Weekly Roundup: Bulls dominate as KSE-100 extends historic rally – By JS Research

Jan 9 2026

JS Global Capital

• The benchmark KSE100 Index extended its bullish run in the second week of the year, closing at 184,409, up 3% WoW. The rally was largely bank-led, with Banks contributing 57% to index gains, while Cements (8%) and Autos (5%) provided limited support. Market participation improved notably, with average daily traded volumes rising 25% WoW. On the macro front, Pakistan recorded monthly remittances of US$3.6bn in Dec-2025, reflecting a 17% YoY increase. Cumulatively, remittances during 1HFY26 stood at US$19.7bn, up 11% YoY, providing support to the external account.

• Meanwhile, total public debt declined by Rs345bn to Rs77.5trn in 5MFY26, largely supported by the transfer of SBP profits to the government. In policy developments, the government is exploring options to seek relaxations from the IMF ahead of the FY27 budget, with key proposals including a phased reduction in super tax over the next four years and lower power tariffs to enhance competitiveness. Separately, gas circular debt climbed to Rs3.2trn, driven mainly by a sharp rise in late payment surcharges (Rs1.45trn). In the latest T-bill auction, the government raised Rs979bn against a target of Rs850bn, with yields falling by 29–33bps across tenors. SBP reserves also improved, rising by US$141mn to US$16bn.

Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Note – By Vector Research

Jan 9 2026

Vector Securities

• Evening Note.

Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Jan 9 2026

Al Habib Capital Markets

• The benchmark KSE-100 Index saw a volatile session, hitting an intraday high of 186,180.32 before closing at 184,409.67 down 1,133 points (-0.61%) amid profit-taking. Selling pressure was evident across key sectors, particularly Cement, Commercial Banks, OMC, and Oil & Gas E&P. As investors trimmed exposure at elevated valuations. However, sentiment found some support from positive developments, including Pakistan receiving USD 3.6bn in remittances in December 2025 and the PM’s approval of a national policy framework aimed at unlocking USD 450bn in gemstone potential. Among major laggards HUBC, LUCK,ENGROH, NBP, and EFERT collectively shaved 529 points off the index. On the volumes chart, FFL led activity with 75.81mn shares, while total market turnover stood at 1026.61mn shares.

Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100 Reprices on Profit-Taking – By HMFS Research

Jan 9 2026

HMFS Research

• The market extended its corrective phase as investors continued to lock in gains following the recent sharp rally. Selling pressure remained broad-based, with pronounced weakness in index-heavy names exerting downward pressure on the benchmark throughout the session. The index experienced heightened volatility, shedding up to 1,842 points intraday, reflecting cautious sentiment and aggressive profit-booking at elevated levels. Despite intermittent recovery attempts, the lack of sustained buying interest led the index to close at 184,410 level, down 1,133 points.

• Trading activity remained robust, with 393mn shares exchanged in the KSE-100, while volumes on the All-Share Index stood at 1.0bn shares. Active participation was seen in FFL (76mn shares), HASCOL (68mn shares), and MDTL (56mn shares). Going forward, the market is likely to remain volatile amid ongoing profit-taking and elevated geopolitical tensions, which could intermittently weigh on investor sentiment. While these factors may limit near-term upside, selective buying interest may emerge on further corrections, particularly in fundamentally strong names, as broader macro developments and policy-related expectations continue to provide underlying support. Investors are advised to remain cautious, maintain disciplined positioning, and utilize market pullbacks for strategic accumulation.

Pakistan Economy: 1HFY26 Remittances clock in at US$19.7bn; +11% YoY – By JS Research

Jan 9 2026

JS Global Capital

• Pakistan recorded monthly remittance inflow in Dec-2025 clocking in at US$3.6bn, a 17% YoY increase. Cumulatively, during 1HFY26, overseas Pakistanis remitted US$19.7bn, marking a 11% YoY growth.

• UAE remittances have regained momentum in recent months, with their share at 20% in Dec-2025 from a low of 17% in 1HFY24. Combined inflows from KSA and the UAE accounted for 43% of total remittances in Dec-2025, although KSA inflows recorded a slight dip during the month.

Technical Outlook: KSE-100 Surges to Record High, Eyes Trendline Resistance at 188,997 – By HMFS Research

Jan 9 2026

HMFS Research

• The KSE-100 index continued its bullish momentum, closing the week at a historic high of 184,409.67, marking a robust gain of +5,374.74 points (+3%) on a weekly basis. This upward trajectory reflects sustained investor confidence and strong institutional participation.

• Technically, the index is now approaching a key trendline resistance near 188,997, as highlighted in the attached chart. This level may act as a short-term hurdle, potentially triggering profit-taking or consolidation.

Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a negative note – By IIS Research

Jan 9 2026

Ismail Iqbal Securities

• The benchmark index closed on a negative note, with the session remaining volatile as profit taking emerged while investors locked in recent gains. Trading volumes decreased to 393mn shares today as compared to 576mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index lost 1,133 points to close at 184,410 level, down by -0.61% DoD. Commercial Banks, Cement, and Power Generation & Distribution sectors were the major laggards in today's session, cumulatively shedding 742 points from the index.

Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100 closes at 184,410 down 1,133 points – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Jan 9 2026

Alpha Capital

• The equity market opened the session on a strong positive footing; however, selling pressure emerged in the latter half, leading to a correction. The KSE-100 Index reached an intraday high of 186,180 and a low of 183,701 before settling at 184,410, down 1,133 points. Total market volume stood at 393.5 million shares, with a traded value of PKR 36.7 billion.

• The decline was primarily driven by weakness in index-heavy stocks, notably HUBC (-2%, -149 points), LUCK (-1.9%, -143 points), ENGROH (-1.1%, -90 points), NBP (-1.6%, -75 points), and EFERT (-1.4%, -73 points). In terms of volumes, FFL and BOP led market activity, recording traded volumes of 75.6 million and 36.8 million shares, respectively.

Agriauto Industries Limited (AGIL): Strong OEM Recovery Driving – By Chase Research

Jan 9 2026

• Gross margin has climbed from 7% to 15% in 5 quarters.

• Demand tailwind remains strong with passenger car OEM volumes up 43% FYTD.

• At this run rate we expect the company to post an EPS of PKR 30.60 in FY26. As such, we believe it is undervalued at current prices and there is potential upside if volumes sustain.

Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Engulfing Bear - stay cautious – By JS Research

Jan 9 2026

JS Global Capital

• The KSE-100 index failed to sustain an intraday high of 187,905 and slid to close at 185,543 level, down 976 points DoD. Volumes stood at 1,434mn shares versus 1,329mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test support at 185,199 (yesterday's low) where a fall below that will initiate a corrective trend with 182,427 and 179,043 in sight. However, any upside will face resistance between 186,215 and 187,910 levels. An Engulfing Bear has occurred and the momentum indicators are overbought, warranting a cautious stance. We recommend investors to stay cautious at current level. The support and resistance are at 184,527 and 187,232 levels, respectively.