Weekly Roundup: KSE-100 wraps up year at historic high – By JS Research

Dec 26 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index extended its record run, closing the week at 172,400, up 0.6% WoW, although average daily turnover fell by 25% WoW. Sentiment was supported by a key privatization breakthrough, with the government auctioning Pakistan International Airlines Ltd to a consortium led by AHCL for Rs135bn, securing a 75% stake. The deal marks the first major privatization in two decades and meets an important benchmark under the IMF program. External financing momentum also remained firm, with the World Bank approving US$700mn to support macroeconomic stability, while the Asian Development Bank (ADB) signed two financing initiatives totaling US$730mn.
  • Cumulatively, Pakistan received foreign assistance of around US$3bn during 5MFY26. In an encouraging development, The Pakistan Banks Association (PBA) revealed that private sector lending in FY26-TD has reached Rs1.5trn leading to increased liquidity. In the latest T-bill auction, the government raised Rs911bn against a target of Rs471bn, with yields falling 36–78bps across tenors. In another development, the Economic Coordination Committee (ECC) approved plans to auction 5G spectrum by end-Jan 2026 or early Feb-2026. Lastly, SBP foreign exchange reserves edged up by US$16mn to US$15.9bn, posting a marginal increase of 0.1% WoW.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Short term indicators are overbought – By JS Research

Jan 7 2026


JS Global Capital


  • KSE-100 index witnessed another positive session to close at 185,062 level, up 2,654 points DoD. Volumes stood at 1,306mn shares versus 1,384mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test resistance between 185,480 and 186,875 levels as a break above that will target 188,870 level. However, any downside will find support within 182,335-183,910 range. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator are overbought, warranting a cautious stance. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side and wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 182,335 and 186,635 levels, respectively.
Morning News: Oil Declines as Trump Says Venezuela Will Give Some Crude to US – By Shajar Research

Jan 7 2026


Shajar Capital


  • Oil extended losses after Washington moved to exert greater control over Venezuela’s oil industry, with President Donald Trump saying the country would turn over millions of barrels of crude to the US. (Bloomberg)
  • The record-breaking global stock rally stalled in Asia as Japanese equities slipped amid rising tensions with China. (Bloomberg)
Morning News: Senate delegation to undertake rare US visit – By Vector Research

Jan 7 2026


Vector Securities


  • A high-level Senate delegation led by Deputy Chairman Syedaal Khan will pay an official visit to the United States from January 20 to 25, 2026, the Senate Secretariat announced on Tuesday, against the backdrop of a broader thaw in Pakistan-US relations over the past year. The Secretariat described the visit as a "historic milestone" in Pak-US parliamentary relations, marking the "beginning of a new institutional chapter in bilateral engagement". (ET)
  • A committee formed by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has recommended 5% voluntary ethanol blending with petrol based on commercial viability and in consultation with oil marketing companies. Oil industry officials point out that the current ethanol production from sugarcane crushing stands at only 400,000 to 450,000 tons per year. Ethanol exports from Pakistan have been used for blending to produce E10-E15 fuel. At present, most of the ethanol produced in the country is exported due to price incentives. (ET)
Morning News: Government mulls fuel levy hike to aid gas sector – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Jan 7 2026


Alpha Capital


  • The government plans on increasing tax rates on petroleum products to contain more than PKR 3tn circular debt in the gas sector instead of changing the gas tariff as determined by the Oil & Gas Regula tory Authority (Ogra).
  • The provinces of Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan have decided to engage private companies for the procurement of wheat for their respective strategic reserves.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Jan 6 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange’s (PSX) benchmark KSE-100 Index extended its upward momentum, reaching an intraday high of 185,481.45 points before closing at a new all-time high of 185,062.10, up 2,653.87 points (+1.45%). Market sentiment remained strong, supported by net buying over the last seven sessions from Banks (USD 44mn), Companies (USD 18mn), Brokers (USD 6.5mn), and Mutual Funds (USD 5.2mn). Moreover, a PKR345bn decline in government debt stocks over the past five months, the Prime Minister’s call for greater access to loans for SMEs and PKR820bn weekly increase in M2 were also supported the positive activity in the stock market. Heavyweights, including MCB, UBL, MEBL, HBL, and LUCK were the key index drivers, collectively contributing 1,898.22 points. KEL led trading volumes with 109.62 million shares, while overall market participation reached 1,300.56 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Note – By Vector Research

