Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL): Gaining momentum – By JS Research

Dec 1 2025


JS Global Capital


  • PPL is gaining momentum as we highlight the immediate resistance lies within 212-216 range where a break above that will start a new bullish move. The next target is expected at 238 which is 13% higher from the current close. For medium term investors we highlight the stock has potential to rise further towards 260- 150% retracement on the fall from 217 to a low of 129. The support is present between 192-194 range, while the risk is below 179 (200-DMA). To add support to the positive view: 1) PPL is trading above the key averages keeping the trend bullish, 2) Forming cup-handle formation on monthly chart and 3) MACD buy signal on weekly timeframe.
Morning News: Critical minerals push opens door for Pakistan in US supply chains – By Vector Research

Dec 30 2025


Vector Securities


  • Pakistan is emerging as a potential beneficiary of the global scramble for critical minerals, as rising US interest in antimony draws fresh attention to the country’s underdeveloped mining sector, according to a report by the Financial Times. (The News)
  • Pakistan government raised record Rs2 trillion through domestic Sukuk issuances in 2025, marking the highest annual volume since the introduction of Islamic bonds in 2008. (BR)
Morning News: Oil falls $1 on supply glut: - By HMFS Research

Dec 29 2025


HMFS Research


  • Oil prices fell by more than $1 a barrel on Friday as investors weighed a looming global supply glut and a reduced war risk premium, amid hopes of a Ukraine peace deal ahead of talks this weekend between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and US President Donald Trump. Brent crude futures fell $1.03 or 1.65pc to $61.21 per barrel by 11:42am EDT (1642 GMT). US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell $1.05 or 1.8pc to $57.30.
  • Amid improving fiscal space, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected a declining Public Sector Development Programme (PSDP), rising defence spending and generally stabilising interest payments from the current year onwards through the fiscal year 2030. IMF projections show that interest payments for the last fiscal year (FY25) were originally estimated at 7.7 per cent of GDP but ended at 7.8pc. For the current year, the Fund has revised its estimate to 6.5pc of GDP from 6.7pc in view of lower policy rates. Based on detailed interactions with the government as part of the second review of its $7 billion Extended Fund Facility, the IMF said the PSDP expenditure, originally estimated at 0.9pc of GDP in FY25, had been contained to 0.7pc to make up for the revenue shortfalls. The PSDP has been estimated to stay unchanged at 0.7pc for the current year. Conversely, the size of defence expenditure would make a comeback both in absolute terms and as a share of the national economy.
Morning News: Oil rises as market weighs Venezuela supply risks – By IIS Research

Dec 26 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • Oil prices climbed on Friday after the U.S. ordered increased economic pressure on Venezuelan oil shipments and carried out airstrikes against Islamic State militants in northwest Nigeria at the request of Nigeria's government. Brent crude futures rose 24 cents, or 0.4%, to $62.48 per barrel by 0114 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up 23 cents, also 0.4%, at $58.58.
  • Pakistan and the Asian Development Bank (ADB) signed two major initiatives — a power transmission strengthening project and an accelerating state-owned enterprise (SOE) transformation program totaling $730 million that would relieve overloading of existing transmission lines and improve operational efficiency.
Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL): Gaining momentum – By JS Research

Dec 1 2025


JS Global Capital


  • PPL is gaining momentum as we highlight the immediate resistance lies within 212-216 range where a break above that will start a new bullish move. The next target is expected at 238 which is 13% higher from the current close. For medium term investors we highlight the stock has potential to rise further towards 260- 150% retracement on the fall from 217 to a low of 129. The support is present between 192-194 range, while the risk is below 179 (200-DMA). To add support to the positive view: 1) PPL is trading above the key averages keeping the trend bullish, 2) Forming cup-handle formation on monthly chart and 3) MACD buy signal on weekly timeframe.
Morning News: OPEC+ Poised to Keep Pumping Despite Rising Oversupply Fears – By IIS Research

Nov 18 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • OPEC+ will probably continue with its production ramp-up next year regardless of where prices are going, according to traders who believe the expected oversupply in crude will not be large enough to discourage OPEC+ from boosting output.
  • The current account deficit sharply rose by 256 percent in the first four months of this fiscal year (FY26), driven mainly by a rise in the goods import bill.
  • Pakistan’s information technology sector posted a record-breaking performance in October 2025, with monthly IT exports reaching an all-time high of USD386 million.
Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL): Corporate Briefing Session Insights – By HMFS Research

