Morning News: Oil Edges Higher with Ukraine Talks and China’s Pledge in Focus - By Spectrum Research

Dec 29 2025


Spectrum Securities


  • Oil tricked higher as US-led talks to end the war in Ukraine failed to yield a breakthrough, and China vowed to support growth next year.
  • Russia has almost doubled exports of liquefied petroleum gas in the January - November period to ex-Soviet republics in Central Asia and Afghanistan to 1.016 million metric tons, industry sources told Reuters on Friday.
  • The Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) has conveyed to the Inland Revenue officials that the amount of reward for meritorious services shall not be more than 24 salaries during the financial year in the case of each employee.
Pakistan Market Wrap: PSX Records Volatile Session, Closes Lower on Profit Booking – By HMFS Research

Jan 8 2026


HMFS Research


  • Following an uninterrupted bullish rally over the past few sessions, the market underwent a profit-taking today, closing in negative territory. Trading commenced on a weak footing, with the benchmark index slipping sharply in early hours. Sentiment improved by midday as renewed buying interest lifted the index to an intra-day high of 187,905 level, marking the highest intra-day level ever recorded in PSX history. However, the rebound proved short-lived, as selling pressure resurfaced and intensified during the final trading hour. Consequently, the index reversed course and touched an intra-day low of 185,199 level, closing down 975.70 points.
  • Trading activity remained strong, with 576mn shares exchanged in the KSE-100 and 1.4bn shares recorded on the All-Share Index. Volume leaders included AGHA (132mn shares), PAEL (76mn shares), and HASCOL (60mn shares). Going forward, the market is expected to maintain a positive bias, supported by developments such as Pakistan–Saudi discussions on converting USD 2bn of loans into a JF-17 deal and the inauguration of the Karachi Port Trust ferry terminal to boost the blue economy. However, uncertainty remains inherent to the market, with a correction already evident amid elevated valuations. Ongoing geopolitical tensions also pose downside risks and could trigger volatility if conditions worsen. Therefore, investors are advised to remain vigilant, book profits selectively, and utilize market dips as entry opportunities.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Jan 8 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index experienced a volatile session, hitting an intraday high of 187,905 before closing at 185,543, down 9756 points (-0.52%) as profit-taking set in. Selling pressure was evident across key sectors, particularly Commercial Banks, Holding Companies, Technology & IT Services, and Oil & Gas Exploration & Production, as investors trimmed exposure at elevated valuations. On the macro front, Visa reiterated its commitment to expanding digital payments and enhancing financial inclusion in Pakistan, with initiatives focused on supporting small and nano businesses and extending QR and tap-to-phone solutions to Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities. Separately, a Senate body expressed concern over cartelization within the pharmaceutical sector. Among major laggards, ENGROH, UBL, MEBL, SYS and PPL, which cumulatively shaved -985.86 points off the benchmark. AGHA led trading with 131.88 million shares, as total market turnover reached 1,421.07mn shares.
Mari Energies (MARI): Allocation of Gas from Mari Field – By Topline Research

Jan 8 2026


Topline Securities


  • Mari Energies (MARI) has announced the approval of gas allocation from its Ghazij/Shawal discoveries in the Mari field at well head gas prices notified by OGRA (i.e. Petroleum Policy 2012 prices). The gas will be transported to consumers through Sui companies' network under the Third-Party Access (TPA) rules 2018 with applicable wheeling charges, in our view.
  • Under the revised allocation, the flows from MARI from HRL, Ghazij/Shawal, Deep and SML/SUL will increase to 1054mmcfd from the current direct allocation of ~850-900mmcfd over the next 2-3 years, following the development of the required infrastructure. This is a whopping increase of 180mmcfd. Until the completion of these developments, the gas supply will continue in its current form.
Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100 closes at 185,543 down 976 points – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Jan 8 2026


Alpha Capital


  • The equity market began the session on a strong positive note but experienced a  correction during the latter part of the day. The KSE-100 Index touched an intraday high of 187,905 and a low of 185,199 before closing at 185,543, registering a decline of 976 points. Market activity remained healthy, with total traded volumes of 575 million shares and a traded value of PKR 70.3 billion.
  • The downturn was largely attributed to selling pressure in index-heavy stocks, including ENGROH (-3.6%, -315 points), UBL (-1.7%, -247 points), MEBL (-2.7%, -205 points), SYS (-2.3%, -117 points), and PPL (-1.8%, -102 points). On the volumes front, PAEL and KEL dominated trading activity, with volumes of 76.3 million and 52.4 million shares, respectively.
Chemicals: Sustained decline in petrochem margins – By JS Research