Jan 6 2026


Vector Securities


  • Evening Note.
Pakistan Cement: Demand remains strong – By Foundation Research

Jan 6 2026


Foundation Securities


  • Cement sector dispatches rose by 2.3% YoY in Dec’25 to 4.3Mn tons, while capacity utilization increased to a mere of 59.1% vs. a muted 57.4% in the SPLY. Despite winter season, local sales exhibited a surge of 7.4% YoY to 3.7Mn tons, showing demand recovery trend amid improved macros. However, exports declined by a sizable 20.7% YoY to reach 0.6Mn tons. Decline in exports were on account of high base effect from South exports, absence of North exports due to Afghan border closure and compensating rise in domestic demand post floods.
  • Demand continues its uptrend where local dispatches grew by 4.9% MoM despite the winter season as historically cement sales dip during these months. Local demand continued to show early signs of recovery in the aftermath of floods, aided by improved macros. However, exports were significantly impacted, owing to Afghan border closure given absence of North exports and improved local sales.
Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100 closes at 185,062 up 2,654 points – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Jan 6 2026


Alpha Capital


  • The benchmark index closed on a high note, once again posting fresh all time highs both intraday and at market close, as CY26 began on a strong footing. Liquidity driven buying, continued asset class conversion, and upbeat investor sentiment kept the rally firmly intact. Trading volumes decreased to 597mn shares today as compared to 632mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index gained 2,654 points to close at 185,062 level, up by 1.45% DoD. Commercial Banks, Cement, and Technology & Communication sectors were the major contributors in today's session, cumulatively adding 2330 points to the index.
Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100 closes at 185,062 up 2,654 points – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Jan 6 2026


Alpha Capital


  • The equity market began the session on a strong positive footing and sustained its upward momentum throughout the day. The KSE-100 Index recorded an intraday high of 185,481 and a low of 181,182, ultimately closing at 185,062, reflecting a robust gain of 2,654 points. Market activity remained healthy, with total traded volume reaching 596.4 million shares and an estimated turnover of PKR 67.7 billion.
  • The index’s advance was largely supported by notable gains in MCB (7.9%, 451 points), UBL (3.1%, 446 points), MEBL (5%, 358 points), HBL (4.9%, 338 points), and LUCK (4.2%, 306 points). In terms of volumes, KEL and BOP dominated trading activity, registering volumes of 109.6 million and 79.9 million shares, respectively.
Pakistan Cement: Local dispatches up 6%, exports remain under pressure – By JS Research

Jan 6 2026


JS Global Capital


  • Cement dispatches clocked in at 4.35mn tons in Dec-2025, reflecting a modest growth of 1% YoY, as a 6% YoY increase in local dispatches was largely offset by a 21% YoY decline in exports, primarily due to nil exports from North-based players amid the Afghan border closure.
  • In 1HFY26, total cement dispatches increased by 10% YoY, led by a 13% YoY rise in local dispatches, while exports saw a marginal decline of 4% YoY due to a 19% YoY drop in North region exports, with Southern region exports remaining flat YoY.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Short term indicators are overbought – By JS Research

Jan 7 2026


JS Global Capital


  • KSE-100 index witnessed another positive session to close at 185,062 level, up 2,654 points DoD. Volumes stood at 1,306mn shares versus 1,384mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test resistance between 185,480 and 186,875 levels as a break above that will target 188,870 level. However, any downside will find support within 182,335-183,910 range. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator are overbought, warranting a cautious stance. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side and wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 182,335 and 186,635 levels, respectively.
Pakistan Cement: Local dispatches up 6%, exports remain under pressure – By JS Research

Jan 6 2026


JS Global Capital


  • Cement dispatches clocked in at 4.35mn tons in Dec-2025, reflecting a modest growth of 1% YoY, as a 6% YoY increase in local dispatches was largely offset by a 21% YoY decline in exports, primarily due to nil exports from North-based players amid the Afghan border closure.
  • In 1HFY26, total cement dispatches increased by 10% YoY, led by a 13% YoY rise in local dispatches, while exports saw a marginal decline of 4% YoY due to a 19% YoY drop in North region exports, with Southern region exports remaining flat YoY.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Upside likely – By JS Research

Jan 6 2026


JS Global Capital


  • Bulls continued to dominate the session as KSE-100 index gained 3,373 points DoD to close at 182,408 level. Volumes stood at 1,384mn shares versus 1,113mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test resistance at 183,964 (yesterday's high) where a break above that will target 186,875. However, any downside will find support between 179,535 and 181,970 levels, respectively. The RSI and the MACD are on a rising trend, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to 'Buy on dips', with risk defined below the 179,535 level. The support and resistance are at 179,974 and 184,403 levels, respectively.
Pakistan Fertilizers: Urea sales to report 2% YoY growth in CY25 – By JS Research