Nov 11 2025


HMFS Research


  • Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL) conducted its corporate briefing session, outlining operational highlights, strategic developments, and future growth priorities. The management emphasized stability in core operations, progress on international ventures, and diversification into minerals as key pillars for sustaining long-term value.
  • PPL’s portfolio remains extensive, comprising 21 producing fields (nine operated and twelve partner-operated) and 46 exploratory blocks (twenty-five operated). The company contributes nearly 19% of the country’s total gas production (~3.8 BCFD in FY25) and 16% of local oil output (~406,000 bpd), reaffirming its leading role in Pakistan’s E&P landscape.
Waves Home Appliances Limited (WAVESAPP): 9MCY25 & CY24 Corporate Briefing Takeaways – By Taurus Research

Nov 5 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Waves Home Appliances Limited (WAVESAPP) is a subsidiary of Waves Corporation Limited (WAVES). The principal activity of the business is manufacturing domestic consumer appliances. WAVESAPP produces deep freezers, coolers, refrigerators, air conditioners, washing machines, microwaves, water dispensers and heaters, geysers, and cooking ranges.
  • The Management noted that they will be relaunching certain discontinued products such as air conditioners in the coming year. They also noted that WAVES is still the market leader in the deep freezers segment.
Waves Home Appliances Ltd. (WAVESAPP): CY24 and 9MCY25 Analyst Briefing takeaways – By AKD Research

Nov 5 2025


AKD Securities


  • To recall, company posted net revenue of PkR3.2bn in CY24 compared to PkR4.2bn in SPLY, down 24%YoY. In 9MCY25, topline clocked in at PkR2.8bn, vs. PkR2.5bn in SPLY, up 11%YoY, primarily driven by demand recovery.
  • Company reported earnings of PkR153mn (EPS: PkR0.57) during CY24, compared to PkR116mn (EPS: PkR0.43) in SPLY, up 32%YoY. During 9MCY25, earnings clocked in at PkR262mn (EPS: PkR0.98), compared to PkR68mn (EPS: PkR0.26) in SPLY, up 3.8xYoY. This increase was primarily driven by other income.
  • Appliance demand is steadily moving toward larger, more premium products, driving value-based topline growth even as overall volumes remain relatively stable.
Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL): Result Review – By AKD Research

Oct 29 2025


AKD Securities


  • Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL) reported 1QFY26 financial results earlier today, with consolidated earnings clocking in at PkR20bn for the first quarter (EPS: PkR7.36), down 12% YoY — in-line with expectations. Alongside the earnings, company also announced a final cash dividend of PkR2.0/sh (payout ratio: 27%).
  • Net Sales stood at PkR57.4bn during 1QFY26, down 14%YoY, largely led by reduced hydrocarbon production alongside lower average oil prices (Arab light: US$71.5/bbl during 4Q, down 11%YoY).
Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL): 1QFY26 EPS clocked in at PKR7.38 – Below expectation - By Insight Research

Oct 29 2025


Insight Securities


  • In 1QFY26, revenue Increased 10% QoQ, mainly attributable to increase in oil and gas production coupled with higher oil prices.
  • Exploration expense clocked in at PKR633mn, down by 84% QoQ possibly attributable to some reversal, however, we await further clarity on this front.
  • Admin expenses clocked in at PKR1.5bn, down by ~18% QoQ.
Pakistan Market Wrap: PSX Records Volatile Session, Closes Lower on Profit Booking – By HMFS Research