Jan 8 2026


JS Global Capital


  • PVC-Ethylene margins have slipped to near-decade lows. As of Jan-26, margins stood at US$262/ton, down from US$764/ton in Jan-2021 and a high of US$1,157/ton seen in Nov-21.
  • Brent crude oil is currently trading around US$61.5/barrel, contributing to the broad softening of ethylene prices globally. Ethylene prices stood at US$730/ton compared US$930/ton in Jan-2021.
  • Near-term market conditions are expected to keep margins under pressure, as demand recovery remains uneven while oversupply persists. Sustainable margin improvement will depend on stronger global demand, stability in feedstock costs, and potential supply rationalization measures.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Entering the key resistance zone – By JS Research

Jan 8 2026


JS Global Capital


  • Bulls continued to dominate the session as KSE-100 index gained 1,457 points DoD to close at 186,519 level. Volumes stood at 1,329mn shares versus 1,306mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test resistance at 187,015 (yesterday's high) where a break above this level will target 188,870 level. However, any downside will find support between 185,270 and 186,150 levels, respectively. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator are overbought, warranting a cautious stance. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side and wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 185,272 and 187,390 levels, respectively.
Morning News: Govt raises Rs1.08tr through T-bills, bond auctions – By Vector Research

Jan 8 2026


Vector Securities


  • The government borrowed more than Rs1 trillion through auctions of treasury bonds and 10-year Pakistan Investment Bonds on Wednesday. The State Bank of Pakistan reported that the government borrowed Rs979.3 billion through T-bills and Rs108bn through PIBs, raising a total of Rs1.087tr. (Dawn)
  • Pakistan and Saudi Arabia are in talks to convert about $2 billion of Saudi loans into a JF-17 fighter jet deal, two Pakistani sources said, deepening military cooperation months after the two nations signed a mutual defence pact last year. (Dawn)
Morning News: Govt decides to fully deregulate sugar sector – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Jan 8 2026


Alpha Capital


  • In a significant policy shift, the government, in collaboration with the farming community and sugar industry representatives, has decided to fully deregulate the sugar sector, marking a key step in implementing structural reforms recommended by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
  • Describing PIACL’s PKR 650bn debt as a “black hole,” the Public Accounts Committee (PAC) expressed concern over the Finance Division’s continued inability to develop a viable repayment strategy.
Morning News: Pakistan, Saudi in talks on JF-17 jets-for-loans deal: Reuters report – By HMFS Research

Jan 8 2026


HMFS Research


  • Pakistan and Saudi Arabia are in talks to convert about $2 billion of Saudi loans into a JF-17 fighter jet deal, two Pakistani sources said, deepening military cooperation months after the two nations signed a mutual defence pact last year. One of the sources said the discussions were limited to the provision of JF-17 Thunder fighter jets, the light combat aircraft jointly developed by Pakistan and China and produced in Pakistan, while the second said the jets were the primary option among others under discussion.
  • The National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra) has reduced the national average uniform electricity tariff by 62 paise per unit for the next six months, effective January 1. The regulator has determined separate consumer-end tariffs for each distribution company (ex-Wapda Discos) in view of their differing revenue requirements and permitted levels of transmission and distribution (T&D) losses. For CY26, the national average tariff has been set at Rs33.38 per kWh, down from Rs34.00 per kWh in 2025-26.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a positive note – By IIS Research

Jan 7 2026


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • The benchmark index closed on a positive note, once again setting fresh all time highs both intraday and at market close for the fifth consecutive session. The 2026 rally continued in full swing, driven by strong liquidity inflows and ongoing asset class conversion, keeping investor optimism firmly intact. Trading volumes decreased to 570mn shares today as compared to 597mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index gained 1,457 points to close at 186,519 level, up by 0.79% DoD. Power Generation & Distribution, Oil & Gas Exploration Companies, and Cement sectors were the major contributors in today's session, cumulatively adding 689 points to the index.
Morning News: Oil Edges Higher with Ukraine Talks and China’s Pledge in Focus - By Spectrum Research

Dec 29 2025


Spectrum Securities


  • Oil tricked higher as US-led talks to end the war in Ukraine failed to yield a breakthrough, and China vowed to support growth next year.
  • Russia has almost doubled exports of liquefied petroleum gas in the January - November period to ex-Soviet republics in Central Asia and Afghanistan to 1.016 million metric tons, industry sources told Reuters on Friday.
  • The Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) has conveyed to the Inland Revenue officials that the amount of reward for meritorious services shall not be more than 24 salaries during the financial year in the case of each employee.
Morning News: Oil Heads for Weekly Surge on Venezuela Blockade, Nigeria Strike – By Spectrum Research