Jan 5 2026


JS Global Capital


  • As per provisional numbers for Dec-25, Urea off-take during the month is likely to post a noteworthy growth of 37% YoY, clocking in at 1.36mn tons. On the other hand, DAP off-take is likely to be down 42% YoY for the month. Cumulatively, Urea industry off-take to clock in at 6.7mn tons in CY25, up 2% YoY.
  • Company wise, FFC is expected to report Urea sales volume of 378k tons, up 1% YoY which includes 66k tons of granular Urea. EFERT, on the other hand, is likely to report sales of 644k tons (+56%YoY). While FATIMA is likely to report a volume of 259k tons, a 77% YoY jump.
  • Inventory levels are expected to decline to 0.3mn tons by Dec-25 end from 1.1mn in Nov-25, driven by stronger demand during Dec-2025 and the turnaround at FFC Plant-II, industry-wide production clocked in at ~520k tons.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Upside to continue – By JS Research

Jan 2 2026


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index showed positive movement to close at 176,355 level, up 2,301 points. Volumes stood at 1,403mn shares versus 957mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to revisit yesterday's high of 176,658 where a break above that will continue the uptrend towards 180,500 level. However, any downside will find support between 174,430 and 175,820 levels, respectively. The RSI and the MACD have moved up, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to 'Buy on dips', with risk defined below 174,437 level. The support and resistance are at 174,976 and 177,197 levels, respectively.
Pakistan Market: Dec-2025: Closing the year with 51% YoY gains – By JS Research

Jan 1 2026


JS Global Capital


  • KSE-100 closed at 175k, posting a 4.4% monthly gain and a 51% return in CY25, taking three-year cumulative returns to 331%. The index rallied 7.4k points during the month, driven by a 50bp policy rate cut, improved FX reserves following the IMF’s US$1.2bn EFF and RSF disbursement, and the successful PIA bidding process. Selective year-end profit-taking by institutions was also observed. Foreign investors remained net sellers with outflows of US$42mn, while individuals and banks were net buyers. We also witnessed privatization/ acquisition transaction-led rallies in PIAHCLA and MLCF during the month.
  • At its Monetary Policy Committee meeting this month, the SBP cut the policy rate by 50bps to 10.5%, after maintaining a status quo for the past six months (the last cut was in May 2025). The dovish stance was supported by weak oil prices, manageable inflation, and a stable external outlook. CPI inflation stood at 6.1% in Nov-2025 and is expected to ease to 6.0% in December. Meanwhile, Pakistan posted a current account surplus of US$100mn in Nov-2025, narrowing the 5MFY26 deficit to US$812mn.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 expected to trade in a range – By JS Research

Jan 1 2026


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index posted a loss of 418 points to close at 174,054 level. Volumes stood at 957mn shares versus 851mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test support at 173,564 (yesterday's low) where a fall below that will initiate a corrective trend with 172,395 and 170,641 in sight. However, any upside will face resistance within 175,000-175,240 range as a break above that will target 175,883, followed by 180,500. The MACD is moving up, while the RSI has shown weakness, signaling no clear trading view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side and wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 173,335 and 175,003 levels, respectively.
Lucky Cement Limited (LUCK): Core improvement to uplift valuation; Buy – By JS Research

Dec 31 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We upgrade LUCK to Buy from Hold, raising our SoTP-based TP to Rs570/sh from Rs480/sh, implying a 17% upside, driven mainly by a stronger contribution from core cement operations (Rs286/sh; 50% of SoTP) following an 8%/ 6% increase in our FY26E/ FY27F standalone earnings forecasts and a reduction in our risk-free rate assumption to 11% from 12% previously.
  • Management apprised that the 1.31mtpa cement capacity expansion through its JV in Congo was long overdue, as the company risked losing market share, with all three overseas cement operations currently running at over 90% capacity utilization. On the domestic front, management expects minimum demand growth of 9% in FY26.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Upside to continue – By JS Research

Dec 31 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index witnessed a positive session to close at 174,473 level, up 576 points DoD. Volumes stood at 851mn shares versus 858mn shares traded previously. If the gain continues, the next target will be at 175,883 which may later rise to 180,500. However, any downside will find support between 173,780 and 174,130 levels. The RSI and the MACD are on a rising trend, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to 'Buy on dips', with risk defined below 173,783 level. The support and resistance are at 174,128 and 174,812 levels, respectively.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; A steady uptrend to continue – By JS Research

Dec 30 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Bullish momentum continued as the KSE-100 index closed the session at 173,896 level, up 1,496 points. Volumes stood at 858mn shares versus 798mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to revisit yesterday's high of 174,412 where a break above that will target 175,883 level. However, any downside will find support between 173,200 and 173,840 levels, respectively. Meanwhile, the RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator are heading up, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to 'Buy on dips', keeping stoploss below the 173,200 level. The support and resistance are at 173,260 and 174,471 levels, respectively.