Jan 8 2026


HMFS Research


  • Following an uninterrupted bullish rally over the past few sessions, the market underwent a profit-taking today, closing in negative territory. Trading commenced on a weak footing, with the benchmark index slipping sharply in early hours. Sentiment improved by midday as renewed buying interest lifted the index to an intra-day high of 187,905 level, marking the highest intra-day level ever recorded in PSX history. However, the rebound proved short-lived, as selling pressure resurfaced and intensified during the final trading hour. Consequently, the index reversed course and touched an intra-day low of 185,199 level, closing down 975.70 points.
  • Trading activity remained strong, with 576mn shares exchanged in the KSE-100 and 1.4bn shares recorded on the All-Share Index. Volume leaders included AGHA (132mn shares), PAEL (76mn shares), and HASCOL (60mn shares). Going forward, the market is expected to maintain a positive bias, supported by developments such as Pakistan–Saudi discussions on converting USD 2bn of loans into a JF-17 deal and the inauguration of the Karachi Port Trust ferry terminal to boost the blue economy. However, uncertainty remains inherent to the market, with a correction already evident amid elevated valuations. Ongoing geopolitical tensions also pose downside risks and could trigger volatility if conditions worsen. Therefore, investors are advised to remain vigilant, book profits selectively, and utilize market dips as entry opportunities.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Jan 8 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index experienced a volatile session, hitting an intraday high of 187,905 before closing at 185,543, down 9756 points (-0.52%) as profit-taking set in. Selling pressure was evident across key sectors, particularly Commercial Banks, Holding Companies, Technology & IT Services, and Oil & Gas Exploration & Production, as investors trimmed exposure at elevated valuations. On the macro front, Visa reiterated its commitment to expanding digital payments and enhancing financial inclusion in Pakistan, with initiatives focused on supporting small and nano businesses and extending QR and tap-to-phone solutions to Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities. Separately, a Senate body expressed concern over cartelization within the pharmaceutical sector. Among major laggards, ENGROH, UBL, MEBL, SYS and PPL, which cumulatively shaved -985.86 points off the benchmark. AGHA led trading with 131.88 million shares, as total market turnover reached 1,421.07mn shares.
Mari Energies (MARI): Allocation of Gas from Mari Field – By Topline Research

Jan 8 2026


Topline Securities


  • Mari Energies (MARI) has announced the approval of gas allocation from its Ghazij/Shawal discoveries in the Mari field at well head gas prices notified by OGRA (i.e. Petroleum Policy 2012 prices). The gas will be transported to consumers through Sui companies' network under the Third-Party Access (TPA) rules 2018 with applicable wheeling charges, in our view.
  • Under the revised allocation, the flows from MARI from HRL, Ghazij/Shawal, Deep and SML/SUL will increase to 1054mmcfd from the current direct allocation of ~850-900mmcfd over the next 2-3 years, following the development of the required infrastructure. This is a whopping increase of 180mmcfd. Until the completion of these developments, the gas supply will continue in its current form.
Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100 closes at 185,543 down 976 points – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Jan 8 2026


Alpha Capital


  • The equity market began the session on a strong positive note but experienced a  correction during the latter part of the day. The KSE-100 Index touched an intraday high of 187,905 and a low of 185,199 before closing at 185,543, registering a decline of 976 points. Market activity remained healthy, with total traded volumes of 575 million shares and a traded value of PKR 70.3 billion.
  • The downturn was largely attributed to selling pressure in index-heavy stocks, including ENGROH (-3.6%, -315 points), UBL (-1.7%, -247 points), MEBL (-2.7%, -205 points), SYS (-2.3%, -117 points), and PPL (-1.8%, -102 points). On the volumes front, PAEL and KEL dominated trading activity, with volumes of 76.3 million and 52.4 million shares, respectively.
Chemicals: Sustained decline in petrochem margins – By JS Research

Jan 8 2026


JS Global Capital


  • PVC-Ethylene margins have slipped to near-decade lows. As of Jan-26, margins stood at US$262/ton, down from US$764/ton in Jan-2021 and a high of US$1,157/ton seen in Nov-21.
  • Brent crude oil is currently trading around US$61.5/barrel, contributing to the broad softening of ethylene prices globally. Ethylene prices stood at US$730/ton compared US$930/ton in Jan-2021.
  • Near-term market conditions are expected to keep margins under pressure, as demand recovery remains uneven while oversupply persists. Sustainable margin improvement will depend on stronger global demand, stability in feedstock costs, and potential supply rationalization measures.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Entering the key resistance zone – By JS Research

Jan 8 2026


JS Global Capital


  • Bulls continued to dominate the session as KSE-100 index gained 1,457 points DoD to close at 186,519 level. Volumes stood at 1,329mn shares versus 1,306mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test resistance at 187,015 (yesterday's high) where a break above this level will target 188,870 level. However, any downside will find support between 185,270 and 186,150 levels, respectively. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator are overbought, warranting a cautious stance. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side and wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 185,272 and 187,390 levels, respectively.
Morning News: Govt raises Rs1.08tr through T-bills, bond auctions – By Vector Research

Jan 8 2026


Vector Securities


  • The government borrowed more than Rs1 trillion through auctions of treasury bonds and 10-year Pakistan Investment Bonds on Wednesday. The State Bank of Pakistan reported that the government borrowed Rs979.3 billion through T-bills and Rs108bn through PIBs, raising a total of Rs1.087tr. (Dawn)
  • Pakistan and Saudi Arabia are in talks to convert about $2 billion of Saudi loans into a JF-17 fighter jet deal, two Pakistani sources said, deepening military cooperation months after the two nations signed a mutual defence pact last year. (Dawn)
Morning News: Govt decides to fully deregulate sugar sector – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Jan 8 2026