Dec 26 2025


Spectrum Securities


  • Oil headed for the biggest weekly gain since late October, as traders tracked a partial US blockade of crude shipments from Venezuela and a military strike by Washington against a militant group in Nigeria.
  • Pakistan’s power sector has been at the crossroads for a while, facing an array of challenges, and grappling with a mix of financial, operational as well as policy issues. Escalating capacity payments only add to the worries.
Morning News: Oil Falls Below $55 on Signs of Surplus and Ukraine Peace Talks – By Spectrum Research

Dec 17 2025


Spectrum Securities


  • West Texas Intermediate oil fell below $55 a barrel for the first time since February 2021 on signs that supply is outpacing demand. Signs of weakness are proliferating across the supply side of the oil market, with Middle Eastern crude prices entering a bearish pattern known as contango.
  • The demand side looks similarly fragile, with elevated premiums for fuels like gasoline and diesel relative to crude easing and weak job growth in the US signaling a potential slowdown in demand.
Morning News: Oil Rises from Lowest Since October on Broader Market Optimism – By Spectrum Research

Dec 12 2025


Spectrum Securities


  • Oil rallied from its lowest close in almost two months, buoyed by bullishness in broader financial markets.
  • The tax machinery on Thursday told Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif that it may miss the first half-year's downward revised target by Rs560 billion without support from the office of the attorney general, amid a warning by the Ministry of Finance about the implications of a huge revenue shortfall for government expenditure.
Morning News: Pakistan tells Afghanistan: Act against TTP or no trade – By Spectrum Research

Nov 17 2025


Spectrum Securities


  • The Foreign Office on Friday made it clear that no meaningful trade or economic engagement with Afghanistan can take place as long as the Afghan Taliban regime continues to harbour and support terrorist groups targeting Pakistan.
  • Oil prices fell in early Asian trade on Monday, erasing last week's gains, as loadings resumed at the key Russian export hub of Novorossiysk after a two-day suspension at the Black Sea port that had been hit by a Ukrainian attack.
Morning News: Macroeconomic stability in FY25 – By Spectrum Research

Oct 17 2025


Spectrum Securities


  • The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Thursday said a prudent monetary policy stance and continued fiscal consolidation strengthened macroeconomic stability in FY25. Moreover, favourable global commodity prices and IMF’s Extended Fund Facility (EFF) further supported improvement in overall macroeconomic conditions.
  • Pakistan is actively working to diversify its international trade settlement mechanisms and promote the use of local currencies.
Morning News: Tighten fiscal, monetary policies, IMF tells Pakistan – By Spectrum Research

Oct 16 2025


Spectrum Securities


  • With the signing of a Staff Level Agreement (SLA), the IMF has asked Pakistan to continue tightening the fiscal and monetary policies as well as reducing intervention in commodity markets.
  • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected an increase of 0.4 percent in Pakistan’s government net debt, increasing from 65.3 percent of GDP in 2025 to 65.7 percent in 2026. According to the IMF report “Fiscal Monitor, Spending Smarter: How Efficient and Well-Allocated Public Spending Can Boost Economic Growth,” the gross debt for the Pakistani government is projected to decrease from 71.6 percent of GDP in 2025 to 71.3 percent in 2026. The Fund has projected a decline in government expenditure from 21.1 percent of GDP in 2025 to 20.4 percent in 2026. The government revenue is projected at 16.2 percent of GDP for 2026, against 15.7 percent for 2025and 12.7 percent during the same period of 2024. The Fund has projected the government’s primary balance at 2.5 percent for 2026 against 2.4 percent in 2025. Further, the government’s overall balance is projected at - 4.1 percent for 2026 against - 5.3 percent in 2025.
Morning News: Oil Holds Sharp Drop with Focus on Gaza Plan and Global Supply – By Spectrum Research

Oct 10 2025


Spectrum Securities


  • Oil held the biggest decline in a week on cautious optimism about easing tensions in the Middle East and the outlook for supply.
  • In a striking courtroom admission, Supreme Court Justice Jamal Khan Mandokhail conceded on Thursday that all 24 judges of the country’s top court, whether “willingly or unwillingly,” have accepted the controversial 26th Constitutional Amendment.