163,100. It is recommended to accumulate positions near support zone with risk defined closing below it.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Pullback inside the band is likely – By AKD Research

Oct 31 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index started the session on a positive note but quickly turned volatile, encountering persistent selling pressure throughout the day. It recorded an intraday high of 1,042 points and a low of 2,137 points before closing sharply lower by 1,732 points at 156,733. Market participation eased slightly, with trading volumes falling by 3% from the prior session. KSE100 settled below the lower Bollinger Band by 6.0%. This, coupled with the ongoing downtrend, indicates that bearish momentum may persist, though a short-term rebound toward the bands cannot be ruled out. Bollinger Bands are currently 17.99% wider than usual, signaling heightened volatility compared to the average of the past 10 sessions. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) stands at 37.72, suggesting weakening momentum.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 156,600 and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 155,900 and 155,400. Conversely, resistance is expected around 158,500, followed by 159,100 and 159,800. A cautious trading approach is advised, with opportunities to accumulate on dips.
Fatima Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FATIMA): 3QCY25 Result Review – By AKD Research

Oct 30 2025


AKD Securities


  • Fatima Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FATIMA) announced its 3QCY25 financial results, reporting consolidated earnings of PkR12.0bn (EPS: PkR5.7), up 30%YoY. Earnings came in higher-than-expectations, mainly due to stronger-than-anticipated other income.
  • Revenue clocked in at PkR62.9bn from PkR62.6bn in SPLY, flat YoY, where impact of 8%/64% YoY increase in urea and CAN sales is offset by 9%/77% decline in NP and DAP offtakes, respectively.
Engro Holdings Ltd. (ENGROH): 3QCY25 Result Review – By AKD Research

Oct 30 2025


AKD Securities


  • Engro Holdings Ltd. (ENGROH) announced its 3QCY25 results, reporting consolidated earnings of PkR6.4bn (EPS: PkR5.35) compared to PkR5.7bn (EPS: PkR4.75) in SPLY, up 13%YoY. Earnings came in lower-than-expectations due to higher-than-anticipated finance cost and taxation.
  • Segment wise, energy portfolio i.e., Engro Energy Ltd. (EEL) has contributed PkR5.0bn (PkR4.1/sh) during 3QCY25, as per our estimates.
Nishat Chunian Limited (NCL): 1QFY26 Result Review – By AKD Research

Oct 29 2025


AKD Securities


  • Nishat Chunian Ltd. (NCL) announced its 1QFY26 results, reporting earnings of PkR522mn (EPS: PkR2.18) compared to PkR35mn (EPS: PkR0.15) in SPLY, up 15x YoY. The said improvement is attributable to the increase in gross margins and decline in f inance cost. Result came in line with our expectations.
  • Revenue declined by 2%YoY to PkR22.9bn in 1QFY26 compared to PkR23.3bn in SPLY, due to 11%YoY lower domestic sales. However, exports increased by 23%YoY to PkR11.1bn (US$39.4mn) from PkR9.1bn (US$32.6mn) in SPLY.
Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL): Result Review – By AKD Research

Oct 29 2025


AKD Securities


  • Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL) reported 1QFY26 financial results earlier today, with consolidated earnings clocking in at PkR20bn for the first quarter (EPS: PkR7.36), down 12% YoY — in-line with expectations. Alongside the earnings, company also announced a final cash dividend of PkR2.0/sh (payout ratio: 27%).
  • Net Sales stood at PkR57.4bn during 1QFY26, down 14%YoY, largely led by reduced hydrocarbon production alongside lower average oil prices (Arab light: US$71.5/bbl during 4Q, down 11%YoY).