Alpha Capital


  • In a significant policy shift, the government, in collaboration with the farming community and sugar industry representatives, has decided to fully deregulate the sugar sector, marking a key step in implementing structural reforms recommended by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
  • Describing PIACL’s PKR 650bn debt as a “black hole,” the Public Accounts Committee (PAC) expressed concern over the Finance Division’s continued inability to develop a viable repayment strategy.
Morning News: Pakistan, Saudi in talks on JF-17 jets-for-loans deal: Reuters report – By HMFS Research

Jan 8 2026


HMFS Research


  • Pakistan and Saudi Arabia are in talks to convert about $2 billion of Saudi loans into a JF-17 fighter jet deal, two Pakistani sources said, deepening military cooperation months after the two nations signed a mutual defence pact last year. One of the sources said the discussions were limited to the provision of JF-17 Thunder fighter jets, the light combat aircraft jointly developed by Pakistan and China and produced in Pakistan, while the second said the jets were the primary option among others under discussion.
  • The National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra) has reduced the national average uniform electricity tariff by 62 paise per unit for the next six months, effective January 1. The regulator has determined separate consumer-end tariffs for each distribution company (ex-Wapda Discos) in view of their differing revenue requirements and permitted levels of transmission and distribution (T&D) losses. For CY26, the national average tariff has been set at Rs33.38 per kWh, down from Rs34.00 per kWh in 2025-26.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a positive note – By IIS Research

Jan 7 2026


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • The benchmark index closed on a positive note, once again setting fresh all time highs both intraday and at market close for the fifth consecutive session. The 2026 rally continued in full swing, driven by strong liquidity inflows and ongoing asset class conversion, keeping investor optimism firmly intact. Trading volumes decreased to 570mn shares today as compared to 597mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index gained 1,457 points to close at 186,519 level, up by 0.79% DoD. Power Generation & Distribution, Oil & Gas Exploration Companies, and Cement sectors were the major contributors in today's session, cumulatively adding 689 points to the index.
Chemicals: Sustained decline in petrochem margins – By JS Research

Jan 8 2026


JS Global Capital


  • PVC-Ethylene margins have slipped to near-decade lows. As of Jan-26, margins stood at US$262/ton, down from US$764/ton in Jan-2021 and a high of US$1,157/ton seen in Nov-21.
  • Brent crude oil is currently trading around US$61.5/barrel, contributing to the broad softening of ethylene prices globally. Ethylene prices stood at US$730/ton compared US$930/ton in Jan-2021.
  • Near-term market conditions are expected to keep margins under pressure, as demand recovery remains uneven while oversupply persists. Sustainable margin improvement will depend on stronger global demand, stability in feedstock costs, and potential supply rationalization measures.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Entering the key resistance zone – By JS Research

Jan 8 2026


JS Global Capital


  • Bulls continued to dominate the session as KSE-100 index gained 1,457 points DoD to close at 186,519 level. Volumes stood at 1,329mn shares versus 1,306mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test resistance at 187,015 (yesterday's high) where a break above this level will target 188,870 level. However, any downside will find support between 185,270 and 186,150 levels, respectively. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator are overbought, warranting a cautious stance. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side and wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 185,272 and 187,390 levels, respectively.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Short term indicators are overbought – By JS Research

Jan 7 2026


JS Global Capital


  • KSE-100 index witnessed another positive session to close at 185,062 level, up 2,654 points DoD. Volumes stood at 1,306mn shares versus 1,384mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test resistance between 185,480 and 186,875 levels as a break above that will target 188,870 level. However, any downside will find support within 182,335-183,910 range. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator are overbought, warranting a cautious stance. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side and wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 182,335 and 186,635 levels, respectively.
Pakistan Cement: Local dispatches up 6%, exports remain under pressure – By JS Research

Jan 6 2026


JS Global Capital


  • Cement dispatches clocked in at 4.35mn tons in Dec-2025, reflecting a modest growth of 1% YoY, as a 6% YoY increase in local dispatches was largely offset by a 21% YoY decline in exports, primarily due to nil exports from North-based players amid the Afghan border closure.
  • In 1HFY26, total cement dispatches increased by 10% YoY, led by a 13% YoY rise in local dispatches, while exports saw a marginal decline of 4% YoY due to a 19% YoY drop in North region exports, with Southern region exports remaining flat YoY.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Upside likely – By JS Research

Jan 6 2026


JS Global Capital


  • Bulls continued to dominate the session as KSE-100 index gained 3,373 points DoD to close at 182,408 level. Volumes stood at 1,384mn shares versus 1,113mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test resistance at 183,964 (yesterday's high) where a break above that will target 186,875. However, any downside will find support between 179,535 and 181,970 levels, respectively. The RSI and the MACD are on a rising trend, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to 'Buy on dips', with risk defined below the 179,535 level. The support and resistance are at 179,974 and 184,403 levels, respectively.
Pakistan Fertilizers: Urea sales to report 2% YoY growth in CY25 – By JS Research

Jan 5 2026


JS Global Capital


  • As per provisional numbers for Dec-25, Urea off-take during the month is likely to post a noteworthy growth of 37% YoY, clocking in at 1.36mn tons. On the other hand, DAP off-take is likely to be down 42% YoY for the month. Cumulatively, Urea industry off-take to clock in at 6.7mn tons in CY25, up 2% YoY.
  • Company wise, FFC is expected to report Urea sales volume of 378k tons, up 1% YoY which includes 66k tons of granular Urea. EFERT, on the other hand, is likely to report sales of 644k tons (+56%YoY). While FATIMA is likely to report a volume of 259k tons, a 77% YoY jump.
  • Inventory levels are expected to decline to 0.3mn tons by Dec-25 end from 1.1mn in Nov-25, driven by stronger demand during Dec-2025 and the turnaround at FFC Plant-II, industry-wide production clocked in at ~520k tons.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Upside to continue – By JS Research

Jan 2 2026


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index showed positive movement to close at 176,355 level, up 2,301 points. Volumes stood at 1,403mn shares versus 957mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to revisit yesterday's high of 176,658 where a break above that will continue the uptrend towards 180,500 level. However, any downside will find support between 174,430 and 175,820 levels, respectively. The RSI and the MACD have moved up, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to 'Buy on dips', with risk defined below 174,437 level. The support and resistance are at 174,976 and 177,197 levels, respectively.
Pakistan Market: Dec-2025: Closing the year with 51% YoY gains – By JS Research

Jan 1 2026


JS Global Capital


  • KSE-100 closed at 175k, posting a 4.4% monthly gain and a 51% return in CY25, taking three-year cumulative returns to 331%. The index rallied 7.4k points during the month, driven by a 50bp policy rate cut, improved FX reserves following the IMF’s US$1.2bn EFF and RSF disbursement, and the successful PIA bidding process. Selective year-end profit-taking by institutions was also observed. Foreign investors remained net sellers with outflows of US$42mn, while individuals and banks were net buyers. We also witnessed privatization/ acquisition transaction-led rallies in PIAHCLA and MLCF during the month.
  • At its Monetary Policy Committee meeting this month, the SBP cut the policy rate by 50bps to 10.5%, after maintaining a status quo for the past six months (the last cut was in May 2025). The dovish stance was supported by weak oil prices, manageable inflation, and a stable external outlook. CPI inflation stood at 6.1% in Nov-2025 and is expected to ease to 6.0% in December. Meanwhile, Pakistan posted a current account surplus of US$100mn in Nov-2025, narrowing the 5MFY26 deficit to US$812mn.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 expected to trade in a range – By JS Research

Jan 1 2026


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index posted a loss of 418 points to close at 174,054 level. Volumes stood at 957mn shares versus 851mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test support at 173,564 (yesterday's low) where a fall below that will initiate a corrective trend with 172,395 and 170,641 in sight. However, any upside will face resistance within 175,000-175,240 range as a break above that will target 175,883, followed by 180,500. The MACD is moving up, while the RSI has shown weakness, signaling no clear trading view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side and wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 173,335 and 175,003 levels, respectively.
Lucky Cement Limited (LUCK): Core improvement to uplift valuation; Buy – By JS Research

Dec 31 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We upgrade LUCK to Buy from Hold, raising our SoTP-based TP to Rs570/sh from Rs480/sh, implying a 17% upside, driven mainly by a stronger contribution from core cement operations (Rs286/sh; 50% of SoTP) following an 8%/ 6% increase in our FY26E/ FY27F standalone earnings forecasts and a reduction in our risk-free rate assumption to 11% from 12% previously.
  • Management apprised that the 1.31mtpa cement capacity expansion through its JV in Congo was long overdue, as the company risked losing market share, with all three overseas cement operations currently running at over 90% capacity utilization. On the domestic front, management expects minimum demand growth of 9% in FY26.
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